Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 4
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
730 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Kentucky
Northeast Tennessee
Extreme Southwest Virginia
* Effective this Thursday night from 730 PM until Midnight EST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered intense storms will track southeastward across
the watch area for the next few hours, capable of hail and damaging
winds. A tornado or two is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles northwest of
Knoxville TN to 30 miles north northeast of Hot Springs NC. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 4
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
730 PM EST Thu Feb 6 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southeast Kentucky
Northeast Tennessee
Extreme Southwest Virginia
* Effective this Thursday night from 730 PM until Midnight EST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered intense storms will track southeastward across
the watch area for the next few hours, capable of hail and damaging
winds. A tornado or two is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 45
statute miles north and south of a line from 50 miles northwest of
Knoxville TN to 30 miles north northeast of Hot Springs NC. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 4 SEVERE TSTM KY TN VA 070030Z - 070500Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50NW TYS/KNOXVILLE TN/ - 30NNE HSS/HOT SPRINGS NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM N/S /44NW VXV - 25WSW HMV/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 36988464 36958261 35658261 35688464
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 4 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 4
VALID 070330Z - 070500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW TYS
TO 15 NE TYS TO 30 NE TYS TO 35 WNW HSS TO 25 NNE TRI.
WW 4 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 070500Z.
..HART..02/07/25
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC009-029-059-089-155-163-179-070500-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT COCKE GREENE
JEFFERSON SEVIER SULLIVAN
WASHINGTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 4
VALID 070240Z - 070340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SE CSV TO
15 WNW TYS TO 25 N TYS TO 30 NNE TYS TO 45 SE LOZ TO 45 N TRI.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 73
..HART..02/07/25
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TNC009-029-057-059-063-067-073-089-093-105-155-163-179-070340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT COCKE GRAINGER
GREENE HAMBLEN HANCOCK
HAWKINS JEFFERSON KNOX
LOUDON SEVIER SULLIVAN
WASHINGTON
$$
VAC105-169-195-720-070340-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEE SCOTT WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 4
VALID 070140Z - 070240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NNE CSV
TO 45 SSW LOZ TO 35 SSW LOZ TO 25 S LOZ TO 30 SE LOZ TO 30 S JKL.
..EDWARDS..02/07/25
ATTN...WFO...JKL...MRX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KYC013-095-133-193-070240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BELL HARLAN LETCHER
PERRY
$$
TNC001-009-013-025-029-057-059-063-067-073-089-093-105-129-145-
151-155-163-173-179-070240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON BLOUNT CAMPBELL
CLAIBORNE COCKE GRAINGER
GREENE HAMBLEN HANCOCK
HAWKINS JEFFERSON KNOX
LOUDON MORGAN ROANE
SCOTT SEVIER SULLIVAN
UNION WASHINGTON
$$
VAC105-169-195-720-070240-
VA
. VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LEE SCOTT WISE
VIRGINIA INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE
NORTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.