Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 10
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
500 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of southeast Louisiana
Central and southern Mississippi
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon from 500 PM until Midnight
CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered supercell development will likely persist
through the evening from parts of Louisiana into Mississippi, with
an attendant threat for damaging gusts/large hail, as well as an
isolated tornado or two.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles southeast of
Meridian MS to 45 miles south southwest of Natchez MS. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This severe thunderstorm watch replaces
tornado watch number 7. Watch number 7 will not be in effect
after 500 PM CST. CONTINUE...WW 8...WW 9...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Thompson
SEL0
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 10
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
500 PM CST Tue Jan 3 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Parts of southeast Louisiana
Central and southern Mississippi
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon from 500 PM until Midnight
CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered supercell development will likely persist
through the evening from parts of Louisiana into Mississippi, with
an attendant threat for damaging gusts/large hail, as well as an
isolated tornado or two.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles southeast of
Meridian MS to 45 miles south southwest of Natchez MS. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This severe thunderstorm watch replaces
tornado watch number 7. Watch number 7 will not be in effect
after 500 PM CST. CONTINUE...WW 8...WW 9...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW0
WW 10 SEVERE TSTM LA MS 032300Z - 040600Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20SE MEI/MERIDIAN MS/ - 45SSW HEZ/NATCHEZ MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /21SE MEI - 36NNW BTR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
REPLACES WW 7..AL LA MS TN
LAT...LON 31408851 30299159 31749159 32848851
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU0.
Watch 10 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 10
VALID 040425Z - 040540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 ENE LFT
TO 25 W MCB TO 30 N MCB TO 45 NW PIB TO 60 W MEI TO 65 WNW MEI TO
45 ESE GWO TO 25 WNW CBM.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 30
..WENDT..01/04/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC091-117-040540-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ST. HELENA WASHINGTON
$$
MSC005-023-025-031-035-041-061-065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-
087-091-099-101-103-105-109-111-113-123-129-147-153-159-
040540-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
AMITE CLARKE CLAY
COVINGTON FORREST GREENE
JASPER JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES
KEMPER LAMAR LAUDERDALE
LAWRENCE LEAKE LINCOLN
LOWNDES MARION NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PEARL RIVER PERRY PIKE
SCOTT SMITH WALTHALL
WAYNE WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 10
VALID 040220Z - 040340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..01/04/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC029-037-077-091-117-125-040340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CONCORDIA EAST FELICIANA POINTE COUPEE
ST. HELENA WASHINGTON WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-041-049-061-063-
065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-087-089-091-099-101-103-105-109-
111-113-121-123-127-129-147-153-155-157-159-040340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLARKE
CLAY COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN GREENE
HINDS JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LINCOLN LOWNDES
MADISON MARION NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PEARL RIVER PERRY PIKE
RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON
SMITH WALTHALL WAYNE
WEBSTER WILKINSON WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 10
VALID 040125Z - 040240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..01/04/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC029-037-077-091-117-125-040240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CONCORDIA EAST FELICIANA POINTE COUPEE
ST. HELENA WASHINGTON WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-041-049-061-063-
065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-087-089-091-099-101-103-105-109-
111-113-121-123-127-129-147-153-155-157-159-040240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLARKE
CLAY COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN GREENE
HINDS JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LINCOLN LOWNDES
MADISON MARION NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PEARL RIVER PERRY PIKE
RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON
SMITH WALTHALL WAYNE
WEBSTER WILKINSON WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 10
VALID 040040Z - 040140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..01/04/23
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...MOB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 10
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC029-037-077-091-117-125-040140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
CONCORDIA EAST FELICIANA POINTE COUPEE
ST. HELENA WASHINGTON WEST FELICIANA
$$
MSC001-005-007-019-021-023-025-029-031-035-037-041-049-061-063-
065-067-069-073-075-077-079-085-087-089-091-099-101-103-105-109-
111-113-121-123-127-129-147-153-155-157-159-040140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS AMITE ATTALA
CHOCTAW CLAIBORNE CLARKE
CLAY COPIAH COVINGTON
FORREST FRANKLIN GREENE
HINDS JASPER JEFFERSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS JONES KEMPER
LAMAR LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE
LEAKE LINCOLN LOWNDES
MADISON MARION NESHOBA
NEWTON NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
PEARL RIVER PERRY PIKE
RANKIN SCOTT SIMPSON
SMITH WALTHALL WAYNE
WEBSTER WILKINSON WINSTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.