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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 430
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
630 PM CDT Mon Aug 10 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Illinois
Southern Indiana
Northern and western Kentucky
Southeastern Missouri
* Effective this Monday night from 630 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...An extensive line of thunderstorms with a history of
damaging winds will continue to move southeastward through late
evening and early tonight. The storm environment should remain
favorable for occasional downbursts with damaging outflow in the
line of storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 35 miles west of Cape
Girardeau MO to 60 miles north northeast of Louisville KY. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 427...WW 428...WW 429...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
32025.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 430 SEVERE TSTM IL IN KY MO 102330Z - 110500Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35W CGI/CAPE GIRARDEAU MO/ - 60NNE SDF/LOUISVILLE KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /27S FAM - 28W CVG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 32025.
LAT...LON 38099021 39848530 38118530 36349021
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 430 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 430
VALID 110325Z - 110440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE POF
TO 30 SW PAH TO 40 NNW HOP TO 5 NE OWB TO 25 E SDF.
..GOSS..08/11/20
ATTN...WFO...PAH...IND...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 430
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC127-153-110440-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MASSAC PULASKI
$$
INC019-043-061-123-147-163-173-110440-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK FLOYD HARRISON
PERRY SPENCER VANDERBURGH
WARRICK
$$
KYC007-027-029-031-033-039-055-059-075-083-085-091-093-101-103-
105-107-111-139-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-185-211-215-223-225-
233-110440-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT
BUTLER CALDWELL CARLISLE
CRITTENDEN DAVIESS FULTON
GRAVES GRAYSON HANCOCK
HARDIN HENDERSON HENRY
HICKMAN HOPKINS JEFFERSON
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE
MUHLENBERG OHIO OLDHAM
SHELBY SPENCER TRIMBLE
UNION WEBSTER
$$
MOC133-143-201-207-110440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID SCOTT
STODDARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 430
VALID 110235Z - 110340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE POF TO
20 WNW PAH TO 20 N PAH TO 45 SSW EVV TO 5 NW EVV TO 30 WNW SDF TO
45 NNE SDF.
..GOSS..08/11/20
ATTN...WFO...PAH...IND...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 430
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC127-153-110340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MASSAC PULASKI
$$
INC019-043-061-123-147-163-173-110340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK FLOYD HARRISON
PERRY SPENCER VANDERBURGH
WARRICK
$$
KYC007-027-029-031-033-039-055-059-075-083-085-091-093-101-103-
105-107-111-139-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-185-211-215-223-225-
233-110340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT
BUTLER CALDWELL CARLISLE
CRITTENDEN DAVIESS FULTON
GRAVES GRAYSON HANCOCK
HARDIN HENDERSON HENRY
HICKMAN HOPKINS JEFFERSON
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE
MUHLENBERG OHIO OLDHAM
SHELBY SPENCER TRIMBLE
UNION WEBSTER
$$
MOC133-143-201-207-110340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID SCOTT
STODDARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 430
VALID 110145Z - 110240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE FAM
TO 45 SE MVN TO 45 ENE MVN TO 35 SSE BMG TO 45 WNW LUK.
..GOSS..08/11/20
ATTN...WFO...PAH...IND...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 430
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-047-059-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-185-193-110240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS GALLATIN
HARDIN JOHNSON MASSAC
POPE PULASKI SALINE
UNION WABASH WHITE
$$
INC019-025-037-043-051-061-077-079-117-123-125-129-143-147-163-
173-175-110240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK CRAWFORD DUBOIS
FLOYD GIBSON HARRISON
JEFFERSON JENNINGS ORANGE
PERRY PIKE POSEY
SCOTT SPENCER VANDERBURGH
WARRICK WASHINGTON
$$
KYC007-027-029-031-033-039-055-059-075-083-085-091-093-101-103-
105-107-111-139-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-185-211-215-223-225-
233-110240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT
BUTLER CALDWELL CARLISLE
CRITTENDEN DAVIESS FULTON
GRAVES GRAYSON HANCOCK
HARDIN HENDERSON HENRY
HICKMAN HOPKINS JEFFERSON
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE
MUHLENBERG OHIO OLDHAM
SHELBY SPENCER TRIMBLE
UNION WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-031-133-143-201-207-110240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSISSIPPI
NEW MADRID SCOTT STODDARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 430
VALID 110040Z - 110140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1464
..COOK..08/11/20
ATTN...WFO...PAH...IND...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 430
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC003-047-055-059-065-069-077-081-087-127-145-151-153-165-181-
185-191-193-199-110140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER EDWARDS FRANKLIN
GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
MASSAC PERRY POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WABASH WAYNE WHITE
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC005-013-019-025-027-031-037-043-051-055-061-071-077-079-083-
093-101-105-117-123-125-129-143-147-153-163-173-175-110140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLARK
CRAWFORD DAVIESS DECATUR
DUBOIS FLOYD GIBSON
GREENE HARRISON JACKSON
JEFFERSON JENNINGS KNOX
LAWRENCE MARTIN MONROE
ORANGE PERRY PIKE
POSEY SCOTT SPENCER
SULLIVAN VANDERBURGH WARRICK
WASHINGTON
$$
KYC007-027-029-031-033-039-055-059-075-083-085-091-093-101-103-
105-107-111-139-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-185-211-215-223-225-
233-110140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT
BUTLER CALDWELL CARLISLE
CRITTENDEN DAVIESS FULTON
GRAVES GRAYSON HANCOCK
HARDIN HENDERSON HENRY
HICKMAN HOPKINS JEFFERSON
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE
MUHLENBERG OHIO OLDHAM
SHELBY SPENCER TRIMBLE
UNION WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-031-133-143-157-201-207-110140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSISSIPPI
NEW MADRID PERRY SCOTT
STODDARD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.