Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 485
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
340 PM EDT Thu Sep 3 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
District Of Columbia
Delaware
Maryland
Southern New Jersey
Southeast Pennsylvania
Northern Virginia
Eastern West Virginia Panhandle
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 340 PM until
1000 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...Multiple supercells will likely develop near and north of
the greater Washington D.C. area and spread east as a cluster across
the coastal plain through mid-evening. A few tornadoes and swaths of
damaging winds are likely.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles north northwest of Wilmington
DE to 30 miles west southwest of Patuxent River MD. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 27035.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 485 TORNADO DC DE MD NJ PA VA WV CW 031940Z - 040200Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NNW ILG/WILMINGTON DE/ - 30WSW NHK/PATUXENT RIVER MD/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /21SSW ETX - 41NNE RIC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
LAT...LON 40277430 38097537 38097849 40277753
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 485 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 485
VALID 040115Z - 040200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW WAL
TO 20 SE BWI TO 30 W DOV TO 15 NW DOV TO 10 E DOV TO 40 SE DOV.
WW 485 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 040200Z.
..JEWELL..09/04/20
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 485
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-005-040200-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT SUSSEX
$$
MDC011-019-035-039-041-045-047-040200-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CAROLINE DORCHESTER QUEEN ANNE'S
SOMERSET TALBOT WICOMICO
WORCESTER
$$
ANZ455-650-040200-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 485
VALID 032350Z - 040040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW NHK TO
15 NW NHK TO 30 S DCA TO 30 WSW DCA TO 10 NNW DCA TO 10 SSE BWI
TO 30 ESE BWI TO 20 S ILG TO 15 NNW PHL TO 20 ESE ABE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1674
..JEWELL..09/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 485
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-005-040040-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT SUSSEX
$$
DCC001-040040-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC009-011-017-019-033-035-037-039-041-045-047-040040-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALVERT CAROLINE CHARLES
DORCHESTER PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE'S
ST. MARYS SOMERSET TALBOT
WICOMICO WORCESTER
$$
NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-029-033-040040-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN
CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER
OCEAN SALEM
$$
PAC017-045-101-040040-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCKS DELAWARE PHILADELPHIA
$$
VAC013-059-153-510-600-610-683-685-040040-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARLINGTON FAIRFAX PRINCE WILLIAM
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA FAIRFAX FALLS CHURCH
MANASSAS MANASSAS PARK
$$
ANZ431-451-452-453-454-455-533-534-535-537-539-540-541-542-543-
650-040040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 485
VALID 032305Z - 040200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW MRB
TO 10 SSW MRB TO 30 SE HGR TO 25 N BWI TO 35 WNW ILG TO 40 NNW
ILG TO 15 N ABE.
WW 485 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 040200Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1674
..JEWELL..09/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 485
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-005-040200-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
$$
DCC001-040200-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-031-033-035-
037-039-041-045-047-510-040200-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL
CHARLES DORCHESTER FREDERICK
HARFORD HOWARD KENT
MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE'S
ST. MARYS SOMERSET TALBOT
WICOMICO WORCESTER
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-029-033-040200-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN
CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER
OCEAN SALEM
$$
PAC011-017-029-045-077-091-101-040200-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKS BUCKS CHESTER
DELAWARE LEHIGH MONTGOMERY
PHILADELPHIA
$$
VAC003-013-043-047-059-061-069-079-099-107-113-137-153-157-177-
179-187-510-540-600-610-630-683-685-840-040200-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE ARLINGTON CLARKE
CULPEPER FAIRFAX FAUQUIER
FREDERICK GREENE KING GEORGE
LOUDOUN MADISON ORANGE
PRINCE WILLIAM RAPPAHANNOCK SPOTSYLVANIA
