Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 479
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
955 PM CDT Mon Aug 30 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central and northeastern Nebraska
Western through southern South Dakota
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 955 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
SUMMARY...Several ongoing strong to severe thunderstorms --
including a few supercells -- are expected to aggregate with newer
convection tonight across southern SD and northern NE. Until that
occurs, large/damaging hail is possible from that activity, as well
as more-isolated convection in northern NE and southeastern SD. A
thunderstorm complex is forecast to evolve and move southeastward on
either side of a stationary front. That activity would increase the
severe-wind threat into southern SD and north-central/northeastern
NE.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles either side of a line from 45 miles north northwest of
Philip SD to 55 miles south of Yankton SD. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 477...WW 478...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31030.
...Edwards
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 479
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
955 PM CDT Mon Aug 30 2021
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central and northeastern Nebraska
Western through southern South Dakota
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 955 PM
until 500 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
SUMMARY...Several ongoing strong to severe thunderstorms --
including a few supercells -- are expected to aggregate with newer
convection tonight across southern SD and northern NE. Until that
occurs, large/damaging hail is possible from that activity, as well
as more-isolated convection in northern NE and southeastern SD. A
thunderstorm complex is forecast to evolve and move southeastward on
either side of a stationary front. That activity would increase the
severe-wind threat into southern SD and north-central/northeastern
NE.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles either side of a line from 45 miles north northwest of
Philip SD to 55 miles south of Yankton SD. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 477...WW 478...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31030.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 479 SEVERE TSTM NE SD 310255Z - 311000Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
45NNW PHP/PHILIP SD/ - 55S YKN/YANKTON SD/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM EITHER SIDE /28SSW DPR - 62ESE ONL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31030.
LAT...LON 45410135 42889680 41369794 43890254
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 479 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 479
VALID 310720Z - 310840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W VTN TO
40 S PIR TO 5 E MHE.
..BROYLES..08/31/21
ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...FSD...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 479
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC003-011-015-017-021-023-027-031-037-039-043-051-053-055-071-
089-103-107-115-119-139-141-149-153-155-167-173-177-179-183-
310840-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BOYD
BROWN BURT BUTLER
CEDAR CHERRY COLFAX
CUMING DAKOTA DIXON
DODGE DOUGLAS GARFIELD
HOLT KEYA PAHA KNOX
LOUP MADISON PIERCE
PLATTE ROCK SARPY
SAUNDERS STANTON THURSTON
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHEELER
$$
SDC003-009-015-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-121-123-125-127-135-
310840-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BON HOMME BRULE
CHARLES MIX CLAY DAVISON
DOUGLAS GREGORY HANSON
HUTCHINSON TODD TRIPP
TURNER UNION YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 479
VALID 310635Z - 310740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SW PHP TO
35 ESE PHP TO 25 WNW 9V9 TO 35 NNE 9V9.
..BROYLES..08/31/21
ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...FSD...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 479
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC003-011-015-017-021-023-027-031-037-039-043-051-053-055-071-
089-103-107-115-119-139-141-149-153-155-167-173-177-179-183-
310740-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BOYD
BROWN BURT BUTLER
CEDAR CHERRY COLFAX
CUMING DAKOTA DIXON
DODGE DOUGLAS GARFIELD
HOLT KEYA PAHA KNOX
LOUP MADISON PIERCE
PLATTE ROCK SARPY
SAUNDERS STANTON THURSTON
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHEELER
$$
SDC003-007-009-015-017-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-071-073-075-
085-095-121-123-125-127-135-310740-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BENNETT BON HOMME
BRULE BUFFALO CHARLES MIX
CLAY DAVISON DOUGLAS
GREGORY HANSON HUTCHINSON
JACKSON JERAULD JONES
LYMAN MELLETTE TODD
TRIPP TURNER UNION
YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 479
VALID 310530Z - 310640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE RAP
TO 45 E PIR.
