SEL9

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 499
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   210 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2020

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Northern New York
     Vermont

   * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
     900 PM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
     Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm development is expected this
   afternoon in advance of a cold front approaching the Saint Lawrence
   Valley.  A mix of supercells and line segments is expected, with a
   primary threat for damaging winds before the storms weaken by late
   evening.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
   statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west southwest
   of Saranac Lake NY to 30 miles east of Montpelier VT. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 498...

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
   cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
   27050.

   ...Thompson

   SEL9

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 499
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   210 PM EDT Sat Oct 10 2020

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Northern New York
     Vermont

   * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
     900 PM EDT.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
     Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

   SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm development is expected this
   afternoon in advance of a cold front approaching the Saint Lawrence
   Valley.  A mix of supercells and line segments is expected, with a
   primary threat for damaging winds before the storms weaken by late
   evening.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
   statute miles north and south of a line from 45 miles west southwest
   of Saranac Lake NY to 30 miles east of Montpelier VT. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 498...

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
   cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
   27050.

   ...Thompson

   WOUS64 KWNS 101811
   WOU9

   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 499
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   210 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2020

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 499 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

   NYC019-031-033-035-041-043-057-089-091-113-115-110100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0499.201010T1810Z-201011T0100Z/

   NY 
   .    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   CLINTON              ESSEX               FRANKLIN            
   FULTON               HAMILTON            HERKIMER            
   MONTGOMERY           SARATOGA            ST. LAWRENCE        
   WARREN               WASHINGTON          


   VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
   110100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0499.201010T1810Z-201011T0100Z/

   VT 
   .    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   ADDISON              BENNINGTON          CALEDONIA           
   CHITTENDEN           ESSEX               FRANKLIN            
   GRAND ISLE           LAMOILLE            ORANGE              
   ORLEANS              RUTLAND             WASHINGTON          
   WINDHAM              WINDSOR             


   ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...

   SAW9 
   WW 499 SEVERE TSTM NY VT 101810Z - 110100Z
   AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   45WSW SLK/SARANAC LAKE NY/ - 30E MPV/MONTPELIER VT/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /49SSW MSS - 27E MPV/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27050.

   LAT...LON 45007504 45077194 43337194 43267504

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU9.

Watch 499 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 499

VALID 110045Z - 110100Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S UCA TO
35 WSW GFL TO 20 W RUT TO 5 WSW MPV TO 20 NNE EFK.

WW 499 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 110100Z.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1737

..MOORE..10/11/20

ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 499 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC057-091-115-110100-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

MONTGOMERY	     SARATOGA		 WASHINGTON	     
$$


VTC003-005-009-017-019-021-023-025-027-110100-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENNINGTON	     CALEDONIA		 ESSEX		     
ORANGE		     ORLEANS		 RUTLAND	     
WASHINGTON	     WINDHAM		 WINDSOR	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 499

VALID 110015Z - 110140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N UCA TO
30 SSW SLK TO 20 W BTV TO 30 NNE EFK.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1735

..MOORE..10/11/20

ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 499 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC031-035-041-057-091-113-115-110140-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ESSEX		     FULTON		 HAMILTON	     
MONTGOMERY	     SARATOGA		 WARREN 	     
WASHINGTON	     
$$


VTC001-003-005-007-009-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-110140-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADDISON 	     BENNINGTON 	 CALEDONIA	     
CHITTENDEN	     ESSEX		 LAMOILLE	     
ORANGE		     ORLEANS		 RUTLAND	     
WASHINGTON	     WINDHAM		 WINDSOR	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 499

VALID 102345Z - 110040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE ART TO
45 SW SLK TO 35 ENE MSS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1735

..MOORE..10/10/20

ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 499 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC019-031-033-035-041-043-057-091-113-115-110040-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLINTON 	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
FULTON		     HAMILTON		 HERKIMER	     
MONTGOMERY	     SARATOGA		 WARREN 	     
WASHINGTON	     
$$


VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
110040-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADDISON 	     BENNINGTON 	 CALEDONIA	     
CHITTENDEN	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
GRAND ISLE	     LAMOILLE		 ORANGE 	     
ORLEANS 	     RUTLAND		 WASHINGTON	     
WINDHAM 	     WINDSOR		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 499

VALID 102245Z - 102340Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1735

..MOORE..10/10/20

ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 499 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC019-031-033-035-041-043-057-089-091-113-115-102340-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLINTON 	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
FULTON		     HAMILTON		 HERKIMER	     
MONTGOMERY	     ST. LAWRENCE	 SARATOGA	     
WARREN		     WASHINGTON 	 
$$


VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
102340-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADDISON 	     BENNINGTON 	 CALEDONIA	     
CHITTENDEN	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
GRAND ISLE	     LAMOILLE		 ORANGE 	     
ORLEANS 	     RUTLAND		 WASHINGTON	     
WINDHAM 	     WINDSOR		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 499

VALID 102145Z - 102240Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1733

..MOORE..10/10/20

ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 499 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC019-031-033-035-041-043-057-089-091-113-115-102240-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLINTON 	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
FULTON		     HAMILTON		 HERKIMER	     
MONTGOMERY	     ST. LAWRENCE	 SARATOGA	     
WARREN		     WASHINGTON 	 
$$


VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
102240-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADDISON 	     BENNINGTON 	 CALEDONIA	     
CHITTENDEN	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
GRAND ISLE	     LAMOILLE		 ORANGE 	     
ORLEANS 	     RUTLAND		 WASHINGTON	     
WINDHAM 	     WINDSOR		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 499

VALID 101925Z - 102040Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..BENTLEY..10/10/20

ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 499 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NYC019-031-033-035-041-043-057-089-091-113-115-102040-

NY 
.    NEW YORK COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CLINTON 	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
FULTON		     HAMILTON		 HERKIMER	     
MONTGOMERY	     ST. LAWRENCE	 SARATOGA	     
WARREN		     WASHINGTON 	 
$$


VTC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-
102040-

VT 
.    VERMONT COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADDISON 	     BENNINGTON 	 CALEDONIA	     
CHITTENDEN	     ESSEX		 FRANKLIN	     
GRAND ISLE	     LAMOILLE		 ORANGE 	     
ORLEANS 	     RUTLAND		 WASHINGTON	     
WINDHAM 	     WINDSOR		 
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.