Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 457
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
315 PM EDT Thu Aug 27 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Connecticut
Southeast New York and Long Island
Southern Rhode Island
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 315 PM until
800 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Cluster of embedded supercells will spread from the Lower
Hudson Valley across southwest New England with a risk for all
severe hazards.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles southwest of Poughkeepsie NY
to 30 miles southeast of Block Island RI. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 454...WW 455...WW 456...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 30040.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 457 TORNADO CT NY RI CW 271915Z - 280000Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20SW POU/POUGHKEEPSIE NY/ - 30SE BID/BLOCK ISLAND RI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM N/S /28NE SAX - 52E HTO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30040.
LAT...LON 42007415 41447117 40287117 40847415
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 457 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 457
VALID 272320Z - 280040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE MSV
TO 15 SSW POU TO 20 NNW BDR TO 20 ENE BDR TO 5 SW GON TO 10 NW
BID TO 35 S EWB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1600
..JEWELL..08/27/20
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 457
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC001-280040-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAIRFIELD
$$
NYC071-079-087-103-119-280040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ORANGE PUTNAM ROCKLAND
SUFFOLK WESTCHESTER
$$
ANZ330-335-340-345-350-353-280040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 457
VALID 272130Z - 272240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W POU TO
10 SE POU TO 20 NNE BDR TO 20 W GON TO 10 SSW BID TO 55 SE BID.
..JEWELL..08/27/20
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 457
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC001-007-009-272240-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAIRFIELD MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN
$$
NYC071-079-087-103-119-272240-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ORANGE PUTNAM ROCKLAND
SUFFOLK WESTCHESTER
$$
ANZ330-335-340-345-350-353-272240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 457
VALID 272040Z - 272200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 WNW POU
TO 30 N BDR TO 30 SE BID.
..SMITH..08/27/20
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 457
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC001-007-009-272200-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAIRFIELD MIDDLESEX NEW HAVEN
$$
NYC071-079-087-103-119-272200-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ORANGE PUTNAM ROCKLAND
SUFFOLK WESTCHESTER
$$
ANZ256-330-335-340-345-350-353-272200-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 457
VALID 271955Z - 272045Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..08/27/20
ATTN...WFO...OKX...BOX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 457
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
CTC001-003-007-009-011-272045-
CT
. CONNECTICUT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAIRFIELD HARTFORD MIDDLESEX
NEW HAVEN NEW LONDON
$$
NYC071-079-087-103-119-272045-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ORANGE PUTNAM ROCKLAND
SUFFOLK WESTCHESTER
$$
RIC009-272045-
RI
. RHODE ISLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
WASHINGTON
$$
ANZ237-256-330-335-340-345-350-353-272045-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BLOCK ISLAND SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM MONTAUK NY TO MARTHAS VINEYARD EXTENDING OUT
TO 20 NM SOUTH OF BLOCK ISLAND
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.