SEL9

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 509
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1155 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2020

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Central to eastern Ohio
     Western Pennsylvania
     Northern West Virginia Panhandle
     Lake Erie

   * Effective this Sunday morning and afternoon from 1155 AM until
     400 PM EST.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
       mph possible

   SUMMARY...Broken band of low-topped thunderstorms should sweep
   east-northeast across Ohio into western Pennsylvania this afternoon
   with a continued risk of strong to severe wind gusts.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
   statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles northwest of
   Zanesville OH to 5 miles northeast of Franklin PA. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 300. Mean storm motion vector
   25050.

   ...Grams

   SEL9

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 509
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1155 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2020

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
     Central to eastern Ohio
     Western Pennsylvania
     Northern West Virginia Panhandle
     Lake Erie

   * Effective this Sunday morning and afternoon from 1155 AM until
     400 PM EST.

   * Primary threats include...
     Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
       mph possible

   SUMMARY...Broken band of low-topped thunderstorms should sweep
   east-northeast across Ohio into western Pennsylvania this afternoon
   with a continued risk of strong to severe wind gusts.

   The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
   statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles northwest of
   Zanesville OH to 5 miles northeast of Franklin PA. For a complete
   depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
   (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
   favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
   Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
   weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
   warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
   tornadoes.

   &&

   AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
   0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
   few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 300. Mean storm motion vector
   25050.

   ...Grams

   WOUS64 KWNS 151650
   WOU9

   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WS 509
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1155 AM EST SUN NOV 15 2020

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 509 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 400 PM EST
   FOR THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

   OHC005-007-009-019-029-031-035-045-055-059-067-073-075-081-083-
   085-089-093-099-103-115-119-127-133-139-151-153-155-157-169-
   152100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0509.201115T1655Z-201115T2100Z/

   OH 
   .    OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   ASHLAND              ASHTABULA           ATHENS              
   CARROLL              COLUMBIANA          COSHOCTON           
   CUYAHOGA             FAIRFIELD           GEAUGA              
   GUERNSEY             HARRISON            HOCKING             
   HOLMES               JEFFERSON           KNOX                
   LAKE                 LICKING             LORAIN              
   MAHONING             MEDINA              MORGAN              
   MUSKINGUM            PERRY               PORTAGE             
   RICHLAND             STARK               SUMMIT              
   TRUMBULL             TUSCARAWAS          WAYNE               


   PAC007-019-039-049-073-085-121-152100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0509.201115T1655Z-201115T2100Z/

   PA 
   .    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   BEAVER               BUTLER              CRAWFORD            
   ERIE                 LAWRENCE            MERCER              
   VENANGO              


   WVC029-152100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0509.201115T1655Z-201115T2100Z/

   WV 
   .    WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   HANCOCK              


   LEZ145-146-147-148-149-165-166-167-168-169-152100-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.SV.A.0509.201115T1655Z-201115T2100Z/

   CW 

   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

   VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH 

   AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH 

   WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH 

   GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH 

   CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY 

   VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
   US-CANADIAN BORDER 

   AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
   US-CANADIAN BORDER 

   WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
   US-CANADIAN BORDER 

   GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
   US-CANADIAN BORDER 

   CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN
   BORDER 

   ATTN...WFO...CLE...PBZ...RLX...ILN...

   SAW9 
   WW 509 SEVERE TSTM OH PA WV LE 151655Z - 152100Z
   AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
   40NW ZZV/ZANESVILLE OH/ - 5NE FKL/FRANKLIN PA/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /14NNE APE - 41NNE EWC/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 300. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25050.

   LAT...LON 41238244 42307980 40567980 39498244

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU9.

Watch 509 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 509

VALID 152010Z - 152100Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 ESE PIT
TO 25 N FKL.

WW 509 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 152100Z IF NOT CANCELLED
BEFOREHAND. 
..SMITH..11/15/20

ATTN...WFO...CLE...RLX...PBZ...ILN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 509 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

PAC019-039-049-121-152100-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BUTLER		     CRAWFORD		 ERIE		     
VENANGO 	     
$$


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 509

VALID 151930Z - 152010Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NNE HLG TO
5 W ERI.

..SMITH..11/15/20

ATTN...WFO...CLE...RLX...PBZ...ILN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 509 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

PAC007-019-039-049-073-085-121-152010-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAVER		     BUTLER		 CRAWFORD	     
ERIE		     LAWRENCE		 MERCER 	     
VENANGO 	     
$$


WVC029-152010-

WV 
.    WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HANCOCK 	     
$$


LEZ149-169-152010-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY 

CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN
BORDER 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 509

VALID 151900Z - 151940Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WSW HLG
TO 35 WSW ERI.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1799

..SMITH..11/15/20

ATTN...WFO...CLE...RLX...PBZ...ILN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 509 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OHC007-019-029-067-081-099-155-151940-

OH 
.    OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ASHTABULA	     CARROLL		 COLUMBIANA	     
HARRISON	     JEFFERSON		 MAHONING	     
TRUMBULL	     
$$


