Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 462
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Minnesota
Extreme western Wisconsin
* Effective this Friday morning from 150 AM until 900 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A well-organized thunderstorm complex, with a history of
severe measured gusts (some hurricane force) in South Dakota, should
maintain some severe-wind potential across much of southern
Minnesota through at least daybreak. Embedded, briefly tornadic
circulations also cannot be ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles south of
Ortonville MN to 35 miles north northeast of Rochester MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 460...WW 461...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Edwards
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 462
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
150 AM CDT Fri Aug 28 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Minnesota
Extreme western Wisconsin
* Effective this Friday morning from 150 AM until 900 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A well-organized thunderstorm complex, with a history of
severe measured gusts (some hurricane force) in South Dakota, should
maintain some severe-wind potential across much of southern
Minnesota through at least daybreak. Embedded, briefly tornadic
circulations also cannot be ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 60 miles south of
Ortonville MN to 35 miles north northeast of Rochester MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 460...WW 461...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
27035.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 462 SEVERE TSTM MN WI 280650Z - 281400Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
60S VVV/ORTONVILLE MN/ - 35NNE RST/ROCHESTER MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /50NNE FSD - 43NW ODI/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 45389642 45339223 43459223 43509642
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 462 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 462
VALID 281225Z - 281340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N MCW TO
25 ENE RST.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1609.
..LEITMAN..08/28/20
ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 462
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC099-281340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MOWER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 462
VALID 281125Z - 281240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE SPW
TO 20 SSW MKT TO 35 NW RST TO 35 ESE MSP TO 50 NE MSP.
..LEITMAN..08/28/20
ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 462
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC039-043-047-049-091-099-109-147-157-161-281240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DODGE FARIBAULT FREEBORN
GOODHUE MARTIN MOWER
OLMSTED STEELE WABASHA
WASECA
$$
WIC093-109-281240-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PIERCE ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 462
VALID 281000Z - 281140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SE OTG TO
30 NNW FRM TO 15 N MKT TO 20 W MSP TO 30 NW MSP TO 10 SE STC.
..LEITMAN..08/28/20
ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 462
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-013-037-039-043-047-049-053-079-091-099-103-109-123-131-
139-147-157-161-163-165-281140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BLUE EARTH DAKOTA
DODGE FARIBAULT FREEBORN
GOODHUE HENNEPIN LE SUEUR
MARTIN MOWER NICOLLET
OLMSTED RAMSEY RICE
SCOTT STEELE WABASHA
WASECA WASHINGTON WATONWAN
$$
WIC093-109-281140-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PIERCE ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 462
VALID 280915Z - 281040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE OTG
TO 20 SSW RWF TO 25 ENE RWF TO 30 NNE RWF TO 30 SSE AXN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1607.
..LEITMAN..08/28/20
ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 462
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-013-015-019-033-037-039-043-047-049-053-063-079-085-091-
093-099-103-109-123-131-139-143-147-157-161-163-165-171-
281040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BLUE EARTH BROWN
CARVER COTTONWOOD DAKOTA
DODGE FARIBAULT FREEBORN
GOODHUE HENNEPIN JACKSON
LE SUEUR MCLEOD MARTIN
MEEKER MOWER NICOLLET
OLMSTED RAMSEY RICE
SCOTT SIBLEY STEELE
WABASHA WASECA WASHINGTON
WATONWAN WRIGHT
$$
WIC093-109-281040-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PIERCE ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 462
VALID 280830Z - 280940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE FSD TO
20 WSW RWF TO 30 NW RWF TO 15 ENE VVV.
..LEITMAN..08/28/20
ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...ARX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 462
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC003-013-015-019-023-033-037-039-043-047-049-053-063-067-079-
085-091-093-099-101-103-105-109-123-127-129-131-139-143-147-151-
157-161-163-165-171-280940-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANOKA BLUE EARTH BROWN
CARVER CHIPPEWA COTTONWOOD
DAKOTA DODGE FARIBAULT
FREEBORN GOODHUE HENNEPIN
JACKSON KANDIYOHI LE SUEUR
MCLEOD MARTIN MEEKER
MOWER MURRAY NICOLLET
NOBLES OLMSTED RAMSEY
REDWOOD RENVILLE RICE
SCOTT SIBLEY STEELE
SWIFT WABASHA WASECA
WASHINGTON WATONWAN WRIGHT
$$
WIC093-109-280940-
WI
. WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PIERCE ST. CROIX
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.