Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 518
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
220 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern North Carolina
Eastern South Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 220 PM until
1000 PM EST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...The air mass ahead of an eastward-advancing cold front
will moisten and modestly destabilize this afternoon. Very strong
winds through a deep layer will support the possibility of supercell
storms including a tornado and damaging wind risk. An additional
round of storms, perhaps as a well-organized line, will also move
into the region from the west late this evening and potentially pose
a severe threat.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles east northeast of Rocky Mount
NC to 20 miles south of Myrtle Beach SC. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 22045.
...Guyer
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 518
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
220 PM EST Thu Dec 24 2020
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Eastern North Carolina
Eastern South Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 220 PM until
1000 PM EST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...The air mass ahead of an eastward-advancing cold front
will moisten and modestly destabilize this afternoon. Very strong
winds through a deep layer will support the possibility of supercell
storms including a tornado and damaging wind risk. An additional
round of storms, perhaps as a well-organized line, will also move
into the region from the west late this evening and potentially pose
a severe threat.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 70 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles east northeast of Rocky Mount
NC to 20 miles south of Myrtle Beach SC. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 22045.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 518 TORNADO NC SC CW 241920Z - 250300Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50ENE RWI/ROCKY MOUNT NC/ - 20S CRE/MYRTLE BEACH SC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /44W ECG - 62SE FLO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
LAT...LON 36127582 33387772 33388014 36127833
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 518 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 518
VALID 250225Z - 250340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE CRE
TO 35 NNE CRE TO 25 SE FAY TO 20 SE RDU TO 5 WNW AVC.
..JEWELL..12/25/20
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 518
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-017-019-031-047-049-055-061-065-069-079-083-095-101-103-
107-117-127-129-133-137-141-147-163-177-185-187-191-195-
250340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CARTERET COLUMBUS CRAVEN
DARE DUPLIN EDGECOMBE
FRANKLIN GREENE HALIFAX
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NASH
NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PAMLICO
PENDER PITT SAMPSON
TYRRELL WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON
$$
AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-250-252-254-
250340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALLIGATOR RIVER
PAMLICO SOUND
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OREGON INLET NC TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
ALBEMARLE SOUND
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 518
VALID 250040Z - 250140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1879
..JEWELL..12/25/20
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 518
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-017-019-031-047-049-051-055-061-065-069-079-083-085-093-
095-101-103-107-117-127-129-133-137-141-147-155-163-165-177-183-
185-187-191-195-250140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CARTERET COLUMBUS CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND DARE DUPLIN
EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN GREENE
HALIFAX HARNETT HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NASH
NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PAMLICO
PENDER PITT ROBESON
SAMPSON SCOTLAND TYRRELL
WAKE WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON
$$
SCC033-041-043-051-067-089-250140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DILLON FLORENCE GEORGETOWN
HORRY MARION WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-250-252-254-256-
250140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALLIGATOR RIVER
PAMLICO SOUND
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OREGON INLET NC TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
ALBEMARLE SOUND
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 518
VALID 242245Z - 242340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..12/24/20
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 518
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-017-019-031-047-049-051-055-061-065-069-079-083-085-093-
095-101-103-107-117-127-129-133-137-141-147-155-163-165-177-183-
185-187-191-195-242340-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CARTERET COLUMBUS CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND DARE DUPLIN
EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN GREENE
HALIFAX HARNETT HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NASH
NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PAMLICO
PENDER PITT ROBESON
SAMPSON SCOTLAND TYRRELL
WAKE WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON
$$
SCC033-041-043-051-067-089-242340-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DILLON FLORENCE GEORGETOWN
HORRY MARION WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-250-252-254-256-
242340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALLIGATOR RIVER
PAMLICO SOUND
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OREGON INLET NC TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
ALBEMARLE SOUND
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 518
VALID 242030Z - 242140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1876.
..GRAMS..12/24/20
ATTN...WFO...MHX...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 518
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC013-017-019-031-047-049-051-055-061-065-069-079-083-085-093-
095-101-103-107-117-127-129-133-137-141-147-155-163-165-177-183-
185-187-191-195-242140-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEAUFORT BLADEN BRUNSWICK
CARTERET COLUMBUS CRAVEN
CUMBERLAND DARE DUPLIN
EDGECOMBE FRANKLIN GREENE
HALIFAX HARNETT HOKE
HYDE JOHNSTON JONES
LENOIR MARTIN NASH
NEW HANOVER ONSLOW PAMLICO
PENDER PITT ROBESON
SAMPSON SCOTLAND TYRRELL
WAKE WARREN WASHINGTON
WAYNE WILSON
$$
SCC033-041-043-051-067-089-242140-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DILLON FLORENCE GEORGETOWN
HORRY MARION WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ131-135-136-137-150-152-154-156-158-230-231-250-252-254-256-
242140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
ALLIGATOR RIVER
PAMLICO SOUND
PAMLICO AND PUNGO RIVERS
NEUSE AND BAY RIVERS
S OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT NC TO OREGON INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OREGON INLET NC TO CAPE HATTERAS NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE HATTERAS NC TO OCRACOKE INLET NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF OCRACOKE INLET NC TO CAPE LOOKOUT NC OUT TO 20 NM
S OF CAPE LOOKOUT NC TO SURF CITY NC OUT TO 20 NM
ALBEMARLE SOUND
CROATAN AND ROANOKE SOUNDS
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.