Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 493
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
305 PM EDT Thu Sep 17 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeastern North Carolina
Eastern South Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 305 PM until
1100 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to track
eastward across South Carolina and into the watch area. The
stronger cells will pose a risk of tornadoes and locally damaging
wind gusts through much of the evening.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 40 statute miles
either side of a line from 50 miles south southwest of Fayetteville
NC to 35 miles east of New Bern NC. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 492...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 493 TORNADO NC SC CW 171905Z - 180300Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
50SSW FAY/FAYETTEVILLE NC/ - 35E EWN/NEW BERN NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM EITHER SIDE /22E FLO - 72S ECG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22030.
LAT...LON 34867939 35637660 34507626 33747905
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 493 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 493
VALID 180150Z - 180240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE CRE
TO 15 WNW ILM TO 10 N OAJ TO 45 WNW HSE.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1702
..JEWELL..09/18/20
ATTN...WFO...ILM...MHX...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC019-031-103-129-133-137-141-180240-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRUNSWICK CARTERET JONES
NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PAMLICO
PENDER
$$
AMZ137-156-158-250-252-180240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 493
VALID 180015Z - 180140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE CRE
TO 30 NE CRE TO 25 NW ILM TO 25 WNW OAJ TO 35 NNW EWN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1702
..JEWELL..09/18/20
ATTN...WFO...ILM...MHX...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC019-031-049-061-103-107-129-133-137-141-180140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRUNSWICK CARTERET CRAVEN
DUPLIN JONES LENOIR
NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PAMLICO
PENDER
$$
AMZ137-156-158-250-252-180140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 493
VALID 172300Z - 180040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1702
..JEWELL..09/17/20
ATTN...WFO...ILM...MHX...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC017-019-031-047-049-051-061-079-093-103-107-129-133-137-141-
155-163-165-191-180040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK CARTERET
COLUMBUS CRAVEN CUMBERLAND
DUPLIN GREENE HOKE
JONES LENOIR NEW HANOVER
ONSLOW PAMLICO PENDER
ROBESON SAMPSON SCOTLAND
WAYNE
$$
SCC051-180040-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HORRY
$$
AMZ137-156-158-250-252-254-180040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 493
VALID 172020Z - 172140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..KERR..09/17/20
ATTN...WFO...ILM...MHX...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 493
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC017-019-031-047-049-051-061-079-093-103-107-129-133-137-141-
155-163-165-191-172140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK CARTERET
COLUMBUS CRAVEN CUMBERLAND
DUPLIN GREENE HOKE
JONES LENOIR NEW HANOVER
ONSLOW PAMLICO PENDER
ROBESON SAMPSON SCOTLAND
WAYNE
$$
SCC051-172140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HORRY
$$
AMZ137-156-158-250-252-254-172140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.