Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 524
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
540 PM CDT Sat Jul 13 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Northern Minnesota
Southeast North Dakota
* Effective this Saturday afternoon from 540 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to develop this evening while
posing a threat for both large hail mainly 1-1.75 inches in diameter
and severe/damaging winds around 60-70 mph. A tornado or two may
also occur.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles east and west of a line from 80 miles north northeast
of Bemidji MN to 35 miles south southeast of Detroit Lakes MN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 522...WW 523...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 524 SEVERE TSTM MN ND 132240Z - 140500Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
80NNE BJI/BEMIDJI MN/ - 35SSE DTL/DETROIT LAKES MN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /34W INL - 57ESE FAR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
LAT...LON 48589262 46359403 46359717 48589590
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 524 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 524
VALID 140335Z - 140440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW DTL
TO 45 NNE BRD.
..GRAMS..07/14/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 524
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-021-035-111-159-140440-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN CASS CROW WING
OTTER TAIL WADENA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 524
VALID 140230Z - 140340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW FAR
TO 25 ENE BJI TO 10 W INL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1603.
..GRAMS..07/14/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 524
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-005-021-035-057-061-071-111-159-167-140340-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BECKER CASS
CROW WING HUBBARD ITASCA
KOOCHICHING OTTER TAIL WADENA
WILKIN
$$
NDC077-140340-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
RICHLAND
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 524
VALID 140130Z - 140240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE FAR
TO 20 NNE BJI TO 40 SE RRT.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1601.
..GRAMS..07/14/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 524
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-005-007-021-027-029-035-057-061-071-077-087-107-111-159-
167-140240-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BECKER BELTRAMI
CASS CLAY CLEARWATER
CROW WING HUBBARD ITASCA
KOOCHICHING LAKE OF THE WOODS MAHNOMEN
NORMAN OTTER TAIL WADENA
WILKIN
$$
NDC017-073-077-081-140240-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 524
VALID 140020Z - 140140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..07/14/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 524
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-005-007-021-027-029-035-057-061-071-077-087-107-111-113-
119-125-159-167-140140-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BECKER BELTRAMI
CASS CLAY CLEARWATER
CROW WING HUBBARD ITASCA
KOOCHICHING LAKE OF THE WOODS MAHNOMEN
NORMAN OTTER TAIL PENNINGTON
POLK RED LAKE WADENA
WILKIN
$$
NDC017-073-077-081-097-140140-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT TRAILL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 524
VALID 132305Z - 140040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..07/13/24
ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 524
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MNC001-005-007-021-027-029-035-057-061-071-077-087-107-111-113-
119-125-159-167-140040-
MN
. MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AITKIN BECKER BELTRAMI
CASS CLAY CLEARWATER
CROW WING HUBBARD ITASCA
KOOCHICHING LAKE OF THE WOODS MAHNOMEN
NORMAN OTTER TAIL PENNINGTON
POLK RED LAKE WADENA
WILKIN
$$
NDC017-073-077-081-097-140040-
ND
. NORTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CASS RANSOM RICHLAND
SARGENT TRAILL
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.