Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
120 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Southwest Arkansas
Northwest Louisiana
Southeast Oklahoma
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 120 PM until
900 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage
through the afternoon over the watch area, with a few storms likely
intensifying to severe levels. Damaging wind gusts and a few
tornadoes are the main threats. The risk is expected to persist
well into the night across much of this area.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles south southwest of Longview TX
to 35 miles northwest of Batesville AR. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22035.
...Hart
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
120 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Southwest Arkansas
Northwest Louisiana
Southeast Oklahoma
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Monday afternoon and evening from 120 PM until
900 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage
through the afternoon over the watch area, with a few storms likely
intensifying to severe levels. Damaging wind gusts and a few
tornadoes are the main threats. The risk is expected to persist
well into the night across much of this area.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles south southwest of Longview TX
to 35 miles northwest of Batesville AR. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 1 TORNADO AR LA OK TX 021920Z - 030300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50SSW GGG/LONGVIEW TX/ - 35NW BVX/BATESVILLE AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /37NNW LFK - 55W ARG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
LAT...LON 31719615 36089326 36089093 31719394
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 1 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 1
VALID 030135Z - 030240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 12
..DEAN..01/03/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 1
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-063-065-
067-069-071-073-075-081-083-085-091-097-099-101-103-105-109-113-
115-117-119-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141-145-147-149-
030240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY
DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
HOWARD INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONTGOMERY NEVADA NEWTON
OUACHITA PERRY PIKE
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEARCY SEVIER SHARP
STONE UNION VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
$$
LAC013-015-017-021-027-031-043-049-059-061-073-081-085-111-119-
127-030240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO
GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE
LINCOLN OUACHITA RED RIVER
SABINE UNION WEBSTER
WINN
$$
OKC089-030240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC005-037-063-067-073-159-183-203-315-343-347-365-387-401-403-
405-419-423-449-459-499-030240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA BOWIE CAMP
CASS CHEROKEE FRANKLIN
GREGG HARRISON MARION
MORRIS NACOGDOCHES PANOLA
RED RIVER RUSK SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY SMITH
TITUS UPSHUR WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 1
VALID 030110Z - 030240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..01/03/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 1
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-063-065-
067-069-071-073-075-081-083-085-091-097-099-101-103-105-109-113-
115-117-119-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141-145-147-149-
030240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY
DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
HOWARD INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONTGOMERY NEVADA NEWTON
OUACHITA PERRY PIKE
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEARCY SEVIER SHARP
STONE UNION VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
$$
LAC013-015-017-027-031-043-081-085-119-030240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO GRANT
RED RIVER SABINE WEBSTER
$$
OKC089-030240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC005-037-063-067-073-159-183-203-315-343-347-365-387-401-403-
405-419-423-449-459-499-030240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA BOWIE CAMP
CASS CHEROKEE FRANKLIN
GREGG HARRISON MARION
MORRIS NACOGDOCHES PANOLA
RED RIVER RUSK SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY SMITH
TITUS UPSHUR WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 1
VALID 022355Z - 030040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 8
..LYONS..01/02/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 1
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-063-065-
067-069-071-073-075-081-083-085-091-097-099-101-103-105-109-113-
115-117-119-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141-145-147-149-
030040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY
DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
HOWARD INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONTGOMERY NEVADA NEWTON
OUACHITA PERRY PIKE
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEARCY SEVIER SHARP
STONE UNION VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
$$
LAC013-015-017-027-031-043-081-085-119-030040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO GRANT
RED RIVER SABINE WEBSTER
$$
OKC089-030040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC005-037-063-067-073-159-183-203-315-343-347-365-387-401-403-
405-419-423-449-459-499-030040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA BOWIE CAMP
CASS CHEROKEE FRANKLIN
GREGG HARRISON MARION
MORRIS NACOGDOCHES PANOLA
RED RIVER RUSK SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY SMITH
TITUS UPSHUR WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 1
VALID 022240Z - 022340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..01/02/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 1
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-063-065-
067-069-071-073-075-081-083-085-091-097-099-101-103-105-109-113-
115-117-119-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141-145-147-149-
022340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY
DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
HOWARD INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONTGOMERY NEVADA NEWTON
OUACHITA PERRY PIKE
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEARCY SEVIER SHARP
STONE UNION VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
$$
LAC013-015-017-027-031-043-081-085-119-022340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO GRANT
RED RIVER SABINE WEBSTER
$$
OKC089-022340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC005-037-063-067-073-159-183-203-315-343-347-365-387-401-403-
405-419-423-449-459-499-022340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA BOWIE CAMP
CASS CHEROKEE FRANKLIN
GREGG HARRISON MARION
MORRIS NACOGDOCHES PANOLA
RED RIVER RUSK SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY SMITH
TITUS UPSHUR WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 1
VALID 022130Z - 022240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..01/02/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 1
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-063-065-
067-069-071-073-075-081-083-085-091-097-099-101-103-105-109-113-
115-117-119-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141-145-147-149-
022240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY
DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
HOWARD INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONTGOMERY NEVADA NEWTON
OUACHITA PERRY PIKE
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEARCY SEVIER SHARP
STONE UNION VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
$$
LAC013-015-017-027-031-043-081-085-119-022240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO GRANT
RED RIVER SABINE WEBSTER
$$
OKC089-022240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC005-037-063-067-073-159-183-203-315-343-347-365-387-401-403-
405-419-423-449-459-499-022240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA BOWIE CAMP
CASS CHEROKEE FRANKLIN
GREGG HARRISON MARION
MORRIS NACOGDOCHES PANOLA
RED RIVER RUSK SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY SMITH
TITUS UPSHUR WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 1
VALID 022025Z - 022140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GOSS..01/02/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 1
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-023-025-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-063-065-
067-069-071-073-075-081-083-085-091-097-099-101-103-105-109-113-
115-117-119-125-127-129-133-135-137-139-141-145-147-149-
022140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE
CLEVELAND COLUMBIA CONWAY
DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
HOWARD INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONTGOMERY NEVADA NEWTON
OUACHITA PERRY PIKE
POLK POPE PRAIRIE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEARCY SEVIER SHARP
STONE UNION VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
$$
LAC015-017-027-031-119-022140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BOSSIER CADDO CLAIBORNE
DE SOTO WEBSTER
$$
OKC089-022140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC005-037-063-067-073-159-183-203-315-343-347-365-387-401-405-
419-423-449-459-499-022140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA BOWIE CAMP
CASS CHEROKEE FRANKLIN
GREGG HARRISON MARION
MORRIS NACOGDOCHES PANOLA
RED RIVER RUSK SAN AUGUSTINE
SHELBY SMITH TITUS
UPSHUR WOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.