Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 503
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1135 PM CDT Wed Oct 28 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Alabama
Florida Panhandle
Southwest Georgia
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 1135
PM until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Hurricane Zeta is tracking rapidly northeastward across
central Alabama. Isolated small thunderstorms in the southeast
quadrant of the system will pose a risk of a tornado or two
overnight tonight across the watch area.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles south southwest of Panama City
FL to 10 miles north northeast of Columbus GA. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 502...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 20050.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 503 TORNADO AL FL GA CW 290435Z - 291000Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50SSW PFN/PANAMA CITY FL/ - 10NNE CSG/COLUMBUS GA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /85SSE CEW - 30SE LGC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20050.
LAT...LON 29558691 32658581 32658392 29558508
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 503 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 503
VALID 290835Z - 290940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SSE PNS
TO 20 NE CSG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1770
..MOSIER..10/29/20
ATTN...WFO...BMX...TAE...FFC...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 503
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC067-069-290940-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HENRY HOUSTON
$$
FLC005-013-045-063-133-290940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAY CALHOUN GULF
JACKSON WASHINGTON
$$
GAC007-037-053-061-095-099-177-193-197-201-239-243-249-253-259-
261-263-269-273-307-290940-
GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAKER CALHOUN CHATTAHOOCHEE
CLAY DOUGHERTY EARLY
LEE MACON MARION
MILLER QUITMAN RANDOLPH
SCHLEY SEMINOLE STEWART
SUMTER TALBOT TAYLOR
TERRELL WEBSTER
$$
GMZ750-770-290940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH
OUT 20 NM
WATERS FROM OKALOOSA-WALTON COUNTY LINE TO MEXICO BEACH FROM 20
TO 60 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.