Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 233
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
325 PM CDT Tue May 23 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast New Mexico
Northwest Texas
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A few supercells should develop southeast from northeast
New Mexico and southward towards the South Plains. Primary threat
will be large hail initially, with a greater wind threat as storms
cluster eastward in the early evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north northeast
of Tucumcari NM to 95 miles south southeast of Lubbock TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Grams
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 233
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
325 PM CDT Tue May 23 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northeast New Mexico
Northwest Texas
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 325 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Isolated significant damaging wind gusts to 75 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A few supercells should develop southeast from northeast
New Mexico and southward towards the South Plains. Primary threat
will be large hail initially, with a greater wind threat as storms
cluster eastward in the early evening.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 60 miles north northeast
of Tucumcari NM to 95 miles south southeast of Lubbock TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
30025.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 233 SEVERE TSTM NM TX 232025Z - 240200Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
60NNE TCC/TUCUMCARI NM/ - 95SSE LBB/LUBBOCK TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /52NNE TCC - 55ENE MAF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
LAT...LON 35980230 32400034 32400205 35980408
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 233 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 233
VALID 240025Z - 240140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 45 SSE CVS
TO 35 E CVS TO 35 ESE DHT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 848
..THORNTON..05/24/23
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 233
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-017-033-045-069-079-107-115-153-165-169-189-219-227-279-
303-305-317-335-375-381-415-437-445-501-240140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BORDEN
BRISCOE CASTRO COCHRAN
CROSBY DAWSON FLOYD
GAINES GARZA HALE
HOCKLEY HOWARD LAMB
LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN
MITCHELL POTTER RANDALL
SCURRY SWISHER TERRY
YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 233
VALID 232335Z - 240040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW CVS
TO 15 E CVS TO 40 S DHT TO 20 SSW EHA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 848
..THORNTON..05/23/23
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 233
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC011-017-033-045-069-079-107-111-115-117-153-165-169-189-205-
219-227-279-303-305-317-335-359-369-375-381-415-437-445-501-
240040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BORDEN
BRISCOE CASTRO COCHRAN
CROSBY DALLAM DAWSON
DEAF SMITH FLOYD GAINES
GARZA HALE HARTLEY
HOCKLEY HOWARD LAMB
LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN
MITCHELL OLDHAM PARMER
POTTER RANDALL SCURRY
SWISHER TERRY YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 233
VALID 232215Z - 232340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W CVS TO
20 SSE TCC TO 45 SSW CAO TO 25 NE CAO.
..THORNTON..05/23/23
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...AMA...LUB...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 233
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC009-232340-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CURRY
$$
TXC011-017-033-045-069-079-107-111-115-117-153-165-169-189-205-
219-227-279-303-305-317-335-359-369-375-381-415-437-445-501-
232340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARMSTRONG BAILEY BORDEN
BRISCOE CASTRO COCHRAN
CROSBY DALLAM DAWSON
DEAF SMITH FLOYD GAINES
GARZA HALE HARTLEY
HOCKLEY HOWARD LAMB
LUBBOCK LYNN MARTIN
MITCHELL OLDHAM PARMER
POTTER RANDALL SCURRY
SWISHER TERRY YOAKUM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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