Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 57
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
935 PM CDT Mon Mar 21 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western and southern Arkansas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 935 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...The northern part of a band of strong-severe thunderstorms
will cross the watch area into the overnight hours, offering
sporadic strong-severe gusts and isolated large hail. The wind
threat increases with southward extent.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35
statute miles north and south of a line from 80 miles west northwest
of Hot Springs AR to 35 miles south of Pine Bluff AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 54...WW 55...WW 56...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Edwards
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 57
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
935 PM CDT Mon Mar 21 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western and southern Arkansas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 935 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...The northern part of a band of strong-severe thunderstorms
will cross the watch area into the overnight hours, offering
sporadic strong-severe gusts and isolated large hail. The wind
threat increases with southward extent.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 35
statute miles north and south of a line from 80 miles west northwest
of Hot Springs AR to 35 miles south of Pine Bluff AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 54...WW 55...WW 56...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24035.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 57 SEVERE TSTM AR 220235Z - 220900Z
AXIS..35 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
80WNW HOT/HOT SPRINGS AR/ - 35S PBF/PINE BLUFF AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 30NM N/S /29SSW FSM - 47ENE ELD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
LAT...LON 35419440 34169193 33169193 34409440
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 57 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 57
VALID 220830Z - 220900Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 E ELD TO
35 W LLQ TO 10 NW LLQ.
WW 57 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 220900Z.
..GLEASON..03/22/22
ATTN...WFO...LZK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 57
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-220900-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 57
VALID 220725Z - 220840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW ELD TO
5 NE PBF.
..GLEASON..03/22/22
ATTN...WFO...LZK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 57
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-013-025-039-103-220840-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY CALHOUN CLEVELAND
DALLAS OUACHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 57
VALID 220645Z - 220740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW ELD TO
5 N PBF.
..GLEASON..03/22/22
ATTN...WFO...LZK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 57
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-013-025-039-103-220740-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY CALHOUN CLEVELAND
DALLAS OUACHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 57
VALID 220550Z - 220640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSW HOT
TO 20 WSW LIT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 303
..GLEASON..03/22/22
ATTN...WFO...LZK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 57
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-013-019-025-039-053-059-103-220640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK
CLEVELAND DALLAS GRANT
HOT SPRING OUACHITA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 57
VALID 220420Z - 220540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE DEQ
TO 30 SW RUE.
..SPC..03/22/22
ATTN...WFO...LZK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 57
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC011-013-019-025-039-051-053-059-097-103-109-220540-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRADLEY CALHOUN CLARK
CLEVELAND DALLAS GARLAND
GRANT HOT SPRING MONTGOMERY
OUACHITA PIKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
