Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
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Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 258
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1255 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Florida
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1255 PM until
700 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms are developing along a cold front over
central Florida. Other storms will focus along the sea-breeze this
afternoon. A few of the storms will pose a risk of large hail and
gusty/damaging winds.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 25
statute miles east and west of a line from 5 miles northwest of Vero
Beach FL to 15 miles southeast of Miami FL. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 258 SEVERE TSTM FL CW 191655Z - 192300Z
AXIS..25 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
5NW VRB/VERO BEACH FL/ - 15SE MIA/MIAMI FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 20NM E/W /1NNE TRV - 14SE MIA/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
LAT...LON 27708007 25657971 25658051 27708089
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 258 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 258
VALID 192155Z - 192240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S AGR TO
55 ENE PBI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 838
..MOORE..05/19/24
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 258
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-086-099-192240-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD MIAMI-DADE PALM BEACH
$$
AMZ610-630-650-651-192240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE OKEECHOBEE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 258
VALID 192050Z - 192140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 S AGR TO
55 NE PBI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 834
..MOORE..05/19/24
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 258
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-085-086-099-192140-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD MARTIN MIAMI-DADE
PALM BEACH
$$
AMZ610-630-650-651-192140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
LAKE OKEECHOBEE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 258
VALID 191945Z - 192040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 834
..MOORE..05/19/24
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 258
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-061-085-086-093-099-111-192040-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD INDIAN RIVER MARTIN
MIAMI-DADE OKEECHOBEE PALM BEACH
ST. LUCIE
$$
AMZ555-610-630-650-651-192040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM
LAKE OKEECHOBEE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 258
VALID 191835Z - 191940Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..05/19/24
ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 258
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-061-085-086-093-099-111-191940-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD INDIAN RIVER MARTIN
MIAMI-DADE OKEECHOBEE PALM BEACH
ST. LUCIE
$$
AMZ555-610-630-650-651-191940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM
LAKE OKEECHOBEE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.