Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 584
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
625 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far southeast Arkansas
Northeast Louisiana
Western Mississippi
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 625 PM
until 200 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A conditionally favorable tornado environment will spread
east tonight across the Ark-La-Miss region, with a long-duration
threat for a few tornadoes anticipated.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Greenville MS to 15
miles south of Natchez MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 583...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 21035.
...Grams
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 584
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
625 PM CST Tue Dec 13 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far southeast Arkansas
Northeast Louisiana
Western Mississippi
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 625 PM
until 200 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A conditionally favorable tornado environment will spread
east tonight across the Ark-La-Miss region, with a long-duration
threat for a few tornadoes anticipated.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north of Greenville MS to 15
miles south of Natchez MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 583...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 21035.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 584 TORNADO AR LA MS 140025Z - 140800Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35N GLH/GREENVILLE MS/ - 15S HEZ/NATCHEZ MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /47NW SQS - 54W MCB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
LAT...LON 33979019 31409054 31409206 33979177
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 584 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 584
VALID 140640Z - 140740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSW GWO
TO 65 S GLH TO 35 E MLU TO 45 SSW GLH TO 30 N GWO.
..LEITMAN..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 584
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC035-140740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST CARROLL
$$
MSC053-055-083-125-140740-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA LEFLORE
SHARKEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 584
VALID 140545Z - 140640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NE MLU TO
45 NW GWO.
..BROYLES..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 584
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC017-140640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHICOT
$$
LAC025-029-035-041-065-067-083-107-123-140640-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN MADISON MOREHOUSE
RICHLAND TENSAS WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC001-015-021-037-051-053-055-063-083-125-133-149-151-163-
140640-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS CARROLL CLAIBORNE
FRANKLIN HOLMES HUMPHREYS
ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON LEFLORE
SHARKEY SUNFLOWER WARREN
WASHINGTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 584
VALID 140435Z - 140540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE MLU
TO 45 N GLH.
..BROYLES..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 584
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC017-140540-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHICOT
$$
LAC025-029-035-041-065-067-083-107-123-140540-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN MADISON MOREHOUSE
RICHLAND TENSAS WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC001-011-015-021-037-051-053-055-063-083-125-133-149-151-163-
140540-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOLIVAR CARROLL
CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON
LEFLORE SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
WARREN WASHINGTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 584
VALID 140330Z - 140440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 584
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-041-043-079-140440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT DESHA
DREW LINCOLN
$$
LAC025-029-035-041-065-067-083-107-123-140440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN MADISON MOREHOUSE
RICHLAND TENSAS WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC001-011-015-021-037-051-053-055-063-083-125-133-149-151-163-
140440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOLIVAR CARROLL
CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON
LEFLORE SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
WARREN WASHINGTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 584
VALID 140250Z - 140340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..12/14/22
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 584
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-041-043-079-140340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT DESHA
DREW LINCOLN
$$
LAC025-029-035-041-065-067-083-107-123-140340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN MADISON MOREHOUSE
RICHLAND TENSAS WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC001-011-015-021-037-051-053-055-063-083-125-133-149-151-163-
140340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BOLIVAR CARROLL
CLAIBORNE FRANKLIN HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON
LEFLORE SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
WARREN WASHINGTON YAZOO
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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