Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 234
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
730 PM CDT Tue May 23 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest, west-central and central Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 730 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...An increasingly organized complex of thunderstorms is
expected to move southeastward out of watch 233, off the Caprock,
and across parts of northwest Texas and the Low Rolling Plains and
perhaps Concho Valley this evening, offering severe gusts and large
to locally significant (2+ inch) hail. This activity may reach the
northern Hill Country tonight before weakening. Additional,
isolated severe thunderstorms also may develop ahead of the main
complex.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 115
statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles west northwest
of Abilene TX to 20 miles north northeast of Stephenville TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 233...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31035.
...Edwards
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 234
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
730 PM CDT Tue May 23 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northwest, west-central and central Texas
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 730 PM
until 200 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...An increasingly organized complex of thunderstorms is
expected to move southeastward out of watch 233, off the Caprock,
and across parts of northwest Texas and the Low Rolling Plains and
perhaps Concho Valley this evening, offering severe gusts and large
to locally significant (2+ inch) hail. This activity may reach the
northern Hill Country tonight before weakening. Additional,
isolated severe thunderstorms also may develop ahead of the main
complex.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 115
statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles west northwest
of Abilene TX to 20 miles north northeast of Stephenville TX. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 233...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
31035.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 234 SEVERE TSTM TX 240030Z - 240700Z
AXIS..115 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
70WNW ABI/ABILENE TX/ - 20NNE SEP/STEPHENVILLE TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 100NM N/S /51WNW ABI - 56WSW TTT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 31035.
LAT...LON 34470079 34159805 30829805 31140079
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 234 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 234
VALID 240330Z - 240440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE BGS
TO 35 WNW ABI TO 45 SSE CDS TO 40 NW CDS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 850
..THORNTON..05/24/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC009-023-049-059-075-081-083-093-095-101-133-143-155-193-197-
207-235-237-253-275-281-307-333-353-363-399-411-417-429-431-441-
447-451-485-487-503-240440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CHILDRESS COKE
COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO
COTTLE EASTLAND ERATH
FOARD HAMILTON HARDEMAN
HASKELL IRION JACK
JONES KNOX LAMPASAS
MCCULLOCH MILLS NOLAN
PALO PINTO RUNNELS SAN SABA
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS STERLING
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN
WICHITA WILBARGER YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 234
VALID 240235Z - 240340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ENE BGS
TO 35 WNW ABI TO 60 SSW CDS TO 40 NNW CDS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 850
..THORNTON..05/24/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC009-023-049-059-075-081-083-093-095-101-133-143-155-193-197-
207-235-237-253-269-275-281-307-333-353-363-399-411-417-429-431-
433-441-447-451-485-487-503-240340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CHILDRESS COKE
COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO
COTTLE EASTLAND ERATH
FOARD HAMILTON HARDEMAN
HASKELL IRION JACK
JONES KING KNOX
LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH MILLS
NOLAN PALO PINTO RUNNELS
SAN SABA SHACKELFORD STEPHENS
STERLING STONEWALL TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON TOM GREEN WICHITA
WILBARGER YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 234
VALID 240120Z - 240240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..05/24/23
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 234
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC009-023-049-059-075-081-083-093-095-101-125-133-143-151-155-
191-193-197-207-235-237-253-263-269-275-281-307-333-345-353-363-
399-411-417-429-431-433-441-447-451-485-487-503-240240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR BROWN
CALLAHAN CHILDRESS COKE
COLEMAN COMANCHE CONCHO
COTTLE DICKENS EASTLAND
ERATH FISHER FOARD
HALL HAMILTON HARDEMAN
HASKELL IRION JACK
JONES KENT KING
KNOX LAMPASAS MCCULLOCH
MILLS MOTLEY NOLAN
PALO PINTO RUNNELS SAN SABA
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS STERLING
STONEWALL TAYLOR THROCKMORTON
TOM GREEN WICHITA WILBARGER
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.