Storm Prediction Center Tornado Watch 515

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Moderate	Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Very Low	Very Low

Note: The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   SEL5

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 515
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   105 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Delaware
     Eastern Maryland
     Central and Southern New Jersey
     Southeast Pennsylvania
     Eastern Virginia
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 105 PM until
     700 PM EST.

   * Primary threats include...
     A couple tornadoes possible
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are intensify along an axis from eastern
   Virginia into southeast Pennsylvania.  This activity may become
   severe, posing a risk of damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes
   through the afternoon.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
   east and west of a line from 25 miles northeast of Trenton NJ to 45
   miles south of Patuxent River MD. For a complete depiction of the
   watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
   and possible warnings.

   &&

   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
   surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
   gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
   storm motion vector 23040.

   ...Hart

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Moderate	Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Very Low	Very Low

   SEL5

   URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   Tornado Watch Number 515
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   105 PM EST Mon Nov 30 2020

   The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

   * Tornado Watch for portions of 
     Delaware
     Eastern Maryland
     Central and Southern New Jersey
     Southeast Pennsylvania
     Eastern Virginia
     Coastal Waters

   * Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 105 PM until
     700 PM EST.

   * Primary threats include...
     A couple tornadoes possible
     Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

   SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are intensify along an axis from eastern
   Virginia into southeast Pennsylvania.  This activity may become
   severe, posing a risk of damaging wind gusts and a few tornadoes
   through the afternoon.

   The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
   east and west of a line from 25 miles northeast of Trenton NJ to 45
   miles south of Patuxent River MD. For a complete depiction of the
   watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

   PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

   REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
   tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
   area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
   threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
   and possible warnings.

   &&

   AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
   surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
   gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
   storm motion vector 23040.

   ...Hart

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Moderate	Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Very Low	Very Low

Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.

   WOUS64 KWNS 301802
   WOU5

   BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
   TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 515
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   105 PM EST MON NOV 30 2020

   TORNADO WATCH 515 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM EST FOR THE
    FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

   DEC001-003-005-010000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0515.201130T1805Z-201201T0000Z/

   DE 
   .    DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   KENT                 NEW CASTLE          SUSSEX              


   MDC003-005-009-011-015-017-019-025-029-033-035-037-039-041-045-
   047-510-010000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0515.201130T1805Z-201201T0000Z/

   MD 
   .    MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   ANNE ARUNDEL         BALTIMORE           CALVERT             
   CAROLINE             CECIL               CHARLES             
   DORCHESTER           HARFORD             KENT                
   PRINCE GEORGES       QUEEN ANNE'S        SOMERSET            
   ST. MARYS            TALBOT              WICOMICO            
   WORCESTER            


   MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE

   BALTIMORE CITY       


   NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-019-021-023-025-029-033-035-010000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0515.201130T1805Z-201201T0000Z/

   NJ 
   .    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   ATLANTIC             BURLINGTON          CAMDEN              
   CAPE MAY             CUMBERLAND          GLOUCESTER          
   HUNTERDON            MERCER              MIDDLESEX           
   MONMOUTH             OCEAN               SALEM               
   SOMERSET             


   PAC017-029-045-091-101-010000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0515.201130T1805Z-201201T0000Z/

   PA 
   .    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   BUCKS                CHESTER             DELAWARE            
   MONTGOMERY           PHILADELPHIA        


   VAC001-099-103-133-159-193-010000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0515.201130T1805Z-201201T0000Z/

   VA 
   .    VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

   ACCOMACK             KING GEORGE         LANCASTER           
   NORTHUMBERLAND       RICHMOND            WESTMORELAND        


   ANZ430-431-450-451-452-453-454-455-530-531-532-533-534-536-537-
   538-539-540-541-542-543-630-650-652-010000-
   /O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0515.201130T1805Z-201201T0000Z/

