Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 501
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
155 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of northeast and east central Indiana
Southeast Lower Michigan
Parts of western and northern Ohio
Lake Erie
Lake Huron
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until
900 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Bands of thunderstorms will intensify this afternoon while
spreading eastward along and just ahead of a cold front. The storm
environment favors the potential for damaging winds with the
stronger embedded cells/line segments. Isolated large hail will
also be possible, and an brief tornado cannot be ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 80 miles north northeast
of Mount Clemens MI to 25 miles south southwest of Dayton OH. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Thompson
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 501
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
155 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of northeast and east central Indiana
Southeast Lower Michigan
Parts of western and northern Ohio
Lake Erie
Lake Huron
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until
900 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Bands of thunderstorms will intensify this afternoon while
spreading eastward along and just ahead of a cold front. The storm
environment favors the potential for damaging winds with the
stronger embedded cells/line segments. Isolated large hail will
also be possible, and an brief tornado cannot be ruled out.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 80 miles north northeast
of Mount Clemens MI to 25 miles south southwest of Dayton OH. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 501 SEVERE TSTM IN MI OH LE LH 231755Z - 240100Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
80NNE MTC/MOUNT CLEMENS MI/ - 25SSW DAY/DAYTON OH/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /33NE ECK - 36NNE CVG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 43668082 39568309 39568571 43668362
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 501 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 501
VALID 232345Z - 240040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNW LUK
TO 35 WNW CMH TO 20 SW MFD TO 20 NNE MFD TO 5 ENE CLE.
..JEWELL..10/23/20
ATTN...WFO...IWX...ILN...DTX...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 501
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC015-037-117-191-240040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CAMPBELL KENTON
PENDLETON
$$
OHC005-017-021-023-025-027-041-047-049-057-061-097-101-113-117-
139-159-165-240040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BUTLER CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CLERMONT CLINTON
DELAWARE FAYETTE FRANKLIN
GREENE HAMILTON MADISON
MARION MONTGOMERY MORROW
RICHLAND UNION WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 501
VALID 232230Z - 232340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE IND
TO 35 W DAY TO 30 NNE DAY TO 25 SE FDY TO 35 NNW MFD TO 40 NW CLE
TO 50 ESE MTC.
..JEWELL..10/23/20
ATTN...WFO...IWX...ILN...DTX...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 501
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC029-047-115-137-155-161-232340-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DEARBORN FRANKLIN OHIO
RIPLEY SWITZERLAND UNION
$$
KYC015-037-041-077-117-187-191-232340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CAMPBELL CARROLL
GALLATIN KENTON OWEN
PENDLETON
$$
OHC005-017-021-023-025-027-033-041-043-047-049-057-061-077-091-
093-097-101-109-113-117-135-139-159-165-175-232340-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLAND BUTLER CHAMPAIGN
CLARK CLERMONT CLINTON
CRAWFORD DELAWARE ERIE
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE
HAMILTON HURON LOGAN
LORAIN MADISON MARION
MIAMI MONTGOMERY MORROW
PREBLE RICHLAND UNION
WARREN WYANDOT
$$
LEZ144-145-164-165-232340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 501
VALID 232135Z - 232240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ESE IND
TO 30 W FDY TO 10 SE MTC TO 65 E BAX.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE FORTHCOMING MESOSCALE DISCUSSION
1752.
..GRAMS..10/23/20
ATTN...WFO...IWX...ILN...DTX...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 501
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC029-041-047-115-137-155-161-177-232240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DEARBORN FAYETTE FRANKLIN
OHIO RIPLEY SWITZERLAND
UNION WAYNE
$$
KYC015-037-041-077-117-187-191-232240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE CAMPBELL CARROLL
GALLATIN KENTON OWEN
PENDLETON
$$
OHC003-005-011-017-021-023-025-027-033-037-041-043-047-049-057-
061-063-065-077-091-093-097-101-109-113-117-123-135-137-139-143-
147-149-159-165-173-175-232240-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ASHLAND AUGLAIZE
BUTLER CHAMPAIGN CLARK
CLERMONT CLINTON CRAWFORD
DARKE DELAWARE ERIE
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GREENE
HAMILTON HANCOCK HARDIN
HURON LOGAN LORAIN
MADISON MARION MIAMI
MONTGOMERY MORROW OTTAWA
PREBLE PUTNAM RICHLAND
SANDUSKY SENECA SHELBY
UNION WARREN WOOD
WYANDOT
$$
LEZ142-143-144-145-162-163-164-165-232240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
DETROIT RIVER LT. TO MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5NM
OFFSHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 501
VALID 232025Z - 232140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW MIE
TO 35 ENE MIE TO 30 ENE FWA TO 10 ENE ARB TO 40 E BAX.
