Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 406
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 PM CDT Thu Jun 23 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and west-central Minnesota
Northeastern South Dakota
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and Friday morning from 520
PM until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Several thunderstorms are forming along and south of a
slow-moving to stationary front over parts of the watch area, and
additional development/merger of convection is possible through the
evening, with potential for some localized cold-pool-driven
clustering. Severe gusts and sporadic large hail are the main
threats.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles either side of a line from 25 miles north northwest of
Watertown SD to 30 miles east southeast of Brainerd MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 405...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28020.
...Edwards
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 406
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
520 PM CDT Thu Jun 23 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and west-central Minnesota
Northeastern South Dakota
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and Friday morning from 520
PM until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Several thunderstorms are forming along and south of a
slow-moving to stationary front over parts of the watch area, and
additional development/merger of convection is possible through the
evening, with potential for some localized cold-pool-driven
clustering. Severe gusts and sporadic large hail are the main
threats.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles either side of a line from 25 miles north northwest of
Watertown SD to 30 miles east southeast of Brainerd MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 405...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
28020.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 406 SEVERE TSTM MN SD 232220Z - 240600Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
25NNW ATY/WATERTOWN SD/ - 30ESE BRD/BRAINERD MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM EITHER SIDE /44ESE ABR - 21ESE BRD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28020.
LAT...LON 45969760 46939381 45539330 44559710
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 406 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 406
VALID 240345Z - 240440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..06/24/22
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 406
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-009-011-017-023-031-035-041-051-065-067-073-075-093-095-
097-115-121-137-141-145-149-151-153-155-171-173-240440-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BENTON BIG STONE
CARLTON CHIPPEWA COOK
CROW WING DOUGLAS GRANT
KANABEC KANDIYOHI LAC QUI PARLE
LAKE MEEKER MILLE LACS
MORRISON PINE POPE
ST. LOUIS SHERBURNE STEARNS
STEVENS SWIFT TODD
TRAVERSE WRIGHT YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
SDC037-051-109-240440-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAY GRANT ROBERTS
$$
LSZ140-141-142-143-144-162-240440-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LSZ140
LSZ141
LSZ142
LSZ143
LSZ144
LSZ162
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 406
VALID 240205Z - 240340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE ABR
TO 45 NE BRD.
..BROYLES..06/24/22
ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...ABR...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 406
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-009-011-017-023-031-035-041-051-065-067-073-075-093-095-
097-115-121-137-141-145-149-151-153-155-171-173-240340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BENTON BIG STONE
CARLTON CHIPPEWA COOK
CROW WING DOUGLAS GRANT
KANABEC KANDIYOHI LAC QUI PARLE
LAKE MEEKER MILLE LACS
MORRISON PINE POPE
ST. LOUIS SHERBURNE STEARNS
STEVENS SWIFT TODD
TRAVERSE WRIGHT YELLOW MEDICINE
$$
SDC037-051-109-240340-
SD
. SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DAY GRANT ROBERTS
$$
LSZ140-141-142-143-144-162-240340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LSZ140
LSZ141
LSZ142
LSZ143
LSZ144
LSZ162
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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