   CW 

   .    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

   DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE 

   DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE 

   COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM 

   COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
   NM 

   COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
   NM 

   COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM 

   COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM 

   COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM 

   CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD 

   CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM POOLES ISLAND TO SANDY POINT MD 

   CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SANDY POINT TO NORTH BEACH MD 

   CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD 

   CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA 

   TIDAL POTOMAC FROM INDIAN HEAD TO COBB ISLAND MD 

   TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA 

   PATAPSCO RIVER INCLUDING BALTIMORE HARBOR 

   CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD 

   EASTERN BAY 

   CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER 

   PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD 

   TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
   ISLAND 

   CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA 

   COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
   NM 

   COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM 

   ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Moderate	Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Very Low	Very Low

Note: The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area. The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.

   SAW5 
   WW 515 TORNADO DE MD NJ PA VA CW 301805Z - 010000Z
   AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
   25NE TTN/TRENTON NJ/ - 45S NHK/PATUXENT RIVER MD/
   ..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /32S SAX - 44E RIC/
   HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
   MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23040.

   LAT...LON 40537351 37637551 37637733 40537543

   THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA.  FOR A
   COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
   FOR WOU5.

Watch 515 Status Report Messages:

STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 515

VALID 302255Z - 302340Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E SBY TO
25 SSE PHL TO 20 NNE TTN.

..SPC..11/30/20

ATTN...WFO...PHI...LWX...AKQ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 515 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-021-023-025-029-035-302340-

NJ 
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATLANTIC	     BURLINGTON 	 CAMDEN 	     
CAPE MAY	     CUMBERLAND 	 GLOUCESTER	     
MERCER		     MIDDLESEX		 MONMOUTH	     
OCEAN		     SOMERSET		 
$$


ANZ431-450-451-452-453-454-455-650-302340-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE 

COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 515

VALID 302145Z - 302240Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW WAL TO
25 W SBY TO 15 NNW DOV TO 5 NE PHL TO 10 W TTN TO 25 NE ABE.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1825

..GLEASON..11/30/20

ATTN...WFO...PHI...LWX...AKQ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 515 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

DEC001-005-302240-

DE 
.    DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

KENT		     SUSSEX		 
$$


MDC011-019-039-045-047-302240-

MD 
.    MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CAROLINE	     DORCHESTER 	 SOMERSET	     
WICOMICO	     WORCESTER		 
$$


NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-019-021-023-025-029-033-035-302240-

NJ 
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATLANTIC	     BURLINGTON 	 CAMDEN 	     
CAPE MAY	     CUMBERLAND 	 GLOUCESTER	     
HUNTERDON	     MERCER		 MIDDLESEX	     
MONMOUTH	     OCEAN		 SALEM		     
SOMERSET	     
$$


PAC017-101-302240-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BUCKS		     PHILADELPHIA	 
$$


VAC001-302240-

VA 
.    VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ACCOMACK	     
$$


ANZ431-450-451-452-453-454-455-543-630-650-652-302240-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE 

COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM 

TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND 

CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA 

COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 515

VALID 302020Z - 302140Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE RIC
TO 25 SSW ILG TO 10 W ILG TO 30 NNW ILG.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1824

..GLEASON..11/30/20

ATTN...WFO...PHI...LWX...AKQ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 515 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

DEC001-003-005-302140-

DE 
.    DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

KENT		     NEW CASTLE 	 SUSSEX 	     
$$


MDC011-019-029-035-037-039-041-045-047-302140-

MD 
.    MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CAROLINE	     DORCHESTER 	 KENT		     
QUEEN ANNE'S	     ST. MARYS		 SOMERSET	     
TALBOT		     WICOMICO		 WORCESTER	     
$$


NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-019-021-023-025-029-033-035-302140-

NJ 
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATLANTIC	     BURLINGTON 	 CAMDEN 	     
CAPE MAY	     CUMBERLAND 	 GLOUCESTER	     
HUNTERDON	     MERCER		 MIDDLESEX	     
MONMOUTH	     OCEAN		 SALEM		     
SOMERSET	     
$$