..BROYLES..08/31/21
ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...FSD...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 479
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC003-011-015-017-021-023-027-031-037-039-043-051-053-055-071-
089-103-107-115-119-139-141-149-153-155-167-173-177-179-183-
310640-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BOYD
BROWN BURT BUTLER
CEDAR CHERRY COLFAX
CUMING DAKOTA DIXON
DODGE DOUGLAS GARFIELD
HOLT KEYA PAHA KNOX
LOUP MADISON PIERCE
PLATTE ROCK SARPY
SAUNDERS STANTON THURSTON
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHEELER
$$
SDC003-007-009-015-017-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-071-073-075-
085-095-121-123-125-127-135-310640-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BENNETT BON HOMME
BRULE BUFFALO CHARLES MIX
CLAY DAVISON DOUGLAS
GREGORY HANSON HUTCHINSON
JACKSON JERAULD JONES
LYMAN MELLETTE TODD
TRIPP TURNER UNION
YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 479
VALID 310530Z - 310640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE RAP
TO 45 E PIR.
..BROYLES..08/31/21
ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...FSD...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 479
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC003-011-015-017-021-023-027-031-037-039-043-051-053-055-071-
089-103-107-115-119-139-141-149-153-155-167-173-177-179-183-
310640-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BOYD
BROWN BURT BUTLER
CEDAR CHERRY COLFAX
CUMING DAKOTA DIXON
DODGE DOUGLAS GARFIELD
HOLT KEYA PAHA KNOX
LOUP MADISON PIERCE
PLATTE ROCK SARPY
SAUNDERS STANTON THURSTON
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHEELER
$$
SDC003-007-009-015-017-023-027-035-043-053-061-067-071-073-075-
085-095-121-123-125-127-135-310640-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BENNETT BON HOMME
BRULE BUFFALO CHARLES MIX
CLAY DAVISON DOUGLAS
GREGORY HANSON HUTCHINSON
JACKSON JERAULD JONES
LYMAN MELLETTE TODD
TRIPP TURNER UNION
YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 479
VALID 310440Z - 310540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW RAP
TO 30 NW PHP TO 50 WNW PIR TO 35 S MBG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1656.
..LEITMAN..08/31/21
ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...FSD...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 479
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC003-011-015-017-027-031-037-039-043-051-071-089-103-107-115-
119-139-141-149-167-173-179-183-310540-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BOYD
BROWN CEDAR CHERRY
COLFAX CUMING DAKOTA
DIXON GARFIELD HOLT
KEYA PAHA KNOX LOUP
MADISON PIERCE PLATTE
ROCK STANTON THURSTON
WAYNE WHEELER
$$
SDC003-007-009-015-017-023-027-035-043-053-055-061-065-067-069-
071-073-075-085-095-103-117-119-121-123-125-127-135-310540-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BENNETT BON HOMME
BRULE BUFFALO CHARLES MIX
CLAY DAVISON DOUGLAS
GREGORY HAAKON HANSON
HUGHES HUTCHINSON HYDE
JACKSON JERAULD JONES
LYMAN MELLETTE PENNINGTON
STANLEY SULLY TODD
TRIPP TURNER UNION
YANKTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 479
VALID 310345Z - 310440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..08/31/21
ATTN...WFO...OAX...LBF...FSD...UNR...ABR...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 479
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NEC003-011-015-017-027-031-037-039-043-051-071-089-103-107-115-
119-139-141-149-167-173-179-183-310440-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BOYD
BROWN CEDAR CHERRY
COLFAX CUMING DAKOTA
DIXON GARFIELD HOLT
KEYA PAHA KNOX LOUP
MADISON PIERCE PLATTE
ROCK STANTON THURSTON
WAYNE WHEELER
$$
SDC003-007-009-015-017-023-027-035-043-053-055-061-065-067-069-
071-073-075-085-093-095-103-117-119-121-123-125-127-135-137-
310440-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AURORA BENNETT BON HOMME
BRULE BUFFALO CHARLES MIX
CLAY DAVISON DOUGLAS
GREGORY HAAKON HANSON
HUGHES HUTCHINSON HYDE
JACKSON JERAULD JONES
LYMAN MEADE MELLETTE
PENNINGTON STANLEY SULLY
TODD TRIPP TURNER
UNION YANKTON ZIEBACH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.