Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 497
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
350 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Alabama
Florida Panhandle
Southeast Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 350 AM until
100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
SUMMARY...A moist environment and strong low-level shear on the
eastern periphery of Tropical Storm Delta will support the
possibility of a couple of tornadoes through the morning, and
possibly into the afternoon.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles northwest of Evergreen AL to
30 miles south southwest of Pensacola FL. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 19040.
...Guyer
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 497
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
350 AM CDT Sat Oct 10 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Alabama
Florida Panhandle
Southeast Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 350 AM until
100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
SUMMARY...A moist environment and strong low-level shear on the
eastern periphery of Tropical Storm Delta will support the
possibility of a couple of tornadoes through the morning, and
possibly into the afternoon.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles northwest of Evergreen AL to
30 miles south southwest of Pensacola FL. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 19040.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 497 TORNADO AL FL MS CW 100850Z - 101800Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NW GZH/EVERGREEN AL/ - 30SSW PNS/PENSACOLA FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /65ESE MEI - 58SW CEW/
WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450.MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 19040.
LAT...LON 31938653 30068629 30068846 31938875
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 497 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 497
VALID 101640Z - 101740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S PNS TO
10 SE GZH TO 20 SE SEM.
..DEAN..10/10/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 497
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC013-035-039-041-053-101740-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA
$$
FLC091-113-101740-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
GMZ634-635-655-101740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 497
VALID 101535Z - 101640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW PNS TO
20 SW PNS TO 30 N PNS TO 10 S SEM.
..DEAN..10/10/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 497
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC013-035-039-041-053-101640-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA
$$
FLC091-113-101640-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
GMZ634-635-650-655-101640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 497
VALID 101440Z - 101540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW PNS TO
25 SW PNS TO 20 WSW GZH TO 20 SW SEM.
..DEAN..10/10/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 497
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC013-035-039-041-053-099-131-101540-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA MONROE
WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-101540-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
GMZ633-634-635-650-655-101540-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 497
VALID 101335Z - 101440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 SW PNS TO
30 WSW GZH TO 25 WSW SEM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1730
..DEAN..10/10/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 497
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-035-039-041-053-099-131-101440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA
MONROE WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-101440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
GMZ631-633-634-635-650-655-101440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 497
VALID 101230Z - 101340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSE MOB
TO 40 WSW GZH TO 50 WSW SEM.
..GOSS..10/10/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 497
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-035-039-041-053-099-131-101340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CONECUH
COVINGTON CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA
MONROE WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-101340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
GMZ631-633-634-635-650-655-101340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 497
VALID 101125Z - 101240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S MOB TO
30 NNE MOB TO 50 ESE MEI.
..GOSS..10/10/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 497
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-025-035-039-041-053-097-099-131-101240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CLARKE
CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW
ESCAMBIA MOBILE MONROE
WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-101240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
GMZ630-631-632-633-634-635-650-655-101240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 497
VALID 101025Z - 101140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 S MOB TO
20 N MOB TO 25 SE MEI.
..GOSS..10/10/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 497
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-023-025-035-039-041-053-097-099-129-131-101140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW
CLARKE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA MOBILE
MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-101140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
GMZ630-631-632-633-634-635-650-655-101140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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