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Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 49
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1140 PM CDT Thu Mar 17 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Louisiana
Southwest Mississippi
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 1140 PM
until 700 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes
possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are expected to intensify overnight and
spread across much of southern Louisiana. Strengthening winds aloft
and increasing moisture will pose a risk of supercell storms capable
of tornadoes. A strong tornado or two is possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles northwest of Lake Charles LA
to 25 miles south of Mc Comb MS. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 49 TORNADO LA MS CW 180440Z - 181200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20NW LCH/LAKE CHARLES LA/ - 25S MCB/MC COMB MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /21WNW LCH - 31SSW MCB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
LAT...LON 31209346 31699047 29959047 29479346
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 49 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 49
VALID 181030Z - 181140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N HUM TO
45 NW HUM TO 35 SW MCB TO 10 ENE MCB.
..GLEASON..03/18/22
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC005-063-091-093-105-181140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION LIVINGSTON ST. HELENA
ST. JAMES TANGIPAHOA
$$
MSC113-181140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PIKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 49
VALID 180925Z - 181040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW HUM
TO 30 E LFT TO 40 NNE LFT TO 20 E HEZ.
..GLEASON..03/18/22
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC005-007-033-037-047-063-077-091-093-105-121-125-181040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA IBERVILLE LIVINGSTON
POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA ST. JAMES
TANGIPAHOA WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC005-037-113-157-181040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMITE FRANKLIN PIKE
WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 49
VALID 180840Z - 180940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 ESE 7R4
TO 15 ENE 7R4 TO 35 N LFT TO 30 ESE ESF TO 5 N HEZ.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 274
..GLEASON..03/18/22
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC005-007-009-029-033-037-045-047-055-063-077-091-093-097-099-
101-105-121-125-180940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ASCENSION ASSUMPTION AVOYELLES
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
IBERIA IBERVILLE LAFAYETTE
LIVINGSTON POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA
ST. JAMES ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN
ST. MARY TANGIPAHOA WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-037-113-157-180940-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE FRANKLIN
PIKE WILKINSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 49
VALID 180740Z - 180840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SW 7R4 TO
35 S ESF TO 20 ENE ESF.
..GLEASON..03/18/22
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-005-007-009-029-033-037-039-045-047-055-063-077-091-093-
097-099-101-105-113-121-125-180840-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ASCENSION ASSUMPTION
AVOYELLES CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE
EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE IBERIA
IBERVILLE LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON
POINTE COUPEE ST. HELENA ST. JAMES
ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN ST. MARY
TANGIPAHOA VERMILION WEST BATON ROUGE
WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-037-113-157-180840-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE FRANKLIN
PIKE WILKINSON
$$
GMZ435-180840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
VERMILION BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 49
VALID 180645Z - 180740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 S LCH TO
35 NE LCH TO 10 N ESF.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 273
..GLEASON..03/18/22
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-005-007-009-023-029-033-037-039-045-047-053-055-063-
077-079-091-093-097-099-101-105-113-121-125-180740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN ASCENSION
ASSUMPTION AVOYELLES CAMERON
CONCORDIA EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA
EVANGELINE IBERIA IBERVILLE
JEFFERSON DAVIS LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON
POINTE COUPEE RAPIDES ST. HELENA
ST. JAMES ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN
ST. MARY TANGIPAHOA VERMILION
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-037-113-157-180740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE FRANKLIN
PIKE WILKINSON
$$
GMZ435-180740-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
VERMILION BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 49
VALID 180535Z - 180640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..03/18/22
ATTN...WFO...LCH...LIX...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 49
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC001-003-005-007-009-011-019-023-029-033-037-039-045-047-053-
055-063-077-079-091-093-097-099-101-105-113-115-121-125-
180640-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ACADIA ALLEN ASCENSION
ASSUMPTION AVOYELLES BEAUREGARD
CALCASIEU CAMERON CONCORDIA
EAST BATON ROUGE EAST FELICIANA EVANGELINE
IBERIA IBERVILLE JEFFERSON DAVIS
LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON POINTE COUPEE
RAPIDES ST. HELENA ST. JAMES
ST. LANDRY ST. MARTIN ST. MARY
TANGIPAHOA VERMILION VERNON
WEST BATON ROUGE WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-037-113-157-180640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE FRANKLIN
PIKE WILKINSON
$$
GMZ432-435-180640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
CALCASIEU LAKE
VERMILION BAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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