Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 13
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
445 PM CST Sat Jan 8 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Texas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 445 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible
SUMMARY...Regenerative supercells will remain possible through this
evening. Brief tornadoes will be the primary hazard.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
east and west of a line from 50 miles north northeast of Lufkin TX
to 15 miles east southeast of Houston TX. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 50 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 20025.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 13 TORNADO TX 082245Z - 090400Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NNE LFK/LUFKIN TX/ - 15ESE HOU/HOUSTON TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM E/W /35SSE GGG - 28SSE IAH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..50 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20025.
LAT...LON 31909357 29569422 29569588 31909528
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 13 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 13
VALID 090235Z - 090340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..01/09/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 13
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-071-185-199-201-241-245-291-339-347-351-361-373-403-405-
407-419-455-457-471-473-090340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA CHAMBERS GRIMES
HARDIN HARRIS JASPER
JEFFERSON LIBERTY MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES NEWTON ORANGE
POLK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRINITY
TYLER WALKER WALLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 13
VALID 090130Z - 090240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..01/09/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 13
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-071-185-199-201-241-245-291-339-347-351-361-373-403-405-
407-419-455-457-471-473-090240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA CHAMBERS GRIMES
HARDIN HARRIS JASPER
JEFFERSON LIBERTY MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES NEWTON ORANGE
POLK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRINITY
TYLER WALKER WALLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 13
VALID 090030Z - 090140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..01/09/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 13
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-071-185-199-201-241-245-291-339-347-351-361-373-403-405-
407-419-455-457-471-473-090140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA CHAMBERS GRIMES
HARDIN HARRIS JASPER
JEFFERSON LIBERTY MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES NEWTON ORANGE
POLK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRINITY
TYLER WALKER WALLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 13
VALID 082335Z - 090040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..01/08/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 13
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-071-185-199-201-241-245-291-339-347-351-361-373-403-405-
407-419-455-457-471-473-090040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA CHAMBERS GRIMES
HARDIN HARRIS JASPER
JEFFERSON LIBERTY MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES NEWTON ORANGE
POLK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRINITY
TYLER WALKER WALLER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.