Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 14
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1020 AM CST Wed Jan 4 2023
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast North Carolina
Northeast South Carolina
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday morning and afternoon from 1020 AM
until 400 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
SUMMARY...A line of thunderstorms capable of locally damaging wind
gusts and a few brief tornadoes will track eastward across the watch
area this afternoon.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 35 miles west southwest of Florence
SC to 15 miles south southeast of Wilmington NC. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 12...WW 13...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 14 TORNADO NC SC CW 041620Z - 042200Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
35WSW FLO/FLORENCE SC/ - 15SSE ILM/WILMINGTON NC/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /34WSW FLO - 17SSE ILM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..0.5 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 34938028 35007780 33137780 33048028
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 14 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 14
VALID 041925Z - 042040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SE CRE TO
30 NNE CRE TO 10 NNE OAJ.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 36
..WEINMAN..01/04/23
ATTN...WFO...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 14
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC019-129-141-042040-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BRUNSWICK NEW HANOVER PENDER
$$
AMZ250-252-042040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 14
VALID 041835Z - 041940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 SSW CRE
TO 25 E FLO TO 25 SSW GSB.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 36
..WEINMAN..01/04/23
ATTN...WFO...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 14
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC017-019-047-129-141-041940-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS
NEW HANOVER PENDER
$$
SCC051-041940-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
HORRY
$$
AMZ250-252-254-256-041940-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 14
VALID 041740Z - 041840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE OGB TO
30 NE FLO TO 15 NW FAY.
..WEINMAN..01/04/23
ATTN...WFO...ILM...RAH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 14
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
NCC017-019-047-051-129-141-155-163-041840-
NC
. NORTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLADEN BRUNSWICK COLUMBUS
CUMBERLAND NEW HANOVER PENDER
ROBESON SAMPSON
$$
SCC033-041-043-051-067-089-041840-
SC
. SOUTH CAROLINA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DILLON FLORENCE GEORGETOWN
HORRY MARION WILLIAMSBURG
$$
AMZ250-252-254-256-041840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY TO CAPE FEAR NC OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE FEAR NC TO LITTLE RIVER INLET SC OUT 20
NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE RIVER INLET TO MURRELLS INLET SC OUT
20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM MURRELLS INLET TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SC OUT
20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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