Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 622
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
530 PM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwestern Iowa
Central to northeastern Kansas
Northwestern Missouri
East-central and southeastern Nebraska
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning from
530 PM until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop in the next
couple hours near the western end of the watch and move roughly
eastward while increasing in coverage through the evening. Large to
isolated very large hail is possible early, while the severe-gust
threat increases into evening. A tornado or two also is possible --
mainly over a part of the watch across northeastern KS, near an
outflow boundary.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles south southeast
of Manhattan KS to 35 miles north northeast of Omaha NE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Edwards
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 622
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
530 PM CDT Wed Aug 14 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwestern Iowa
Central to northeastern Kansas
Northwestern Missouri
East-central and southeastern Nebraska
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning from
530 PM until 100 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop in the next
couple hours near the western end of the watch and move roughly
eastward while increasing in coverage through the evening. Large to
isolated very large hail is possible early, while the severe-gust
threat increases into evening. A tornado or two also is possible --
mainly over a part of the watch across northeastern KS, near an
outflow boundary.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 30 miles south southeast
of Manhattan KS to 35 miles north northeast of Omaha NE. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 622 SEVERE TSTM IA KS MO NE 142230Z - 150600Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30SSE MHK/MANHATTAN KS/ - 35NNE OMA/OMAHA NE/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /56ESE SLN - 36N OVR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
LAT...LON 38729813 41759739 41759389 38729479
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 622 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 622
VALID 150435Z - 150540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EMP TO
40 NE STJ.
..GOSS..08/15/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...TOP...ICT...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 622
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC017-045-059-087-091-103-111-139-177-209-150540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHASE DOUGLAS FRANKLIN
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON OSAGE SHAWNEE
WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC021-025-033-047-049-061-063-079-081-095-107-117-129-165-177-
150540-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUCHANAN CALDWELL CARROLL
CLAY CLINTON DAVIESS
DEKALB GRUNDY HARRISON
JACKSON LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON
MERCER PLATTE RAY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 622
VALID 150345Z - 150440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N EMP TO
40 WSW LWD TO 10 WNW DSM.
..GOSS..08/15/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...TOP...ICT...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 622
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC121-159-175-150440-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MADISON RINGGOLD UNION
$$
KSC005-017-043-045-059-085-087-091-103-111-115-139-177-209-
150440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON CHASE DONIPHAN
DOUGLAS FRANKLIN JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON MARION OSAGE
SHAWNEE WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-021-025-033-047-049-061-063-075-079-081-095-107-117-129-
165-177-227-150440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BUCHANAN CALDWELL
CARROLL CLAY CLINTON
DAVIESS DEKALB GENTRY
GRUNDY HARRISON JACKSON
LAFAYETTE LIVINGSTON MERCER
PLATTE RAY WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 622
VALID 150305Z - 150440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW MHK
TO 35 ESE SDA TO 45 ESE DNS.
..GOSS..08/15/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...TOP...ICT...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 622
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-049-077-121-159-173-175-150440-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS DALLAS
GUTHRIE MADISON RINGGOLD
TAYLOR UNION
$$
KSC005-013-017-043-045-059-085-087-091-103-111-115-127-139-149-
177-197-209-150440-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN CHASE
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS FRANKLIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON JOHNSON
LEAVENWORTH LYON MARION
MORRIS OSAGE POTTAWATOMIE
SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-021-047-049-063-075-087-095-147-165-227-150440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW BUCHANAN CLAY
CLINTON DEKALB GENTRY
HOLT JACKSON NODAWAY
PLATTE WORTH
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 622
VALID 150145Z - 150240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 WNW CNK
TO 40 NNE CNK TO 35 WSW LNK TO 15 SW OLU.
..GOSS..08/15/24
ATTN...WFO...DMX...OAX...EAX...TOP...ICT...GID...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 622
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
IAC001-003-009-029-049-071-077-085-121-129-137-145-155-159-165-
173-175-150240-
IA
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS AUDUBON
CASS DALLAS FREMONT
GUTHRIE HARRISON MADISON
MILLS MONTGOMERY PAGE
POTTAWATTAMIE RINGGOLD SHELBY
TAYLOR UNION
$$
KSC005-013-017-027-029-041-043-045-053-059-061-085-087-091-103-
111-113-115-117-127-131-139-143-149-157-159-161-169-177-197-201-
209-150240-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATCHISON BROWN CHASE
CLAY CLOUD DICKINSON
DONIPHAN DOUGLAS ELLSWORTH
FRANKLIN GEARY JACKSON
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LEAVENWORTH
LYON MCPHERSON MARION
MARSHALL MORRIS NEMAHA
OSAGE OTTAWA POTTAWATOMIE
REPUBLIC RICE RILEY
SALINE SHAWNEE WABAUNSEE
WASHINGTON WYANDOTTE
$$
MOC003-005-021-047-049-063-075-087-095-147-165-227-150240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDREW ATCHISON BUCHANAN
CLAY CLINTON DEKALB
GENTRY HOLT JACKSON
NODAWAY PLATTE WORTH
$$
NEC023-025-037-053-055-067-095-097-109-127-131-133-141-147-151-
153-155-159-177-150240-
NE
. NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CASS COLFAX
DODGE DOUGLAS GAGE
JEFFERSON JOHNSON LANCASTER
NEMAHA OTOE PAWNEE
PLATTE RICHARDSON SALINE
SARPY SAUNDERS SEWARD
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.