STAFFORD WARREN
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA CHARLOTTESVILLE FAIRFAX
FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG MANASSAS
MANASSAS PARK WINCHESTER
$$
WVC037-040200-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON
$$
ANZ430-431-451-452-453-454-455-530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-
538-539-540-541-542-543-650-040200-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 485
VALID 032145Z - 032240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..09/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 485
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-005-032240-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
$$
DCC001-032240-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-031-033-035-
037-039-041-043-045-047-510-032240-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL
CHARLES DORCHESTER FREDERICK
HARFORD HOWARD KENT
MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE'S
ST. MARYS SOMERSET TALBOT
WASHINGTON WICOMICO WORCESTER
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-029-033-032240-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN
CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER
OCEAN SALEM
$$
PAC001-011-017-029-041-043-045-055-071-075-077-091-101-133-
032240-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BERKS BUCKS
CHESTER CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN
DELAWARE FRANKLIN LANCASTER
LEBANON LEHIGH MONTGOMERY
PHILADELPHIA YORK
$$
VAC003-013-043-047-059-061-069-079-099-107-113-137-153-157-177-
179-187-510-540-600-610-630-683-685-840-032240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE ARLINGTON CLARKE
CULPEPER FAIRFAX FAUQUIER
FREDERICK GREENE KING GEORGE
LOUDOUN MADISON ORANGE
PRINCE WILLIAM RAPPAHANNOCK SPOTSYLVANIA
STAFFORD WARREN
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA CHARLOTTESVILLE FAIRFAX
FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG MANASSAS
MANASSAS PARK WINCHESTER
$$
WVC003-037-032240-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKELEY JEFFERSON
$$
ANZ430-431-451-452-453-454-455-530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-
538-539-540-541-542-543-650-032240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 485
VALID 032025Z - 032140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BENTLEY..09/03/20
ATTN...WFO...LWX...PHI...AKQ...CTP...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 485
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
DEC001-003-005-032140-
DE
. DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
KENT NEW CASTLE SUSSEX
$$
DCC001-032140-
DC
. DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
$$
MDC003-005-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-029-031-033-035-
037-039-041-043-045-047-510-032140-
MD
. MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANNE ARUNDEL BALTIMORE CALVERT
CAROLINE CARROLL CECIL
CHARLES DORCHESTER FREDERICK
HARFORD HOWARD KENT
MONTGOMERY PRINCE GEORGES QUEEN ANNE'S
ST. MARYS SOMERSET TALBOT
WASHINGTON WICOMICO WORCESTER
MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
BALTIMORE CITY
$$
NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-029-033-032140-
NJ
. NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATLANTIC BURLINGTON CAMDEN
CAPE MAY CUMBERLAND GLOUCESTER
OCEAN SALEM
$$
PAC001-011-017-029-041-043-045-055-071-075-077-091-101-133-
032140-
PA
. PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BERKS BUCKS
CHESTER CUMBERLAND DAUPHIN
DELAWARE FRANKLIN LANCASTER
LEBANON LEHIGH MONTGOMERY
PHILADELPHIA YORK
$$
VAC003-013-043-047-059-061-069-079-099-107-113-137-153-157-177-
179-187-510-540-600-610-630-683-685-840-032140-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALBEMARLE ARLINGTON CLARKE
CULPEPER FAIRFAX FAUQUIER
FREDERICK GREENE KING GEORGE
LOUDOUN MADISON ORANGE
PRINCE WILLIAM RAPPAHANNOCK SPOTSYLVANIA
STAFFORD WARREN
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDRIA CHARLOTTESVILLE FAIRFAX
FALLS CHURCH FREDERICKSBURG MANASSAS
MANASSAS PARK WINCHESTER
$$
WVC003-037-032140-
WV
. WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERKELEY JEFFERSON
$$
ANZ430-431-451-452-453-454-455-530-531-532-533-534-535-536-537-
538-539-540-541-542-543-650-032140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM
CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD
CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM KEY BRIDGE TO INDIAN HEAD MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD
TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA
PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR
CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD
EASTERN BAY
CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER
PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD
TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND
COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.