Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 114
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
215 AM CDT Tue Apr 16 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northeast Kansas
South-central and southeast Nebraska
* Effective this Tuesday morning from 215 AM until 800 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A small bowing cluster of storms should continue to pose
some threat for severe/damaging winds and few tornadoes as it
spreads east-northeastward this morning.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of Grand Island NE
to 50 miles south of Beatrice NE. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 113...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 114 TORNADO KS NE 160715Z - 161300Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NE GRI/GRAND ISLAND NE/ - 50S BIE/BEATRICE NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /23E OBH - 45SSW PWE/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
LAT...LON 41329669 39569562 39569788 41329900
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 114 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 114
VALID 161230Z - 161300Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NW TOP TO
35 W BIE TO 10 SSW OLU.
WW 114 IS SCHEDULED TO EXPIRE AT 161300Z.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 456.
..GRAMS..04/16/24
ATTN...WFO...TOP...OAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 114
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-155-161300-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
POTTAWATTAMIE
$$
KSC131-161300-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
NEMAHA
$$
NEC021-023-025-037-039-053-055-067-097-109-127-131-133-147-151-
153-155-159-167-177-161300-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURT BUTLER CASS
COLFAX CUMING DODGE
DOUGLAS GAGE JOHNSON
LANCASTER NEMAHA OTOE
PAWNEE RICHARDSON SALINE
SARPY SAUNDERS SEWARD
STANTON WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 114
VALID 161135Z - 161240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE CNK
TO 10 SSW OLU.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 456.
..GRAMS..04/16/24
ATTN...WFO...TOP...OAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 114
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-155-161240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
POTTAWATTAMIE
$$
KSC117-131-201-161240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MARSHALL NEMAHA WASHINGTON
$$
NEC021-023-025-037-039-053-055-067-095-097-109-127-131-133-141-
147-151-153-155-159-167-177-161240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURT BUTLER CASS
COLFAX CUMING DODGE
DOUGLAS GAGE JEFFERSON
JOHNSON LANCASTER NEMAHA
OTOE PAWNEE PLATTE
RICHARDSON SALINE SARPY
SAUNDERS SEWARD STANTON
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 114
VALID 161025Z - 161140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 ENE CNK
TO 35 W BIE TO 20 ESE OLU.
..GRAMS..04/16/24
ATTN...WFO...TOP...OAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 114
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-155-161140-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
POTTAWATTAMIE
$$
KSC117-131-201-161140-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MARSHALL NEMAHA WASHINGTON
$$
NEC021-023-025-053-055-067-095-097-109-127-131-133-147-151-153-
155-159-177-161140-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BURT BUTLER CASS
DODGE DOUGLAS GAGE
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER
NEMAHA OTOE PAWNEE
RICHARDSON SALINE SARPY
SAUNDERS SEWARD WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 114
VALID 160935Z - 161040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NW CNK TO
35 W BIE TO 30 NE GRI.
..GRAMS..04/16/24
ATTN...WFO...TOP...OAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 114
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC071-085-129-155-161040-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FREMONT HARRISON MILLS
POTTAWATTAMIE
$$
KSC117-131-157-201-161040-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MARSHALL NEMAHA REPUBLIC
WASHINGTON
$$
NEC011-021-023-025-037-039-053-055-067-095-097-109-119-125-127-
131-133-141-143-147-151-153-155-159-167-177-161040-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOONE BURT BUTLER
CASS COLFAX CUMING
DODGE DOUGLAS GAGE
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER
MADISON NANCE NEMAHA
OTOE PAWNEE PLATTE
POLK RICHARDSON SALINE
SARPY SAUNDERS SEWARD
STANTON WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 114
VALID 160835Z - 160940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 454.
..GRAMS..04/16/24
ATTN...WFO...TOP...OAX...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 114
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC117-131-157-201-160940-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MARSHALL NEMAHA REPUBLIC
WASHINGTON
$$
NEC023-035-059-067-081-093-095-097-109-121-125-129-133-143-151-
155-159-163-169-185-160940-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CLAY FILLMORE
GAGE HAMILTON HOWARD
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER
MERRICK NANCE NUCKOLLS
PAWNEE POLK SALINE
SAUNDERS SEWARD SHERMAN
THAYER YORK
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
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