Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 206
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
215 PM CDT Thu May 12 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central Kansas
Central and Eastern Nebraska
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...An increasing organized and fast-moving line of storms
will continue northeastward across central/eastern Nebraska this
afternoon, with additional storms across north-central Kansas.
Damaging winds, which could include locally significant
winds/damage, and large hail are the primary hazards. Of note, a
secondary round of storms could occur later this afternoon/early
evening with development along the cold front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles northeast of
Oneill NE to 45 miles west southwest of Concordia KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 205...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
22040.
...Guyer
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 206
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
215 PM CDT Thu May 12 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central Kansas
Central and Eastern Nebraska
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Widespread damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 80 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...An increasing organized and fast-moving line of storms
will continue northeastward across central/eastern Nebraska this
afternoon, with additional storms across north-central Kansas.
Damaging winds, which could include locally significant
winds/damage, and large hail are the primary hazards. Of note, a
secondary round of storms could occur later this afternoon/early
evening with development along the cold front.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles northeast of
Oneill NE to 45 miles west southwest of Concordia KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 205...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 70 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
22040.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 206 SEVERE TSTM KS NE 121915Z - 130200Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NE ONL/ONEILL NE/ - 45WSW CNK/CONCORDIA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /35NE ONL - 43WNW SLN/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
LAT...LON 42879684 39289721 39289964 42879941
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 206 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 206
VALID 130150Z - 130200Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SE HLC TO
55 ENE HLC TO 20 SSW HSI TO 35 W OLU TO 20 SE OFK TO 15 NNW TQE.
WW 206 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 130200Z.
..BENTLEY..05/13/22
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-133-155-165-130200-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
MONONA POTTAWATTAMIE SHELBY
$$
KSC089-123-141-163-183-130200-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE
ROOKS SMITH
$$
NEC021-023-025-035-037-053-055-059-067-081-095-097-109-121-127-
129-131-133-141-143-147-151-153-155-159-169-177-185-130200-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURT BUTLER CASS
CLAY COLFAX DODGE
DOUGLAS FILLMORE GAGE
HAMILTON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LANCASTER MERRICK NEMAHA
NUCKOLLS OTOE PAWNEE
PLATTE POLK RICHARDSON
SALINE SARPY SAUNDERS
SEWARD THAYER WASHINGTON
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 206
VALID 130025Z - 130140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..05/13/22
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC085-133-130140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARRISON MONONA
$$
KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-130140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE
PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH
$$
NEC001-003-011-019-021-023-025-027-035-037-039-053-055-059-061-
077-079-081-083-093-095-099-109-119-121-125-129-137-139-141-143-
151-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-177-179-181-185-130140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BUFFALO BURT BUTLER
CASS CEDAR CLAY
COLFAX CUMING DODGE
DOUGLAS FILLMORE FRANKLIN
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOWARD JEFFERSON
KEARNEY LANCASTER MADISON
MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS
PHELPS PIERCE PLATTE
POLK SALINE SARPY
SAUNDERS SEWARD SHERMAN
STANTON THAYER THURSTON
WASHINGTON WAYNE WEBSTER
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 206
VALID 122325Z - 130040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE MCK TO
25 SSE BBW TO 15 SE BUB TO 25 E ONL TO 35 WNW YKN.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 743
..MOORE..05/12/22
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC085-133-130040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARRISON MONONA
$$
KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-130040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE
PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH
$$
NEC001-003-011-019-021-023-025-027-035-037-039-053-055-059-061-
077-079-081-083-093-095-099-107-109-119-121-125-129-137-139-141-
143-151-153-155-159-163-167-169-173-175-177-179-181-185-
130040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BUFFALO BURT BUTLER
CASS CEDAR CLAY
COLFAX CUMING DODGE
DOUGLAS FILLMORE FRANKLIN
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOWARD JEFFERSON
KEARNEY KNOX LANCASTER
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
NUCKOLLS PHELPS PIERCE
PLATTE POLK SALINE
SARPY SAUNDERS SEWARD
SHERMAN STANTON THAYER
THURSTON VALLEY WASHINGTON
WAYNE WEBSTER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 206
VALID 122225Z - 122340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 741
..MOORE..05/12/22
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-122340-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE
PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH
$$
NEC001-003-011-015-019-023-027-035-037-039-041-053-059-061-071-
077-079-081-083-089-093-095-099-107-109-115-119-121-125-129-137-
139-141-143-149-151-155-159-163-167-169-175-179-181-183-185-
122340-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BOYD BUFFALO BUTLER
CEDAR CLAY COLFAX
CUMING CUSTER DODGE
FILLMORE FRANKLIN GARFIELD
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOLT HOWARD
JEFFERSON KEARNEY KNOX
LANCASTER LOUP MADISON
MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS
PHELPS PIERCE PLATTE
POLK ROCK SALINE
SAUNDERS SEWARD SHERMAN
STANTON THAYER VALLEY
WAYNE WEBSTER WHEELER
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 206
VALID 122145Z - 122240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..05/12/22
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-122240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE
PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH
$$
NEC001-003-011-015-019-023-027-035-037-039-041-053-059-061-071-
077-079-081-083-089-093-095-099-107-109-115-119-121-125-129-137-
139-141-143-149-151-155-159-163-167-169-175-179-181-183-185-
122240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BOYD BUFFALO BUTLER
CEDAR CLAY COLFAX
CUMING CUSTER DODGE
FILLMORE FRANKLIN GARFIELD
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOLT HOWARD
JEFFERSON KEARNEY KNOX
LANCASTER LOUP MADISON
MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS
PHELPS PIERCE PLATTE
POLK ROCK SALINE
SAUNDERS SEWARD SHERMAN
STANTON THAYER VALLEY
WAYNE WEBSTER WHEELER
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 206
VALID 122055Z - 122140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..JEWELL..05/12/22
ATTN...WFO...GID...OAX...LBF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 206
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC089-123-141-147-163-183-122140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JEWELL MITCHELL OSBORNE
PHILLIPS ROOKS SMITH
$$
NEC001-003-011-015-019-023-027-035-037-039-041-053-059-061-071-
077-079-081-083-089-093-095-099-107-109-115-119-121-125-129-137-
139-141-143-149-151-155-159-163-167-169-175-179-181-183-185-
122140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS ANTELOPE BOONE
BOYD BUFFALO BUTLER
CEDAR CLAY COLFAX
CUMING CUSTER DODGE
FILLMORE FRANKLIN GARFIELD
GREELEY HALL HAMILTON
HARLAN HOLT HOWARD
JEFFERSON KEARNEY KNOX
LANCASTER LOUP MADISON
MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS
PHELPS PIERCE PLATTE
POLK ROCK SALINE
SAUNDERS SEWARD SHERMAN
STANTON THAYER VALLEY
WAYNE WEBSTER WHEELER
YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (80%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (50%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (50%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.