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The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 227
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
600 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast New Mexico
West/Southwest Texas
* Effective this Sunday night and Monday morning from 600 PM
until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Isolated severe storms including supercells will persist
generally eastward across southeast New Mexico into parts of west
Texas this evening. Large hail and possibly some tornado risk will
exist with some potential for an increasing risk of severe-caliber
wind gusts this evening as storms merge into one or more
semi-organized MCS.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 95
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north northeast
of Plainview TX to 50 miles west of Midland TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 225...WW 226...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28020.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 227 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 302300Z - 310600Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NNE PVW/PLAINVIEW TX/ - 50W MAF/MIDLAND TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /36SSE AMA - 11ENE INK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28020.
LAT...LON 34689978 31940143 31940467 34680312
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 227 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 227
VALID 310530Z - 310640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 W ABI TO
35 ESE HOB TO 45 SSW LBB TO 25 SE LBB TO 20 SE PVW TO 30 SSE AMA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 819
..GLEASON..05/31/21
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 227
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC033-045-075-101-107-115-125-153-165-169-191-263-269-305-345-
415-433-310640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BORDEN BRISCOE CHILDRESS
COTTLE CROSBY DAWSON
DICKENS FLOYD GAINES
GARZA HALL KENT
KING LYNN MOTLEY
SCURRY STONEWALL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 227
VALID 310450Z - 310540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE CNM TO
25 ENE HOB TO 30 SW LBB TO 10 SW PVW TO 35 SSW AMA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 819
..HART..05/31/21
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 227
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC003-033-045-075-101-107-115-125-135-153-165-169-189-191-227-
263-269-301-303-305-317-329-335-345-415-433-445-495-310540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BRISCOE
CHILDRESS COTTLE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FLOYD GAINES GARZA
HALE HALL HOWARD
KENT KING LOVING
LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN
MIDLAND MITCHELL MOTLEY
SCURRY STONEWALL TERRY
WINKLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 227
VALID 310250Z - 310340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CNM
TO 50 SSE CVS TO 30 WNW PVW TO 45 SW AMA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 818
..HART..05/31/21
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 227
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC015-025-310340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDDY LEA
$$
TXC003-033-045-069-075-079-101-107-115-125-135-153-165-169-189-
191-219-227-263-269-279-301-303-305-317-329-335-345-415-433-437-
445-495-501-310340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BORDEN BRISCOE
CASTRO CHILDRESS COCHRAN
COTTLE CROSBY DAWSON
DICKENS ECTOR FLOYD
GAINES GARZA HALE
HALL HOCKLEY HOWARD
KENT KING LAMB
LOVING LUBBOCK LYNN
MARTIN MIDLAND MITCHELL
MOTLEY SCURRY STONEWALL
SWISHER TERRY WINKLER
YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 227
VALID 310145Z - 310240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HART..05/31/21
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 227
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC015-025-310240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDDY LEA
$$
TXC003-017-033-045-069-075-079-101-107-115-125-135-153-165-169-
189-191-219-227-263-269-279-301-303-305-317-329-335-345-369-415-
433-437-445-495-501-310240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BAILEY BORDEN
BRISCOE CASTRO CHILDRESS
COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FLOYD GAINES GARZA
HALE HALL HOCKLEY
HOWARD KENT KING
LAMB LOVING LUBBOCK
LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND
MITCHELL MOTLEY PARMER
SCURRY STONEWALL SWISHER
TERRY WINKLER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 227
VALID 310045Z - 310140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HART..05/31/21
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 227
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC015-025-310140-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDDY LEA
$$
TXC003-017-033-045-069-075-079-101-107-115-125-135-153-165-169-
189-191-219-227-263-269-279-301-303-305-317-329-335-345-369-415-
433-437-445-495-501-310140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BAILEY BORDEN
BRISCOE CASTRO CHILDRESS
COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FLOYD GAINES GARZA
HALE HALL HOCKLEY
HOWARD KENT KING
LAMB LOVING LUBBOCK
LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND
MITCHELL MOTLEY PARMER
SCURRY STONEWALL SWISHER
TERRY WINKLER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 227
VALID 302330Z - 310040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HART..05/30/21
ATTN...WFO...MAF...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 227
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC015-025-310040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDDY LEA
$$
TXC003-017-033-045-069-075-079-101-107-115-125-135-153-165-169-
189-191-219-227-263-269-279-301-303-305-317-329-335-345-369-415-
433-437-445-495-501-310040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BAILEY BORDEN
BRISCOE CASTRO CHILDRESS
COCHRAN COTTLE CROSBY
DAWSON DICKENS ECTOR
FLOYD GAINES GARZA
HALE HALL HOCKLEY
HOWARD KENT KING
LAMB LOVING LUBBOCK
LYNN MARTIN MIDLAND
MITCHELL MOTLEY PARMER
SCURRY STONEWALL SWISHER
TERRY WINKLER YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.