Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 148
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM CDT Sat Apr 23 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Iowa
Northeast Kansas
Southern Minnesota
Northwest Missouri
Far Southeast Nebraska
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Bands of storms are expected to further develop and
intensify and move northeastward across the region through late
afternoon and evening. Bouts of severe hail and damaging winds are
expected to be the primary hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles south of Falls
City NE to 40 miles west northwest of Rochester MN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 147...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
22040.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 148 SEVERE TSTM IA KS MN MO NE 232100Z - 240300Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40S FNB/FALLS CITY NE/ - 40WNW RST/ROCHESTER MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /42WNW MCI - 44S MSP/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
LAT...LON 39499663 44139435 44139214 39499457
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 148 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 148
VALID 240155Z - 240240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 N FLV TO
35 NE STJ TO 25 WSW OXV TO 20 W ALO TO 20 SW RST TO 35 NNW RST.
..BROYLES..04/24/22
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...OAX...EAX...TOP...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 148
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC013-017-023-053-067-075-099-117-123-125-127-131-135-157-171-
185-240240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLACK HAWK BREMER BUTLER
DECATUR FLOYD GRUNDY
JASPER LUCAS MAHASKA
MARION MARSHALL MITCHELL
MONROE POWESHIEK TAMA
WAYNE
$$
KSC091-103-209-240240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH WYANDOTTE
$$
MNC025-049-163-240240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHISAGO GOODHUE WASHINGTON
$$
MOC047-049-063-081-095-240240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CLINTON DEKALB
HARRISON JACKSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 148
VALID 240055Z - 240140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 N TOP TO
25 WNW LWD TO 30 N DSM TO 10 SSE MCW TO 30 E MKT.
..BROYLES..04/24/22
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...OAX...EAX...TOP...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 148
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC013-017-023-033-039-053-067-069-075-083-099-117-121-123-125-
127-131-135-153-157-159-169-171-181-185-195-240140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLACK HAWK BREMER BUTLER
CERRO GORDO CLARKE DECATUR
FLOYD FRANKLIN GRUNDY
HARDIN JASPER LUCAS
MADISON MAHASKA MARION
MARSHALL MITCHELL MONROE
POLK POWESHIEK RINGGOLD
STORY TAMA WARREN
WAYNE WORTH
$$
KSC005-091-103-209-240140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
WYANDOTTE
$$
MNC025-037-039-049-099-131-147-163-240140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHISAGO DAKOTA DODGE
GOODHUE MOWER RICE
STEELE WASHINGTON
$$
MOC003-021-047-049-063-075-081-095-165-227-240140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BUCHANAN CLAY
CLINTON DEKALB GENTRY
HARRISON JACKSON PLATTE
WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 148
VALID 232340Z - 240040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE MHK TO
50 NE SDA TO 20 SSW FOD TO 10 N MKT.
..BROYLES..04/23/22
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...OAX...EAX...TOP...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 148
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-013-015-017-023-033-039-049-053-067-069-073-075-077-
079-081-083-091-099-117-121-125-127-131-153-159-169-171-173-175-
181-187-189-195-197-240040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS BLACK HAWK
BOONE BREMER BUTLER
CERRO GORDO CLARKE DALLAS
DECATUR FLOYD FRANKLIN
GREENE GRUNDY GUTHRIE
HAMILTON HANCOCK HARDIN
HUMBOLDT JASPER LUCAS
MADISON MARION MARSHALL
MITCHELL POLK RINGGOLD
STORY TAMA TAYLOR
UNION WARREN WEBSTER
WINNEBAGO WORTH WRIGHT
$$
KSC005-013-043-085-240040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
JACKSON
$$
MNC039-043-047-099-147-161-240040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DODGE FARIBAULT FREEBORN
MOWER STEELE WASECA
$$
MOC003-021-063-075-081-087-147-227-240040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BUCHANAN DEKALB
GENTRY HARRISON HOLT
NODAWAY WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 148
VALID 232145Z - 232240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..04/23/22
ATTN...WFO...DMX...ARX...OAX...EAX...TOP...MPX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 148
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-009-015-023-025-027-029-033-039-047-049-053-063-067-
069-071-073-077-079-081-083-091-109-121-129-131-137-145-147-151-
153-155-159-161-165-169-173-175-181-187-189-195-197-232240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
BOONE BUTLER CALHOUN
CARROLL CASS CERRO GORDO
CLARKE CRAWFORD DALLAS
DECATUR EMMET FLOYD
FRANKLIN FREMONT GREENE
GUTHRIE HAMILTON HANCOCK
HARDIN HUMBOLDT KOSSUTH
MADISON MILLS MITCHELL
MONTGOMERY PAGE PALO ALTO
POCAHONTAS POLK POTTAWATTAMIE
RINGGOLD SAC SHELBY
STORY TAYLOR UNION
WARREN WEBSTER WINNEBAGO
WORTH WRIGHT
$$
KSC005-013-043-085-117-131-149-232240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN DONIPHAN
JACKSON MARSHALL NEMAHA
POTTAWATOMIE
$$
MNC013-039-043-047-099-147-161-232240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLUE EARTH DODGE FARIBAULT
FREEBORN MOWER STEELE
WASECA
$$
MOC003-005-021-063-075-081-087-147-227-232240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
DEKALB GENTRY HARRISON
HOLT NODAWAY WORTH
$$
NEC127-133-147-232240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NEMAHA PAWNEE RICHARDSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.