Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 473
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
835 PM CDT Sat Aug 29 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Texas Panhandle and South Plains
* Effective this Saturday night from 835 PM until Midnight CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A loosely organized complex of storms will continue to
steadily progress east-southeastward across the eastern Texas
Panhandle toward the Low Rolling Plains. Wind-driven large hail can
be expected with the most intense storms.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles west northwest
of Childress TX to 20 miles northeast of Childress TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 470...WW 471...WW 472...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28030.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 473 SEVERE TSTM TX 300135Z - 300500Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
70WNW CDS/CHILDRESS TX/ - 20NE CDS/CHILDRESS TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /31SSE AMA - 20NE CDS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
LAT...LON 35680142 35500003 33770003 33930142
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 473 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 473
VALID 300400Z - 300540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S AMA TO
45 SE AMA TO 45 E AMA TO 55 N CDS TO 60 WNW CSM.
..JEWELL..08/30/20
ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 473
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC045-075-087-101-129-153-191-345-437-483-300540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRISCOE CHILDRESS COLLINGSWORTH
COTTLE DONLEY FLOYD
HALL MOTLEY SWISHER
WHEELER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.