Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 502
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
100 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwestern and south central Alabama
The western Florida Panhandle
Southeastern Louisiana
Southeastern Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 100 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
SUMMARY...Hurricane Zeta will make landfall later this afternoon in
southeast Louisiana, and then continue northeastward across
southeastern Mississippi into Alabama early tonight. The threat for
rotating storms and a couple of tornadoes will gradually increase
through the afternoon/evening as the outer eastern and northeastern
convective bands spread inland.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles north of Crestview FL to 5
miles south southwest of New Orleans LA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 0 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 16040.
...Thompson
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 502
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
100 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southwestern and south central Alabama
The western Florida Panhandle
Southeastern Louisiana
Southeastern Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon from 100 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
SUMMARY...Hurricane Zeta will make landfall later this afternoon in
southeast Louisiana, and then continue northeastward across
southeastern Mississippi into Alabama early tonight. The threat for
rotating storms and a couple of tornadoes will gradually increase
through the afternoon/evening as the outer eastern and northeastern
convective bands spread inland.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles north of Crestview FL to 5
miles south southwest of New Orleans LA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 0 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 16040.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 502 TORNADO AL FL LA MS CW 281800Z - 290500Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20N CEW/CRESTVIEW FL/ - 5SSW MSY/NEW ORLEANS LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /17NNE CEW - 16WNW HRV/
WIND GUSTS..0 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500.MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 16040.
LAT...LON 30138652 28999028 30879028 32008652
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 502 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #8 ON WW 502
VALID 290440Z - 290500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SSW PNS
TO 30 N PNS TO 5 NW GZH TO 25 NNW GZH.
REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW 502 COULD BE LOCALLY EXTENDED IN TIME
FOR AN HOUR OR SO. OTHERWISE, WW 502 MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT
29/05Z.
..KERR..10/29/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 502
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC013-035-039-041-053-131-290500-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-290500-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
GMZ633-634-635-655-290500-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 502
VALID 290335Z - 290440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 65 SW PNS TO
35 E MOB TO 45 NE MOB TO 60 W GZH.
..KERR..10/29/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 502
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-025-035-039-041-053-099-131-290440-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CLARKE
CONECUH COVINGTON CRENSHAW
ESCAMBIA MONROE WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-290440-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
GMZ633-634-635-650-655-290440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 502
VALID 290230Z - 290340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SE GPT TO
15 SSW MOB TO 35 WNW MOB TO 30 ESE PIB.
..KERR..10/29/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 502
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-023-025-035-039-041-053-097-099-129-131-290340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW
CLARKE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA MOBILE
MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-290340-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
MSC039-041-153-290340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE WAYNE
$$
GMZ630-631-632-633-634-635-650-655-290340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 502
VALID 290125Z - 290240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 ENE BVE
TO 40 SE GPT TO 5 E GPT TO 35 NNE ASD TO 25 SSW PIB.
..KERR..10/29/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 502
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-023-025-035-039-041-053-097-099-129-131-290240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW
CLARKE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA MOBILE
MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-290240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
MSC039-041-047-059-111-131-153-290240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE HARRISON
JACKSON PERRY STONE
WAYNE
$$
GMZ630-631-632-633-634-635-650-655-290240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 502
VALID 290030Z - 290140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 E BVE TO
35 SW GPT TO 15 ESE ASD TO 5 SW ASD TO 40 ESE MCB.
..KERR..10/29/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 502
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-023-025-035-039-041-053-097-099-129-131-290140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW
CLARKE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA MOBILE
MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-290140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
LAC103-290140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ST. TAMMANY
$$
MSC039-041-045-047-059-109-111-131-153-290140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE HANCOCK
HARRISON JACKSON PEARL RIVER
PERRY STONE WAYNE
$$
GMZ532-536-555-557-630-631-632-633-634-635-650-655-290140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
CHANDELEUR SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 502
VALID 282330Z - 290040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 E BVE TO
30 NNW BVE TO 5 NNW MSY.
..KERR..10/28/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 502
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-023-025-035-039-041-053-097-099-129-131-290040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW
CLARKE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA MOBILE
MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-290040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
LAC071-087-103-117-290040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ORLEANS ST. BERNARD ST. TAMMANY
WASHINGTON
$$
MSC039-041-045-047-059-109-111-131-153-290040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE HANCOCK
HARRISON JACKSON PEARL RIVER
PERRY STONE WAYNE
$$
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-555-557-630-631-632-633-634-635-650-655-
290040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
LAKE BORGNE
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 502
VALID 281935Z - 282040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..10/28/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 502
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-023-025-035-039-041-053-097-099-129-131-282040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW
CLARKE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA MOBILE
MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-282040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
LAC051-057-071-075-087-089-103-109-117-282040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE ORLEANS
PLAQUEMINES ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES
ST. TAMMANY TERREBONNE WASHINGTON
$$
MSC039-041-045-047-059-109-111-131-153-282040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE HANCOCK
HARRISON JACKSON PEARL RIVER
PERRY STONE WAYNE
$$
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-630-631-632-633-634-635-
650-655-282040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
LAKE BORGNE
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 502
VALID 281900Z - 282040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..10/28/20
ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 502
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC003-013-023-025-035-039-041-053-097-099-129-131-282040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALDWIN BUTLER CHOCTAW
CLARKE CONECUH COVINGTON
CRENSHAW ESCAMBIA MOBILE
MONROE WASHINGTON WILCOX
$$
FLC033-091-113-282040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ESCAMBIA OKALOOSA SANTA ROSA
$$
LAC051-057-071-075-087-089-103-109-117-282040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
JEFFERSON LAFOURCHE ORLEANS
PLAQUEMINES ST. BERNARD ST. CHARLES
ST. TAMMANY TERREBONNE WASHINGTON
$$
MSC039-041-045-047-059-109-111-131-153-282040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GEORGE GREENE HANCOCK
HARRISON JACKSON PEARL RIVER
PERRY STONE WAYNE
$$
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-630-631-632-633-634-635-
650-655-282040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
LAKE BORGNE
CHANDELEUR SOUND
BRETON SOUND
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20
NM
NORTH MOBILE BAY
SOUTH MOBILE BAY
MISSISSIPPI SOUND
PERDIDO BAY AREA
PENSACOLA BAY AREA INCLUDING SANTA ROSA SOUND
WESTERN CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO PENSACOLA FL
OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.