Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 469
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM EDT Sat Aug 29 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far western Massachusetts
Eastern New York
Western and southern Vermont
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
900 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Multiple splitting supercells are possible across the
region initially with convection potentially growing into a cluster
near and east of the Hudson/Champlain Valleys.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 80 miles west of Glens
Falls NY to 20 miles east northeast of Rutland VT. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25030.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 469 SEVERE TSTM MA NY VT 291900Z - 300100Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
80W GFL/GLENS FALLS NY/ - 20ENE RUT/RUTLAND VT/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /44ENE SYR - 35S MPV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 44487521 44807258 42487258 42167521
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 469 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 469
VALID 292345Z - 300040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW MSV
TO 30 NNE MSV TO 20 SSW ALB TO 20 NE ALB TO 15 W RUT TO 20 SW MPV
TO 10 ENE MPV.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1637
..JEWELL..08/29/20
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BTV...BGM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 469
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MAC003-300040-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE
$$
NYC021-039-083-115-300040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA GREENE RENSSELAER
WASHINGTON
$$
VTC003-021-025-027-300040-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENNINGTON RUTLAND WINDHAM
WINDSOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 469
VALID 292320Z - 300040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E BGM TO
40 N MSV TO 20 NNW ALB TO 20 SSE BTV TO 35 NNE BTV.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1637
..JEWELL..08/29/20
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BTV...BGM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 469
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MAC003-300040-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE
$$
NYC001-021-025-039-083-091-093-095-113-115-300040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY COLUMBIA DELAWARE
GREENE RENSSELAER SARATOGA
SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE WARREN
WASHINGTON
$$
VTC001-003-007-013-021-025-027-300040-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON BENNINGTON CHITTENDEN
GRAND ISLE RUTLAND WINDHAM
WINDSOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 469
VALID 292215Z - 292340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..08/29/20
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BTV...BGM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 469
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MAC003-292340-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE
$$
NYC001-019-021-025-031-033-035-039-041-043-057-077-083-089-091-
093-095-113-115-292340-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CLINTON COLUMBIA
DELAWARE ESSEX FRANKLIN
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER MONTGOMERY OTSEGO
RENSSELAER ST. LAWRENCE SARATOGA
SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE WARREN
WASHINGTON
$$
VTC001-003-007-013-021-025-027-292340-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON BENNINGTON CHITTENDEN
GRAND ISLE RUTLAND WINDHAM
WINDSOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 469
VALID 292035Z - 292140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..08/29/20
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BTV...BGM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 469
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MAC003-292140-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE
$$
NYC001-019-021-025-031-033-035-039-041-043-057-077-083-089-091-
093-095-113-115-292140-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CLINTON COLUMBIA
DELAWARE ESSEX FRANKLIN
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER MONTGOMERY OTSEGO
RENSSELAER ST. LAWRENCE SARATOGA
SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE WARREN
WASHINGTON
$$
VTC001-003-007-013-021-025-027-292140-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON BENNINGTON CHITTENDEN
GRAND ISLE RUTLAND WINDHAM
WINDSOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 469
VALID 291930Z - 292040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..08/29/20
ATTN...WFO...ALY...BTV...BGM...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 469
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MAC003-292040-
MA
. MASSACHUSETTS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKSHIRE
$$
NYC001-019-021-025-031-033-035-039-041-043-057-077-083-089-091-
093-095-113-115-292040-
NY
. NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBANY CLINTON COLUMBIA
DELAWARE ESSEX FRANKLIN
FULTON GREENE HAMILTON
HERKIMER MONTGOMERY OTSEGO
RENSSELAER ST. LAWRENCE SARATOGA
SCHENECTADY SCHOHARIE WARREN
WASHINGTON
$$
VTC001-003-007-013-021-025-027-292040-
VT
. VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADDISON BENNINGTON CHITTENDEN
GRAND ISLE RUTLAND WINDHAM
WINDSOR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.