Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 484
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
645 PM EDT Wed Sep 2 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
District Of Columbia
Delaware
Central and Eastern Maryland
Southern New Jersey
Southeast Pennsylvania
Northern Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday night from 645 PM until Midnight EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms have intensified over northern Virginia and
central Maryland. This activity will track eastward across the
watch area through the evening hours, posing a risk of locally
damaging wind gusts. A tornado cannot be ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles southeast of
Washington DC to 50 miles east northeast of Harrisburg PA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24030.
...Hart
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 484
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
645 PM EDT Wed Sep 2 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
District Of Columbia
Delaware
Central and Eastern Maryland
Southern New Jersey
Southeast Pennsylvania
Northern Virginia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday night from 645 PM until Midnight EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms have intensified over northern Virginia and
central Maryland. This activity will track eastward across the
watch area through the evening hours, posing a risk of locally
damaging wind gusts. A tornado cannot be ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles southeast of
Washington DC to 50 miles east northeast of Harrisburg PA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 484 SEVERE TSTM DC DE MD NJ PA VA CW 022245Z - 030400Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40SE DCA/WASHINGTON DC/ - 50ENE CXY/HARRISBURG PA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /36SE DCA - 14WSW ETX/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 38437771 40497719 40497472 38437531
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 484 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 484
VALID 030245Z - 030340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE NHK
TO 40 NNE NHK TO 15 W DOV TO 15 NNE DOV TO 15 SW ACY.
..JEWELL..09/03/20
ATTN...WFO...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 484
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-030340-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT
$$
MDC011-030340-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAROLINE
$$
NJC011-030340-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUMBERLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 484
VALID 030150Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NE NHK TO
30 E BWI TO 15 W ILG TO 5 W PHL TO 25 E PHL.
..JEWELL..09/03/20
ATTN...WFO...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 484
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-030240-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE
$$
MDC011-015-029-035-041-030240-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAROLINE CECIL KENT
QUEEN ANNE'S TALBOT
$$
NJC011-015-033-030240-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER SALEM
$$
ANZ430-539-030240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ANZ430
ANZ539
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 484
VALID 030105Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE CHO
TO 25 WSW DCA TO 10 SW BWI TO 20 NNE BWI TO 30 WNW ILG TO 35 NNW
ILG TO 10 S ABE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1671
..JEWELL..09/03/20
ATTN...WFO...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 484
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-030240-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE
$$
MDC003-009-011-015-017-025-029-033-035-041-030240-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL CALVERT CAROLINE
CECIL CHARLES HARFORD
KENT PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE'S
TALBOT
$$
NJC011-015-033-030240-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER SALEM
$$
PAC029-045-091-101-030240-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHESTER DELAWARE MONTGOMERY
PHILADELPHIA
$$
ANZ430-530-532-533-539-540-541-542-030240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ANZ430
ANZ530
ANZ532
ANZ533
ANZ539
ANZ540
ANZ541
ANZ542
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 484
VALID 022355Z - 030040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S MRB TO
30 ESE MRB TO 30 WNW BWI TO 30 NNW BWI TO 15 SE CXY TO 10 ENE CXY
TO 35 NE CXY.
..JEWELL..09/02/20
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 484
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-030040-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE
$$
DCC001-030040-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-025-027-029-031-033-035-041-510-
030040-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL
CHARLES HARFORD HOWARD
KENT MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES
QUEEN ANNE'S TALBOT
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NJC011-015-033-030040-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER SALEM
$$
PAC011-029-045-071-075-091-101-133-030040-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKS CHESTER DELAWARE
LANCASTER LEBANON MONTGOMERY
PHILADELPHIA YORK
$$
VAC013-059-061-099-107-153-177-179-510-600-610-630-683-685-
030040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARLINGTON FAIRFAX FAUQUIER
KING GEORGE LOUDOUN PRINCE WILLIAM
SPOTSYLVANIA STAFFORD
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH
FREDERICKSBURG MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK
$$
ANZ430-530-531-532-533-535-536-538-539-540-541-542-030040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.