Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 504
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Iowa
Western Illinois
Northeast Missouri
* Effective this Tuesday morning and evening from 1120 AM until
600 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are beginning to intensify along a cold
front over Missouri and southeast Iowa. These storms will track
quickly northeastward across the watch area, posing a risk of
locally damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles east southeast
of Jefferson City MO to 30 miles northwest of Rockford IL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
23040.
...Hart
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 504
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1120 AM CST Tue Nov 10 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Iowa
Western Illinois
Northeast Missouri
* Effective this Tuesday morning and evening from 1120 AM until
600 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are beginning to intensify along a cold
front over Missouri and southeast Iowa. These storms will track
quickly northeastward across the watch area, posing a risk of
locally damaging wind gusts and a tornado or two.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles east southeast
of Jefferson City MO to 30 miles northwest of Rockford IL. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
23040.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 504 SEVERE TSTM IA IL MO 101720Z - 110000Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20ESE JEF/JEFFERSON CITY MO/ - 30NW RFD/ROCKFORD IL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /28SE COU - 53E DBQ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.
LAT...LON 38489301 42509079 42508824 38489061
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 504 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 504
VALID 102235Z - 102340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW STL TO
15 W STL TO 15 W SPI TO 20 NE PIA TO 30 WSW MMO TO 10 S MMO.
..WENDT..11/10/20
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ILX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 504
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC107-113-167-203-102340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LOGAN MCLEAN SANGAMON
WOODFORD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 504
VALID 102025Z - 102140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSE JEF
TO 30 E COU TO 30 SE BRL TO 10 S MLI TO 30 NNW MLI TO 30 WNW DBQ.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1781
..COOK..11/10/20
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ILX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 504
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-013-017-061-083-107-109-113-125-129-131-137-149-167-
169-171-179-187-203-102140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN CALHOUN
CASS GREENE JERSEY
LOGAN MCDONOUGH MCLEAN
MASON MENARD MERCER
MORGAN PIKE SANGAMON
SCHUYLER SCOTT TAZEWELL
WARREN WOODFORD
$$
MOC113-139-163-219-102140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LINCOLN MONTGOMERY PIKE
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 504
VALID 101930Z - 102040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW JEF
TO 35 NNE COU TO 30 NW UIN TO 40 S CID.
..COOK..11/10/20
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ILX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 504
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-011-013-015-017-057-061-067-071-073-083-085-095-107-
109-113-123-125-129-131-137-143-149-155-161-167-169-171-175-177-
179-187-195-203-102040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN BUREAU
CALHOUN CARROLL CASS
FULTON GREENE HANCOCK
HENDERSON HENRY JERSEY
JO DAVIESS KNOX LOGAN
MCDONOUGH MCLEAN MARSHALL
MASON MENARD MERCER
MORGAN PEORIA PIKE
PUTNAM ROCK ISLAND SANGAMON
SCHUYLER SCOTT STARK
STEPHENSON TAZEWELL WARREN
WHITESIDE WOODFORD
$$
IAC045-057-087-097-111-115-139-163-102040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLINTON DES MOINES HENRY
JACKSON LEE LOUISA
MUSCATINE SCOTT
$$
MOC007-027-113-127-139-163-173-219-102040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN CALLAWAY LINCOLN
MARION MONTGOMERY PIKE
RALLS WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 504
VALID 101825Z - 101940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 WSW JEF
TO 20 WNW COU TO 35 SE IRK TO 30 NE IRK.
..COOK..11/10/20
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ILX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 504
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-011-013-015-017-057-061-067-071-073-083-085-095-107-
109-113-123-125-129-131-137-143-149-155-161-167-169-171-175-177-
179-187-195-203-101940-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN BUREAU
CALHOUN CARROLL CASS
FULTON GREENE HANCOCK
HENDERSON HENRY JERSEY
JO DAVIESS KNOX LOGAN
MCDONOUGH MCLEAN MARSHALL
MASON MENARD MERCER
MORGAN PEORIA PIKE
PUTNAM ROCK ISLAND SANGAMON
SCHUYLER SCOTT STARK
STEPHENSON TAZEWELL WARREN
WHITESIDE WOODFORD
$$
IAC045-057-087-097-111-115-139-163-101940-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLINTON DES MOINES HENRY
JACKSON LEE LOUISA
MUSCATINE SCOTT
$$
MOC007-019-027-045-051-103-111-113-127-135-137-139-163-173-205-
219-101940-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BOONE CALLAWAY
CLARK COLE KNOX
LEWIS LINCOLN MARION
MONITEAU MONROE MONTGOMERY
PIKE RALLS SHELBY
WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 504
VALID 101750Z - 101840Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SMITH..11/10/20
ATTN...WFO...DVN...LSX...ILX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 504
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC001-009-011-013-015-017-057-061-067-071-073-083-085-095-107-
109-113-123-125-129-131-137-143-149-155-161-167-169-171-175-177-
179-187-195-203-101840-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BROWN BUREAU
CALHOUN CARROLL CASS
FULTON GREENE HANCOCK
HENDERSON HENRY JERSEY
JO DAVIESS KNOX LOGAN
MCDONOUGH MCLEAN MARSHALL
MASON MENARD MERCER
MORGAN PEORIA PIKE
PUTNAM ROCK ISLAND SANGAMON
SCHUYLER SCOTT STARK
STEPHENSON TAZEWELL WARREN
WHITESIDE WOODFORD
$$
IAC045-057-087-097-111-115-139-163-101840-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLINTON DES MOINES HENRY
JACKSON LEE LOUISA
MUSCATINE SCOTT
$$
MOC007-019-027-045-051-053-089-103-111-113-121-127-135-137-139-
163-173-175-205-219-101840-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BOONE CALLAWAY
CLARK COLE COOPER
HOWARD KNOX LEWIS
LINCOLN MACON MARION
MONITEAU MONROE MONTGOMERY
PIKE RALLS RANDOLPH
SHELBY WARREN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.