Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 241
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
220 PM MDT Fri May 26 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern New Mexico
Southwest Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 220 PM until
1000 PM MDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
SUMMARY...Intense supercell thunderstorms are expected to form this
afternoon along the higher terrain of southeast NM into southwest
TX. These storms will track eastward into a progressively more
favorable environment for very large hail and a few tornadoes.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 70 miles west northwest of Tucumcari NM
to 60 miles southeast of Marfa TX. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 240...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 29030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 241 TORNADO NM TX 262020Z - 270400Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
70WNW TCC/TUCUMCARI NM/ - 60SE MRF/MARFA TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /20ESE FTI - 47SE MRF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29030.
LAT...LON 35550333 29750198 29750465 35550617
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 241 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 241
VALID 270120Z - 270240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSW SRR
TO 50 N 4CR TO 40 SW TCC TO 40 NE CVS.
..JEWELL..05/27/23
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 241
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-009-011-015-019-025-027-037-041-057-270240-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
EDDY GUADALUPE LEA
LINCOLN QUAY ROOSEVELT
TORRANCE
$$
TXC003-043-103-109-135-165-243-301-371-377-389-475-495-270240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BREWSTER CRANE
CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES
JEFF DAVIS LOVING PECOS
PRESIDIO REEVES WARD
WINKLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 241
VALID 262310Z - 270040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 W 4CR TO
45 SSE SAF TO 25 W TCC TO 35 NNE TCC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 877
..JEWELL..05/26/23
ATTN...WFO...ABQ...MAF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 241
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NMC005-009-011-015-019-025-027-037-041-057-270040-
NM
. NEW MEXICO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHAVES CURRY DE BACA
EDDY GUADALUPE LEA
LINCOLN QUAY ROOSEVELT
TORRANCE
$$
TXC003-043-103-109-135-165-243-301-371-377-389-475-495-270040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREWS BREWSTER CRANE
CULBERSON ECTOR GAINES
JEFF DAVIS LOVING PECOS
PRESIDIO REEVES WARD
WINKLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.