Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 25
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
235 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Western Mississippi
Southwest Tennessee
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 235 PM
until 800 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY...Broken line of showers and thunderstorms may reintensify
as it spreads across the Lower Mississippi Valley into early
evening, with an embedded tornado and damaging wind threat.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles northeast of Memphis TN to 55
miles west of Natchez MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 24...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Grams
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 25
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
235 PM CST Wed Jan 18 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Western Mississippi
Southwest Tennessee
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 235 PM
until 800 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY...Broken line of showers and thunderstorms may reintensify
as it spreads across the Lower Mississippi Valley into early
evening, with an embedded tornado and damaging wind threat.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles northeast of Memphis TN to 55
miles west of Natchez MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 24...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 25 TORNADO AR LA MS TN 182035Z - 190200Z
AXIS..55 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40NE MEM/MEMPHIS TN/ - 55W HEZ/NATCHEZ MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /34NE MEM - 25NNE AEX/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 35438850 31619130 31619317 35439045
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 25 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 25
VALID 190130Z - 190240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE ESF
TO 30 ESE MLU TO 15 SSE GLH TO 20 W UOX TO 10 W MKL.
..BROYLES..01/19/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 25
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC025-029-035-041-065-107-190240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN MADISON TENSAS
$$
MSC001-009-015-021-043-051-053-055-063-071-083-093-097-125-133-
135-149-161-163-190240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BENTON CARROLL
CLAIBORNE GRENADA HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LEFLORE MARSHALL
MONTGOMERY SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE WARREN YALOBUSHA
YAZOO
$$
TNC069-190240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDEMAN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 25
VALID 190030Z - 190140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW ESF
TO 25 W UOX TO 30 S DYR.
..BROYLES..01/19/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 25
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC025-029-035-041-059-065-083-107-190140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN LA SALLE MADISON
RICHLAND TENSAS
$$
MSC001-009-015-021-043-051-053-055-063-071-083-093-097-107-125-
133-135-149-161-163-190140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BENTON CARROLL
CLAIBORNE GRENADA HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LEFLORE MARSHALL
MONTGOMERY PANOLA SHARKEY
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE WARREN
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC047-069-075-190140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE HARDEMAN HAYWOOD
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 25
VALID 182355Z - 190040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE IER TO
50 NNW GWO TO 35 SW DYR.
..BROYLES..01/18/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 25
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC021-025-029-035-041-043-059-065-083-107-123-190040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA
EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT
LA SALLE MADISON RICHLAND
TENSAS WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC001-009-015-021-033-043-051-053-055-063-071-083-093-097-107-
119-125-133-135-137-149-151-161-163-190040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BENTON CARROLL
CLAIBORNE DESOTO GRENADA
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LEFLORE
MARSHALL MONTGOMERY PANOLA
QUITMAN SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE TATE WARREN
WASHINGTON YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC047-069-075-157-167-190040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE HARDEMAN HAYWOOD
SHELBY TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 25
VALID 182245Z - 182340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S IER TO
35 SW GLH TO 55 SW MEM TO 30 SE JBR.
..BROYLES..01/18/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 25
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC017-182340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHICOT
$$
LAC021-025-029-035-041-043-059-065-083-107-123-182340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA
EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT
LA SALLE MADISON RICHLAND
TENSAS WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC001-009-011-015-021-027-033-043-051-053-055-063-071-083-093-
097-107-119-125-133-135-137-143-149-151-161-163-182340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BENTON BOLIVAR
CARROLL CLAIBORNE COAHOMA
DESOTO GRENADA HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LEFLORE MARSHALL
MONTGOMERY PANOLA QUITMAN
SHARKEY SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE
TATE TUNICA WARREN
WASHINGTON YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC047-069-075-157-167-182340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE HARDEMAN HAYWOOD
SHELBY TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 25
VALID 182145Z - 182240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 74
..FLOURNOY..01/18/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...MEG...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 25
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-035-077-107-123-182240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT CRITTENDEN
LEE PHILLIPS ST. FRANCIS
$$
LAC021-025-029-035-041-043-049-059-065-067-069-073-083-107-111-
123-127-182240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CALDWELL CATAHOULA CONCORDIA
EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT
JACKSON LA SALLE MADISON
MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA
RICHLAND TENSAS UNION
WEST CARROLL WINN
$$
MSC001-009-011-015-021-027-033-043-051-053-055-063-071-083-093-
097-107-119-125-133-135-137-143-149-151-161-163-182240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BENTON BOLIVAR
CARROLL CLAIBORNE COAHOMA
DESOTO GRENADA HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LEFLORE MARSHALL
MONTGOMERY PANOLA QUITMAN
SHARKEY SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE
TATE TUNICA WARREN
WASHINGTON YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC047-069-075-157-167-182240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE HARDEMAN HAYWOOD
SHELBY TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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