Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 508
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
515 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwestern and north central Arkansas
Extreme southeastern Kansas
Much of central and southern Missouri
Extreme northeastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Saturday afternoon from 515 PM until Midnight
CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is underway in several bands
along and ahead of a cold front and dryline from northeastern
Oklahoma and southeastern Kansas into western Missouri. The storm
environment will favor a mix of supercells and line segments capable
of producing a couple of tornadoes, damaging gusts, and isolated
large hail. The primary threat will be confined to the western part
of the watch through about 9 pm CST, and in the eastern parts of the
watch from 9 pm to midnight.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Columbia MO to 40
miles southeast of Fayetteville AR. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24050.
...Thompson
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 508
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
515 PM CST Sat Nov 14 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northwestern and north central Arkansas
Extreme southeastern Kansas
Much of central and southern Missouri
Extreme northeastern Oklahoma
* Effective this Saturday afternoon from 515 PM until Midnight
CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is underway in several bands
along and ahead of a cold front and dryline from northeastern
Oklahoma and southeastern Kansas into western Missouri. The storm
environment will favor a mix of supercells and line segments capable
of producing a couple of tornadoes, damaging gusts, and isolated
large hail. The primary threat will be confined to the western part
of the watch through about 9 pm CST, and in the eastern parts of the
watch from 9 pm to midnight.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles
east and west of a line from 45 miles northwest of Columbia MO to 40
miles southeast of Fayetteville AR. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 24050.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 508 TORNADO AR KS MO OK 142315Z - 150600Z
AXIS..85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
45NW COU/COLUMBIA MO/ - 40SE FYV/FAYETTEVILLE AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 75NM E/W /39NW COU - 32ENE FSM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
LAT...LON 39279123 35589215 35589518 39279440
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 508 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 508
VALID 150440Z - 150540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE FSM TO
15 E HRO TO 25 NNE UNO.
..SPC..11/15/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SGF...LSX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 508
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-047-049-065-071-083-089-101-115-129-131-137-141-150540-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER FRANKLIN FULTON
IZARD JOHNSON LOGAN
MARION NEWTON POPE
SEARCY SEBASTIAN STONE
VAN BUREN
$$
MOC091-093-149-179-203-150540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HOWELL IRON OREGON
REYNOLDS SHANNON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 508
VALID 150320Z - 150440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE MKO
TO 5 E UMN TO 25 WSW TBN TO 20 NNW VIH TO 50 SSW UIN.
..SPC..11/15/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SGF...LSX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 508
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-033-047-049-065-071-083-087-089-101-115-129-
131-137-141-143-150440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN
FULTON IZARD JOHNSON
LOGAN MADISON MARION
NEWTON POPE SEARCY
SEBASTIAN STONE VAN BUREN
WASHINGTON
$$
MOC009-027-043-055-065-067-071-073-077-091-093-105-119-125-139-
149-151-153-161-169-179-203-209-213-215-219-221-225-229-
150440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY CALLAWAY CHRISTIAN
CRAWFORD DENT DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GASCONADE GREENE
HOWELL IRON LACLEDE
MCDONALD MARIES MONTGOMERY
OREGON OSAGE OZARK
PHELPS PULASKI REYNOLDS
SHANNON STONE TANEY
TEXAS WARREN WASHINGTON
WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-041-135-150440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE DELAWARE
SEQUOYAH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 508
VALID 150210Z - 150340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WSW JLN
TO 40 NNW SGF TO 35 NNW COU.
..SPC..11/15/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SGF...LSX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 508
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-033-047-049-065-071-083-087-089-101-115-129-
131-137-141-143-150340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN
FULTON IZARD JOHNSON
LOGAN MADISON MARION
NEWTON POPE SEARCY
SEBASTIAN STONE VAN BUREN
WASHINGTON
$$
KSC021-150340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHEROKEE
$$
MOC007-009-015-019-027-029-039-043-051-053-055-057-059-065-067-
071-073-077-085-089-091-093-097-105-109-119-125-131-135-139-141-
145-149-151-153-159-161-167-169-179-203-209-213-215-219-221-225-
229-150340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BARRY BENTON
BOONE CALLAWAY CAMDEN
CEDAR CHRISTIAN COLE
COOPER CRAWFORD DADE
DALLAS DENT DOUGLAS
FRANKLIN GASCONADE GREENE
HICKORY HOWARD HOWELL
IRON JASPER LACLEDE
LAWRENCE MCDONALD MARIES
MILLER MONITEAU MONTGOMERY
MORGAN NEWTON OREGON
OSAGE OZARK PETTIS
PHELPS POLK PULASKI
REYNOLDS SHANNON STONE
TANEY TEXAS WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-035-041-097-115-135-145-150340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CRAIG
DELAWARE MAYES OTTAWA
SEQUOYAH WAGONER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 508
VALID 150045Z - 150140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE OJC
TO 45 SSE CDJ.
..SPC..11/15/20
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...SGF...LSX...EAX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 508
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-007-009-015-033-047-049-065-071-083-087-089-101-115-129-
131-137-141-143-150140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BENTON BOONE
CARROLL CRAWFORD FRANKLIN
FULTON IZARD JOHNSON
LOGAN MADISON MARION
NEWTON POPE SEARCY
SEBASTIAN STONE VAN BUREN
WASHINGTON
$$
KSC011-021-037-150140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
$$
MOC007-009-011-013-015-019-027-029-039-043-051-053-055-057-059-
065-067-071-073-077-083-085-089-091-093-097-101-105-109-119-125-
131-135-139-141-145-149-151-153-159-161-167-169-179-185-195-203-
209-213-215-217-219-221-225-229-150140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AUDRAIN BARRY BARTON
BATES BENTON BOONE
CALLAWAY CAMDEN CEDAR
CHRISTIAN COLE COOPER
CRAWFORD DADE DALLAS
DENT DOUGLAS FRANKLIN
GASCONADE GREENE HENRY
HICKORY HOWARD HOWELL
IRON JASPER JOHNSON
LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD
MARIES MILLER MONITEAU
MONTGOMERY MORGAN NEWTON
OREGON OSAGE OZARK
PETTIS PHELPS POLK
PULASKI REYNOLDS ST. CLAIR
SALINE SHANNON STONE
TANEY TEXAS VERNON
WARREN WASHINGTON WEBSTER
WRIGHT
$$
OKC001-021-035-041-097-115-135-145-150140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR CHEROKEE CRAIG
DELAWARE MAYES OTTAWA
SEQUOYAH WAGONER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.