PAC017-029-045-091-101-302140-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BUCKS		     CHESTER		 DELAWARE	     
MONTGOMERY	     PHILADELPHIA	 
$$


VAC001-103-133-159-302140-

VA 
.    VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ACCOMACK	     LANCASTER		 NORTHUMBERLAND      
RICHMOND	     
$$


ANZ430-431-450-451-452-453-454-455-534-537-541-543-630-650-652-
302140-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE 

DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE 

COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM 

CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA 

TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA 

CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER 

TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND 

CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA 

COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 515

VALID 301935Z - 302040Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE RIC
TO 20 E BWI TO 35 ESE CXY.

..GLEASON..11/30/20

ATTN...WFO...PHI...LWX...AKQ...

&&

STATUS REPORT FOR WT 515 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

DEC001-003-005-302040-

DE 
.    DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

KENT		     NEW CASTLE 	 SUSSEX 	     
$$


MDC009-011-015-019-025-029-035-037-039-041-045-047-302040-

MD 
.    MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CALVERT 	     CAROLINE		 CECIL		     
DORCHESTER	     HARFORD		 KENT		     
QUEEN ANNE'S	     ST. MARYS		 SOMERSET	     
TALBOT		     WICOMICO		 WORCESTER	     
$$


NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-019-021-023-025-029-033-035-302040-

NJ 
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATLANTIC	     BURLINGTON 	 CAMDEN 	     
CAPE MAY	     CUMBERLAND 	 GLOUCESTER	     
HUNTERDON	     MERCER		 MIDDLESEX	     
MONMOUTH	     OCEAN		 SALEM		     
SOMERSET	     
$$


PAC017-029-045-091-101-302040-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BUCKS		     CHESTER		 DELAWARE	     
MONTGOMERY	     PHILADELPHIA	 
$$


VAC001-103-133-159-193-302040-

VA 
.    VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ACCOMACK	     LANCASTER		 NORTHUMBERLAND      
RICHMOND	     WESTMORELAND	 
$$


ANZ430-431-450-451-452-453-454-455-530-533-534-537-539-540-541-
542-543-630-650-652-302040-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE 

DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE 

COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM 

CHESAPEAKE BAY NORTH OF POOLES ISLAND MD 

CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM NORTH BEACH TO DRUM POINT MD 

CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT MD TO SMITH POINT VA 

TIDAL POTOMAC FROM COBB ISLAND MD TO SMITH POINT VA 

CHESTER RIVER TO QUEENSTOWN MD 

EASTERN BAY 

CHOPTANK RIVER TO CAMBRIDGE MD AND THE LITTLE CHOPTANK RIVER 

PATUXENT RIVER TO BROOMES ISLAND MD 

TANGIER SOUND AND THE INLAND WATERS SURROUNDING BLOODSWORTH
ISLAND 

CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM SMITH POINT TO WINDMILL POINT VA 

COASTAL WATERS FROM FENWICK ISLAND DE TO CHINCOTEAGUE VA OUT 20
NM 

COASTAL WATERS FROM CHINCOTEAGUE TO PARRAMORE ISLAND VA OUT 20 NM 

$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$

Hazard	Tornadoes	EF2+ Tornadoes
Likelihood	Moderate	Low

Severe Wind	65 kt+ Wind
Moderate	Low

Severe Hail	2"+ Hail
Very Low	Very Low

Note: Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes

Probability of 2 or more tornadoes	Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes	Low (20%)

Wind

Probability of 10 or more severe wind events	Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots	Low (20%)

Hail

Probability of 10 or more severe hail events	Low (<5%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches	Low (<5%)

Combined Severe Hail/Wind

Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events

Mod (50%)

For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch (listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster. The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2% to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities), "Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%. High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of an increased threat for a particular event.