..KERR..10/23/20
ATTN...WFO...IWX...ILN...DTX...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 501
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC041-047-161-177-232140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE FRANKLIN UNION
WAYNE
$$
MIC091-099-115-147-163-232140-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LENAWEE MACOMB MONROE
ST. CLAIR WAYNE
$$
OHC003-005-011-017-021-023-027-033-037-039-041-043-047-049-051-
057-063-065-069-077-091-093-095-097-101-107-109-113-117-123-125-
135-137-139-143-147-149-159-161-165-173-175-232140-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ASHLAND AUGLAIZE
BUTLER CHAMPAIGN CLARK
CLINTON CRAWFORD DARKE
DEFIANCE DELAWARE ERIE
FAYETTE FRANKLIN FULTON
GREENE HANCOCK HARDIN
HENRY HURON LOGAN
LORAIN LUCAS MADISON
MARION MERCER MIAMI
MONTGOMERY MORROW OTTAWA
PAULDING PREBLE PUTNAM
RICHLAND SANDUSKY SENECA
SHELBY UNION VAN WERT
WARREN WOOD WYANDOT
$$
LCZ422-423-460-LEZ142-143-144-145-162-163-164-165-444-LHZ443-463-
464-232140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. CLAIR RIVER
DETROIT RIVER
LAKE ST. CLAIR OPEN LAKE (U.S. PORTION)
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
DETROIT RIVER LT. TO MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5NM
OFFSHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC 5NM OFF SHORE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON 5NM OFF SHORE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 501
VALID 231930Z - 232040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW JXN
TO 10 SW BAX.
..KERR..10/23/20
ATTN...WFO...IWX...ILN...DTX...CLE...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 501
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC001-003-009-041-047-053-069-075-161-177-179-232040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ALLEN BLACKFORD
FAYETTE FRANKLIN GRANT
HUNTINGTON JAY UNION
WAYNE WELLS
$$
MIC063-087-091-099-115-125-147-151-161-163-232040-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HURON LAPEER LENAWEE
MACOMB MONROE OAKLAND
ST. CLAIR SANILAC WASHTENAW
WAYNE
$$
OHC003-005-011-017-021-023-027-033-037-039-041-043-047-049-051-
057-063-065-069-077-091-093-095-097-101-107-109-113-117-123-125-
135-137-139-143-147-149-159-161-165-171-173-175-232040-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN ASHLAND AUGLAIZE
BUTLER CHAMPAIGN CLARK
CLINTON CRAWFORD DARKE
DEFIANCE DELAWARE ERIE
FAYETTE FRANKLIN FULTON
GREENE HANCOCK HARDIN
HENRY HURON LOGAN
LORAIN LUCAS MADISON
MARION MERCER MIAMI
MONTGOMERY MORROW OTTAWA
PAULDING PREBLE PUTNAM
RICHLAND SANDUSKY SENECA
SHELBY UNION VAN WERT
WARREN WILLIAMS WOOD
WYANDOT
$$
LCZ422-423-460-LEZ142-143-144-145-162-163-164-165-444-LHZ441-442-
443-462-463-464-232040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ST. CLAIR RIVER
DETROIT RIVER
LAKE ST. CLAIR OPEN LAKE (U.S. PORTION)
MAUMEE BAY TO RENO BEACH OH
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH
DETROIT RIVER LT. TO MAUMEE BAY OH TO RENO BEACH OH BEYOND 5NM
OFFSHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN BORDER
RENO BEACH TO THE ISLANDS OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
THE ISLANDS TO VERMILION OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER
MICHIGAN WATERS OF LAKE ERIE FROM DETROIT RIVER TO NORTH CAPE MI
PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH MI
HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC MI
PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON MI
LAKE HURON FROM PORT AUSTIN TO HARBOR BEACH 5NM OFF SHORE TO THE
US/CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE HURON FROM HARBOR BEACH TO PORT SANILAC 5NM OFF SHORE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
LAKE HURON FROM PORT SANILAC TO PORT HURON 5NM OFF SHORE TO
US/CANADIAN BORDER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.