PAC007-019-039-049-073-085-121-151940-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAVER		     BUTLER		 CRAWFORD	     
ERIE		     LAWRENCE		 MERCER 	     
VENANGO 	     
$$


WVC029-151940-

WV 
.    WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HANCOCK 	     
$$


LEZ148-149-168-169-151940-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH 

CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY 

GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN
BORDER 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 509

VALID 151825Z - 151900Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N UNI TO
30 SW CAK TO 25 NE CLE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1799

..SMITH..11/15/20

ATTN...WFO...CLE...RLX...PBZ...ILN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 509 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OHC007-009-019-029-031-055-059-067-081-085-099-115-119-127-133-
151-153-155-157-151900-

OH 
.    OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ASHTABULA	     ATHENS		 CARROLL	     
COLUMBIANA	     COSHOCTON		 GEAUGA 	     
GUERNSEY	     HARRISON		 JEFFERSON	     
LAKE		     MAHONING		 MORGAN 	     
MUSKINGUM	     PERRY		 PORTAGE	     
STARK		     SUMMIT		 TRUMBULL	     
TUSCARAWAS	     
$$


PAC007-019-039-049-073-085-121-151900-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAVER		     BUTLER		 CRAWFORD	     
ERIE		     LAWRENCE		 MERCER 	     
VENANGO 	     
$$


WVC029-151900-

WV 
.    WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HANCOCK 	     
$$


LEZ147-148-149-167-168-169-151900-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH 

GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH 

CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY 

WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN
BORDER 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 509

VALID 151750Z - 151815Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE CMH
TO 15 WSW CLE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1799

..SMITH..11/15/20

ATTN...WFO...CLE...RLX...PBZ...ILN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 509 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OHC005-007-009-019-029-031-035-045-055-059-067-073-075-081-083-
085-089-093-099-103-115-119-127-133-151-153-155-157-169-
151815-

OH 
.    OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ASHLAND 	     ASHTABULA		 ATHENS 	     
CARROLL 	     COLUMBIANA 	 COSHOCTON	     
CUYAHOGA	     FAIRFIELD		 GEAUGA 	     
GUERNSEY	     HARRISON		 HOCKING	     
HOLMES		     JEFFERSON		 KNOX		     
LAKE		     LICKING		 LORAIN 	     
MAHONING	     MEDINA		 MORGAN 	     
MUSKINGUM	     PERRY		 PORTAGE	     
STARK		     SUMMIT		 TRUMBULL	     
TUSCARAWAS	     WAYNE		 
$$


PAC007-019-039-049-073-085-121-151815-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAVER		     BUTLER		 CRAWFORD	     
ERIE		     LAWRENCE		 MERCER 	     
VENANGO 	     
$$


WVC029-151815-

WV 
.    WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HANCOCK 	     
$$


LEZ145-146-147-148-149-165-166-167-168-169-151815-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH 

AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH 

WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH 

GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH 

CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY 

VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN
BORDER 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 509

VALID 151700Z - 151800Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1798

..SMITH..11/15/20

ATTN...WFO...CLE...RLX...PBZ...ILN...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WS 509 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OHC005-007-009-019-029-031-035-045-055-059-067-073-075-081-083-
085-089-093-099-103-115-119-127-133-139-151-153-155-157-169-
151800-

OH 
.    OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ASHLAND 	     ASHTABULA		 ATHENS 	     
CARROLL 	     COLUMBIANA 	 COSHOCTON	     
CUYAHOGA	     FAIRFIELD		 GEAUGA 	     
GUERNSEY	     HARRISON		 HOCKING	     
HOLMES		     JEFFERSON		 KNOX		     
LAKE		     LICKING		 LORAIN 	     
MAHONING	     MEDINA		 MORGAN 	     
MUSKINGUM	     PERRY		 PORTAGE	     
RICHLAND	     STARK		 SUMMIT 	     
TRUMBULL	     TUSCARAWAS 	 WAYNE		     
$$


PAC007-019-039-049-073-085-121-151800-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BEAVER		     BUTLER		 CRAWFORD	     
ERIE		     LAWRENCE		 MERCER 	     
VENANGO 	     
$$


WVC029-151800-

WV 
.    WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

HANCOCK 	     
$$


LEZ145-146-147-148-149-165-166-167-168-169-151800-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH 

AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH 

WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE LAKE OH 

GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH 

CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY 

VERMILION TO AVON POINT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

AVON POINT TO WILLOWICK OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

WILLOWICK TO GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE OH BEYOND 5NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

GENEVA-ON-THE-LAKE TO CONNEAUT OH BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO
US-CANADIAN BORDER 

CONNEAUT OH TO RIPLEY NY BEYOND 5 NM OFF SHORELINE TO US-CANADIAN
BORDER 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Please visit the National Weather Service Interactive Weather Information Network (IWIN) for more information on the warnings.

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.