Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 26
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
945 PM EST Tue Feb 27 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Indiana
Southern Lower Michigan
Extreme northwestern Ohio
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 945 PM
until 500 AM EST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A complex of severe thunderstorms, initially exiting the
Chicagoland area and crossing southern Lake Michigan, will continue
to pose a threat mainly for severe gusts and hail as it moves into
MI, though a tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Meanwhile,
thunderstorms forming over northern IN ahead of the complex may
offer large hail and strong gusts as they move northeastward as
well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles west southwest
of Benton Harbor MI to 30 miles east northeast of Jackson MI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 25...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Edwards
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 26
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
945 PM EST Tue Feb 27 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Indiana
Southern Lower Michigan
Extreme northwestern Ohio
Lake Michigan
* Effective this Tuesday night and Wednesday morning from 945 PM
until 500 AM EST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A complex of severe thunderstorms, initially exiting the
Chicagoland area and crossing southern Lake Michigan, will continue
to pose a threat mainly for severe gusts and hail as it moves into
MI, though a tornado or two cannot be ruled out. Meanwhile,
thunderstorms forming over northern IN ahead of the complex may
offer large hail and strong gusts as they move northeastward as
well.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles west southwest
of Benton Harbor MI to 30 miles east northeast of Jackson MI. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 25...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 26 SEVERE TSTM IN MI OH LM 280245Z - 281000Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15WSW BEH/BENTON HARBOR MI/ - 30ENE JXN/JACKSON MI/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /24NW GIJ - 28WNW DXO/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 43068670 43458393 41428393 41038670
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 26 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 26
VALID 280530Z - 280640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 W SBN TO
15 W AZO TO 15 SSW GRR TO 20 E MKG.
..SPC..02/28/24
ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...DTX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 26
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC003-033-039-085-087-091-099-113-141-149-151-183-280640-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DE KALB ELKHART
KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LA PORTE
MARSHALL NOBLE ST. JOSEPH
STARKE STEUBEN WHITLEY
$$
MIC015-021-023-025-027-037-045-057-059-065-067-075-077-081-091-
093-117-145-149-155-161-280640-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARRY BERRIEN BRANCH
CALHOUN CASS CLINTON
EATON GRATIOT HILLSDALE
INGHAM IONIA JACKSON
KALAMAZOO KENT LENAWEE
LIVINGSTON MONTCALM SAGINAW
ST. JOSEPH SHIAWASSEE WASHTENAW
$$
OHC039-051-069-171-280640-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DEFIANCE FULTON HENRY
WILLIAMS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 26
VALID 280500Z - 280640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW SBN
TO 10 ENE BEH TO 30 SW GRR TO 10 E MKG.
..SPC..02/28/24
ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...DTX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 26
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
INC003-033-039-085-087-091-099-113-141-149-151-183-280640-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN DE KALB ELKHART
KOSCIUSKO LAGRANGE LA PORTE
MARSHALL NOBLE ST. JOSEPH
STARKE STEUBEN WHITLEY
$$
MIC005-015-021-023-025-027-037-045-057-059-065-067-075-077-081-
091-093-117-139-145-149-155-159-161-280640-
MI
. MICHIGAN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEGAN BARRY BERRIEN
BRANCH CALHOUN CASS
CLINTON EATON GRATIOT
HILLSDALE INGHAM IONIA
JACKSON KALAMAZOO KENT
LENAWEE LIVINGSTON MONTCALM
OTTAWA SAGINAW ST. JOSEPH
SHIAWASSEE VAN BUREN WASHTENAW
$$
OHC039-051-069-171-280640-
OH
. OHIO COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DEFIANCE FULTON HENRY
WILLIAMS
$$
LMZ046-280640-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.