Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 417
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM EDT Thu Jun 29 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Illinois
Western and Central Indiana
Southwest Lower Michigan
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
800 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...An intense/fast-moving squall line will continue generally
eastward into Indiana, southern Illinois and possibly far southwest
Lower Michigan this afternoon. It may eventually weaken as it moves
across Indiana, but damaging winds, some hail, and possibly a brief
tornado will all be possible, especially across western Indiana
through early/mid-afternoon.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles west northwest
of South Bend IN to 10 miles east southeast of Evansville IN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 415...WW 416...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
28045.
...Guyer
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 417
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
210 PM EDT Thu Jun 29 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Illinois
Western and Central Indiana
Southwest Lower Michigan
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 210 PM until
800 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...An intense/fast-moving squall line will continue generally
eastward into Indiana, southern Illinois and possibly far southwest
Lower Michigan this afternoon. It may eventually weaken as it moves
across Indiana, but damaging winds, some hail, and possibly a brief
tornado will all be possible, especially across western Indiana
through early/mid-afternoon.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles east and west of a line from 15 miles west northwest
of South Bend IN to 10 miles east southeast of Evansville IN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 415...WW 416...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
28045.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 417 SEVERE TSTM IL IN MI LM 291810Z - 300000Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
15WNW SBN/SOUTH BEND IN/ - 10ESE EVV/EVANSVILLE IN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /12W GIJ - 19E PXV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28045.
LAT...LON 41788572 37978653 37978819 41788746
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 417 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 417
VALID 292330Z - 300040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 ENE MVN
TO 10 NNE EVV TO 10 SSE EVV.
..THORNTON..06/29/23
ATTN...WFO...PAH...IND...IWX...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 417
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC055-065-081-191-193-300040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN HAMILTON JEFFERSON
WAYNE WHITE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 417
VALID 292240Z - 292340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E SLO TO
10 NNE EVV TO 10 SSE EVV.
..THORNTON..06/29/23
ATTN...WFO...PAH...IND...IWX...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 417
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC055-065-081-191-193-292340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FRANKLIN HAMILTON JEFFERSON
WAYNE WHITE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 417
VALID 292145Z - 292240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 E SLO TO
10 NNE EVV TO 35 WNW SDF TO 40 NNE SDF.
..THORNTON..06/29/23
ATTN...WFO...PAH...IND...IWX...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 417
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC047-055-065-081-191-193-292240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDWARDS FRANKLIN HAMILTON
JEFFERSON WAYNE WHITE
$$
INC123-129-147-163-173-292240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PERRY POSEY SPENCER
VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 417
VALID 292035Z - 292140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 E SLO TO
45 SSW BMG TO 10 ENE BMG TO 15 ENE IND TO 30 E LAF TO 30 W VPZ.
..THORNTON..06/29/23
ATTN...WFO...PAH...IND...IWX...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 417
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC047-055-065-081-185-191-193-292140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDWARDS FRANKLIN HAMILTON
JEFFERSON WABASH WAYNE
WHITE
$$
INC005-013-017-025-031-035-037-049-051-057-059-065-067-071-079-
081-091-093-095-099-101-103-117-123-125-129-131-135-139-141-145-
147-149-159-163-173-175-292140-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CASS
CRAWFORD DECATUR DELAWARE
DUBOIS FULTON GIBSON
HAMILTON HANCOCK HENRY
HOWARD JACKSON JENNINGS
JOHNSON LA PORTE LAWRENCE
MADISON MARSHALL MARTIN
MIAMI ORANGE PERRY
PIKE POSEY PULASKI
RANDOLPH RUSH ST. JOSEPH
SHELBY SPENCER STARKE
TIPTON VANDERBURGH WARRICK
WASHINGTON
$$
MIC021-292140-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN
$$
LMZ043-046-292140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 417
VALID 291935Z - 292040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..THORNTON..06/29/23
ATTN...WFO...PAH...IND...IWX...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 417
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC047-055-065-081-185-191-193-292040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDWARDS FRANKLIN HAMILTON
JEFFERSON WABASH WAYNE
WHITE
$$
INC005-011-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-045-049-051-055-057-
059-063-067-071-081-083-091-093-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-117-
119-121-123-125-129-131-133-141-145-147-149-153-157-159-163-165-
167-171-173-175-181-292040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON CRAWFORD DAVIESS
DUBOIS FOUNTAIN FULTON
GIBSON GREENE HAMILTON
HANCOCK HENDRICKS HOWARD
JACKSON JOHNSON KNOX
LA PORTE LAWRENCE MARION
MARSHALL MARTIN MIAMI
MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN
ORANGE OWEN PARKE
PERRY PIKE POSEY
PULASKI PUTNAM ST. JOSEPH
SHELBY SPENCER STARKE
SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON
VANDERBURGH VERMILLION VIGO
WARREN WARRICK WASHINGTON
WHITE
$$
MIC021-292040-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN
$$
LMZ043-046-292040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 417
VALID 291830Z - 291940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1339
..THORNTON..06/29/23
ATTN...WFO...PAH...IND...IWX...LMK...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 417
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC047-055-065-081-185-191-193-291940-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
EDWARDS FRANKLIN HAMILTON
JEFFERSON WABASH WAYNE
WHITE
$$
INC005-011-013-015-017-021-023-025-027-037-045-049-051-055-057-
063-067-071-081-083-091-093-097-099-101-103-105-107-109-117-119-
121-123-125-129-131-133-141-147-149-153-157-159-163-165-167-171-
173-175-181-291940-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN
CARROLL CASS CLAY
CLINTON CRAWFORD DAVIESS
DUBOIS FOUNTAIN FULTON
GIBSON GREENE HAMILTON
HENDRICKS HOWARD JACKSON
JOHNSON KNOX LA PORTE
LAWRENCE MARION MARSHALL
MARTIN MIAMI MONROE
MONTGOMERY MORGAN ORANGE
OWEN PARKE PERRY
PIKE POSEY PULASKI
PUTNAM ST. JOSEPH SPENCER
STARKE SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE
TIPTON VANDERBURGH VERMILLION
VIGO WARREN WARRICK
WASHINGTON WHITE
$$
MIC021-291940-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BERRIEN
$$
LMZ043-046-291940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (40%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.