Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 174
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1040 PM CDT Mon May 2 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Arkansas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 1040 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A line of severe storms will continue east-southeastward
across the region through the early/mid overnight hours. Damaging
winds will likely be the primary hazard, although a line-embedded
tornado risk will also exist.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north northeast
of Flippin AR to 50 miles southeast of De Queen AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 172...WW 173...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29035.
...Guyer
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 174
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1040 PM CDT Mon May 2 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Arkansas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 1040 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A line of severe storms will continue east-southeastward
across the region through the early/mid overnight hours. Damaging
winds will likely be the primary hazard, although a line-embedded
tornado risk will also exist.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 20 miles north northeast
of Flippin AR to 50 miles southeast of De Queen AR. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 172...WW 173...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29035.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 174 SEVERE TSTM AR 030340Z - 030900Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
20NNE FLP/FLIPPIN AR/ - 50SE DEQ/DE QUEEN AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /70WNW ARG - 14E TXK/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29035.
LAT...LON 36469143 33539292 33539465 36469323
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 174 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 174
VALID 030650Z - 030740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 W TXK TO
40 WSW HOT TO 25 E RUE TO 35 SW BVX.
..MOSIER..05/03/22
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 174
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC019-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-081-099-103-105-109-119-125-
133-030740-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLARK DALLAS FAULKNER
GARLAND GRANT HEMPSTEAD
HOT SPRING HOWARD LITTLE RIVER
NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY
PIKE PULASKI SALINE
SEVIER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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