Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 435
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
640 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of northwestern and west central Minnesota
Southeastern and east central North Dakota
* Effective this Friday morning and afternoon from 640 AM until
200 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of severe storms, with both supercell and bowing
characteristics, will spread east-northeastward from southern North
Dakota into western Minnesota through the morning into early
afternoon. Damaging winds and large hail are likely with the
stronger storms. An isolated tornado or two may also occur later
this morning/afternoon near and east of the Minnesota border.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 80 miles west southwest
of Fargo ND to 15 miles northeast of Bemidji MN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 434...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
25040.
...Thompson
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 435
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
640 AM CDT Fri Aug 14 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of northwestern and west central Minnesota
Southeastern and east central North Dakota
* Effective this Friday morning and afternoon from 640 AM until
200 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Clusters of severe storms, with both supercell and bowing
characteristics, will spread east-northeastward from southern North
Dakota into western Minnesota through the morning into early
afternoon. Damaging winds and large hail are likely with the
stronger storms. An isolated tornado or two may also occur later
this morning/afternoon near and east of the Minnesota border.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 80 miles west southwest
of Fargo ND to 15 miles northeast of Bemidji MN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 434...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
25040.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 435 SEVERE TSTM MN ND 141140Z - 141900Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
80WSW FAR/FARGO ND/ - 15NE BJI/BEMIDJI MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /63N ABR - 14ENE BJI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
LAT...LON 47269837 48479470 46889470 45679837
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 435 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 435
VALID 141735Z - 141840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE AXN
TO 35 ENE DTL TO 25 SSW BJI TO 30 ESE BJI.
..LEITMAN..08/14/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 435
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC057-159-141840-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HUBBARD WADENA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 435
VALID 141635Z - 141740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW DTL
TO 30 NNE DTL TO 30 E BJI.
..LEITMAN..08/14/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 435
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-051-057-111-159-141740-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER GRANT HUBBARD
OTTER TAIL WADENA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 435
VALID 141550Z - 141640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S FAR TO
10 ESE FAR TO 30 N DTL TO 20 SW TVF TO 15 NNW TVF.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1486.
..LEITMAN..08/14/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 435
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-007-027-029-051-057-087-111-113-119-125-159-167-141640-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER BELTRAMI CLAY
CLEARWATER GRANT HUBBARD
MAHNOMEN OTTER TAIL PENNINGTON
POLK RED LAKE WADENA
WILKIN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 435
VALID 141435Z - 141540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNW ABR
TO 55 SE JMS TO 30 S GFK TO 25 NE GFK.
..LEITMAN..08/14/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 435
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-007-027-029-051-057-087-107-111-113-119-125-159-167-
141540-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER BELTRAMI CLAY
CLEARWATER GRANT HUBBARD
MAHNOMEN NORMAN OTTER TAIL
PENNINGTON POLK RED LAKE
WADENA WILKIN
$$
NDC017-073-077-097-141540-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS RANSOM RICHLAND
TRAILL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 435
VALID 141235Z - 141340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..08/14/20
ATTN...WFO...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 435
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC005-007-027-029-051-057-087-107-111-113-119-125-159-167-
141340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BECKER BELTRAMI CLAY
CLEARWATER GRANT HUBBARD
MAHNOMEN NORMAN OTTER TAIL
PENNINGTON POLK RED LAKE
WADENA WILKIN
$$
NDC003-017-035-073-077-091-097-141340-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARNES CASS GRAND FORKS
RANSOM RICHLAND STEELE
TRAILL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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