Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 10
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern, central and eastern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Northern and central Mississippi
Southwestern Tennessee
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Friday morning from 355 AM until 1100 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A line of severe thunderstorms is expected to become
better organized the next few hours and sweep eastward across the
watch area through the remainder of the morning, offering severe
gusts (some potentially over 70 mph), a few tornadoes, and isolated
hail. Isolated severe thunderstorms also may form ahead of the
line, with all the same hazards possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles
either side of a line from 30 miles southwest of Texarkana AR to 25
miles east of Tupelo MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This tornado watch replaces tornado
watch number 9. Watch number 9 will not be in effect after 355 AM
CST.
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25040.
...Edwards
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 10
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southern, central and eastern Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
Northern and central Mississippi
Southwestern Tennessee
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Friday morning from 355 AM until 1100 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...A line of severe thunderstorms is expected to become
better organized the next few hours and sweep eastward across the
watch area through the remainder of the morning, offering severe
gusts (some potentially over 70 mph), a few tornadoes, and isolated
hail. Isolated severe thunderstorms also may form ahead of the
line, with all the same hazards possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles
either side of a line from 30 miles southwest of Texarkana AR to 25
miles east of Tupelo MS. For a complete depiction of the watch see
the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This tornado watch replaces tornado
watch number 9. Watch number 9 will not be in effect after 355 AM
CST.
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean
storm motion vector 25040.
...Edwards
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 10 TORNADO AR LA MS TN TX 120955Z - 121700Z
AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EITHER SIDE OF LINE..
30SW TXK/TEXARKANA AR/ - 25E TUP/TUPELO MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM EITHER SIDE /27SW TXK - 48N IGB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
REPLACES WW 9..AR LA OK TX
LAT...LON 34499466 35628863 32918804 31799408
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 10 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 10
VALID 121455Z - 121540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE HEZ TO
60 S GLH TO 40 S GWO TO 30 E GWO TO 15 ESE UOX TO 35 S MKL TO 15
NNW MKL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 53
..JEWELL..01/12/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MSC003-007-009-013-017-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-049-051-
057-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-081-085-087-089-091-095-
097-099-101-103-105-115-117-121-123-127-129-139-141-145-149-155-
159-163-121540-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
CALHOUN CHICKASAW CHOCTAW
CLAIBORNE CLARKE CLAY
COPIAH COVINGTON FORREST
FRANKLIN HINDS HOLMES
ITAWAMBA JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LEE LINCOLN
LOWNDES MADISON MARION
MONROE MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PONTOTOC PRENTISS RANKIN
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION
WARREN WEBSTER WINSTON
YAZOO
$$
TNC069-109-121540-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDEMAN MCNAIRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 10
VALID 121450Z - 121540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NE HEZ TO
60 S GLH TO 40 S GWO TO 30 E GWO TO 15 ESE UOX TO 35 S MKL TO 15
NNW MKL.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 53
..JEWELL..01/12/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
MSC003-007-009-013-017-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-049-051-
057-061-063-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-081-085-087-089-091-095-
097-099-101-103-105-115-117-121-123-127-129-139-141-145-149-155-
159-163-121540-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
CALHOUN CHICKASAW CHOCTAW
CLAIBORNE CLARKE CLAY
COPIAH COVINGTON FORREST
FRANKLIN HINDS HOLMES
ITAWAMBA JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LEE LINCOLN
LOWNDES MADISON MARION
MONROE MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PONTOTOC PRENTISS RANKIN
SCOTT SIMPSON SMITH
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION
WARREN WEBSTER WINSTON
YAZOO
$$
TNC069-109-121540-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HARDEMAN MCNAIRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 10
VALID 121325Z - 121440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N ESF TO
50 NNW GWO TO 30 E JBR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 52
..DEAN..01/12/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC017-121440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHICOT
$$
LAC035-041-065-083-107-123-121440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN MADISON
RICHLAND TENSAS WEST CARROLL
$$
MSC003-007-009-013-015-017-019-021-025-033-043-049-051-053-055-
057-069-071-075-079-081-083-087-089-093-095-097-099-101-103-105-
107-115-117-119-121-123-125-133-135-137-139-141-145-149-151-155-
159-161-163-121440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLAY
DESOTO GRENADA HINDS
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
ITAWAMBA KEMPER LAFAYETTE
LAUDERDALE LEAKE LEE
LEFLORE LOWNDES MADISON
MARSHALL MONROE MONTGOMERY
NESHOBA NEWTON NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PANOLA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS QUITMAN RANKIN
SCOTT SHARKEY SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC047-069-109-157-121440-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE HARDEMAN MCNAIRY
SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 10
VALID 121235Z - 121340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 S IER TO
40 ESE SHV TO 35 NE LLQ TO JBR.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 52
..DEAN..01/12/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-017-035-037-077-107-123-121340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY CHICOT CRITTENDEN
CROSS LEE PHILLIPS
ST. FRANCIS
$$
LAC013-021-035-041-049-061-065-067-069-073-083-107-111-123-127-
121340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE CALDWELL EAST CARROLL
FRANKLIN JACKSON LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RICHLAND TENSAS
UNION WEST CARROLL WINN
$$
MSC003-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-033-043-049-051-
053-055-057-069-071-075-079-081-083-087-089-093-095-097-099-101-
103-105-107-115-117-119-121-123-125-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-
149-151-155-159-161-163-121340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
BOLIVAR CALHOUN CARROLL
CHICKASAW CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLAY COAHOMA DESOTO
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA ITAWAMBA
KEMPER LAFAYETTE LAUDERDALE
LEAKE LEE LEFLORE
LOWNDES MADISON MARSHALL
MONROE MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PANOLA PONTOTOC PRENTISS
QUITMAN RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE
TATE TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
TUNICA UNION WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC047-069-109-157-121340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE HARDEMAN MCNAIRY
SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 10
VALID 121115Z - 121240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE LFK TO
15 N SHV TO 30 WSW PBF TO 15 SW BVX.
..DEAN..01/12/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-025-035-037-041-043-069-077-079-085-095-
107-117-123-139-145-147-121240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND
CRITTENDEN CROSS DESHA
DREW JEFFERSON LEE
LINCOLN LONOKE MONROE
PHILLIPS PRAIRIE ST. FRANCIS
UNION WHITE WOODRUFF
$$
LAC013-015-017-021-027-031-035-041-049-061-065-067-069-073-081-
083-107-111-119-123-127-121240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE BOSSIER CADDO
CALDWELL CLAIBORNE DE SOTO
EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN JACKSON
LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE
NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER
RICHLAND TENSAS UNION
WEBSTER WEST CARROLL WINN
$$
MSC003-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-025-027-033-043-049-051-
053-055-057-069-071-075-079-081-083-087-089-093-095-097-099-101-
103-105-107-115-117-119-121-123-125-133-135-137-139-141-143-145-
149-151-155-159-161-163-121240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
BOLIVAR CALHOUN CARROLL
CHICKASAW CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE
CLAY COAHOMA DESOTO
GRENADA HINDS HOLMES
HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA ITAWAMBA
KEMPER LAFAYETTE LAUDERDALE
LEAKE LEE LEFLORE
LOWNDES MADISON MARSHALL
MONROE MONTGOMERY NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PANOLA PONTOTOC PRENTISS
QUITMAN RANKIN SCOTT
SHARKEY SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE
TATE TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
TUNICA UNION WARREN
WASHINGTON WEBSTER WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC047-069-109-157-121240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE HARDEMAN MCNAIRY
SHELBY
$$
TXC419-121240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (60%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (10%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.