Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 4
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
900 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Arkansas
North central and northwest Louisiana
Extreme east Texas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 900 PM
until 300 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Clusters and bands of storms with embedded supercell
structures will likely persist well into the early morning hours,
with an attendant threat for tornadoes (one or two of which could be
strong), damaging gusts, and isolated large hail.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles west of Pine Bluff AR to 25
miles west southwest of Natchitoches LA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This tornado watch replaces tornado
watch number 1. Watch number 1 will not be in effect after 900 PM
CST. CONTINUE...WW 2...WW 3...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.
...Thompson
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 4
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
900 PM CST Mon Jan 2 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern Arkansas
North central and northwest Louisiana
Extreme east Texas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 900 PM
until 300 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Clusters and bands of storms with embedded supercell
structures will likely persist well into the early morning hours,
with an attendant threat for tornadoes (one or two of which could be
strong), damaging gusts, and isolated large hail.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 45 statute miles
east and west of a line from 40 miles west of Pine Bluff AR to 25
miles west southwest of Natchitoches LA. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This tornado watch replaces tornado
watch number 1. Watch number 1 will not be in effect after 900 PM
CST. CONTINUE...WW 2...WW 3...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 22040.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 4 TORNADO AR LA TX 030300Z - 030900Z
AXIS..45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40W PBF/PINE BLUFF AR/ - 25WSW IER/NATCHITOCHES LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 40NM E/W /38SW LIT - 55WNW AEX/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.
REPLACES WW 1..AR LA OK TX
LAT...LON 34169184 31609273 31609426 34169342
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 4 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 4
VALID 030810Z - 030940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S TXK TO
20 NW ELD TO 30 NE ELD TO 15 SSE PBF.
..BROYLES..01/03/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-139-030940-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA UNION
$$
LAC013-015-017-027-031-049-061-069-073-081-085-111-119-127-
030940-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO JACKSON
LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA
RED RIVER SABINE UNION
WEBSTER WINN
$$
TXC365-403-405-419-030940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PANOLA SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 4
VALID 030640Z - 030740Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..01/03/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-025-027-057-061-069-073-081-091-099-103-133-139-030740-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLEVELAND COLUMBIA
HEMPSTEAD HOWARD JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER MILLER
NEVADA OUACHITA SEVIER
UNION
$$
LAC013-015-017-027-031-049-061-069-073-081-085-111-119-127-
030740-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO JACKSON
LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA
RED RIVER SABINE UNION
WEBSTER WINN
$$
TXC365-403-405-419-030740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PANOLA SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 4
VALID 030520Z - 030640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 15
..DEAN..01/03/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-025-027-039-053-057-059-061-069-073-081-091-099-103-
109-133-139-030640-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK CLEVELAND
COLUMBIA DALLAS GRANT
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER
MILLER NEVADA OUACHITA
PIKE SEVIER UNION
$$
LAC013-015-017-027-031-049-061-069-073-081-085-111-119-127-
030640-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO JACKSON
LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA
RED RIVER SABINE UNION
WEBSTER WINN
$$
TXC365-403-405-419-030640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PANOLA SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 4
VALID 030335Z - 030440Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..DEAN..01/03/23
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 4
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-025-027-039-053-057-059-061-069-073-081-091-099-103-
109-133-139-030440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK CLEVELAND
COLUMBIA DALLAS GRANT
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD
JEFFERSON LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER
MILLER NEVADA OUACHITA
PIKE SEVIER UNION
$$
LAC013-015-017-027-031-049-061-069-073-081-085-111-119-127-
030440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CLAIBORNE DE SOTO JACKSON
LINCOLN NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA
RED RIVER SABINE UNION
WEBSTER WINN
$$
TXC365-403-405-419-030440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
PANOLA SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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