Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 443
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central Kansas
Southern to eastern Nebraska
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple supercells are expected to develop along a weak
frontal boundary. Setup is most supportive of large hail initially,
some of which should be significant. A cluster or two may develop
southward with a risk for damaging winds as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles east southeast
of Columbus NE to 65 miles west southwest of Kearney NE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
33030.
...Grams
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 443
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 PM CDT Sun Aug 16 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central Kansas
Southern to eastern Nebraska
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 230 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple supercells are expected to develop along a weak
frontal boundary. Setup is most supportive of large hail initially,
some of which should be significant. A cluster or two may develop
southward with a risk for damaging winds as well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles east southeast
of Columbus NE to 65 miles west southwest of Kearney NE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
33030.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 443 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 161930Z - 170200Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30ESE OLU/COLUMBUS NE/ - 65WSW EAR/KEARNEY NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /49W OVR - 23ENE MCK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33030.
LAT...LON 40349682 39410014 41300014 42229682
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 443 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 443
VALID 170120Z - 170240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W HLC TO
50 E MCK TO 20 WSW EAR TO 5 SSW GRI TO 30 S OLU TO 20 NE LNK.
..BENTLEY..08/17/20
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC089-147-163-183-170240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL PHILLIPS ROOKS
SMITH
$$
NEC001-035-059-061-067-079-081-083-095-099-109-129-137-151-159-
169-181-185-170240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CLAY FILLMORE
FRANKLIN GAGE HALL
HAMILTON HARLAN JEFFERSON
KEARNEY LANCASTER NUCKOLLS
PHELPS SALINE SEWARD
THAYER WEBSTER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 443
VALID 162355Z - 170040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE LBF
TO 25 S BBW TO 35 NW GRI TO 40 N GRI TO 25 NNE OFK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1514
..BENTLEY..08/16/20
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC089-147-163-183-170040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL PHILLIPS ROOKS
SMITH
$$
NEC001-011-019-023-029-035-037-039-047-053-059-061-063-065-073-
079-081-083-085-093-099-109-119-121-125-129-137-141-143-151-155-
159-163-167-169-179-181-185-170040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOONE BUFFALO
BUTLER CHASE CLAY
COLFAX CUMING DAWSON
DODGE FILLMORE FRANKLIN
FRONTIER FURNAS GOSPER
HALL HAMILTON HARLAN
HAYES HOWARD KEARNEY
LANCASTER MADISON MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS PHELPS
PLATTE POLK SALINE
SAUNDERS SEWARD SHERMAN
STANTON THAYER WAYNE
WEBSTER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 443
VALID 162245Z - 162340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE LBF
TO 15 E BBW TO 25 ESE BUB TO 35 W OFK.
..BENTLEY..08/16/20
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC089-147-163-183-162340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL PHILLIPS ROOKS
SMITH
$$
NEC001-011-019-023-029-035-037-039-041-047-053-059-061-063-065-
073-077-079-081-083-085-093-099-109-111-119-121-125-129-135-137-
139-141-143-151-155-159-163-167-169-175-179-181-185-162340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOONE BUFFALO
BUTLER CHASE CLAY
COLFAX CUMING CUSTER
DAWSON DODGE FILLMORE
FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS
GOSPER GREELEY HALL
HAMILTON HARLAN HAYES
HOWARD KEARNEY LANCASTER
LINCOLN MADISON MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS PERKINS
PHELPS PIERCE PLATTE
POLK SALINE SAUNDERS
SEWARD SHERMAN STANTON
THAYER VALLEY WAYNE
WEBSTER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 443
VALID 162205Z - 162340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BENTLEY..08/16/20
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 443
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC089-147-163-183-162340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL PHILLIPS ROOKS
SMITH
$$
NEC001-011-019-023-029-035-037-039-041-047-053-059-061-063-065-
073-077-079-081-083-085-093-099-109-111-119-121-125-129-135-137-
139-141-143-151-155-159-163-167-169-175-179-181-185-162340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOONE BUFFALO
BUTLER CHASE CLAY
COLFAX CUMING CUSTER
DAWSON DODGE FILLMORE
FRANKLIN FRONTIER FURNAS
GOSPER GREELEY HALL
HAMILTON HARLAN HAYES
HOWARD KEARNEY LANCASTER
LINCOLN MADISON MERRICK
NANCE NUCKOLLS PERKINS
PHELPS PIERCE PLATTE
POLK SALINE SAUNDERS
SEWARD SHERMAN STANTON
THAYER VALLEY WAYNE
WEBSTER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.