Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 15
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1005 AM EST Sun Jan 16 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
South Florida
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Sunday morning and afternoon from 1005 AM until
300 PM EST.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
SUMMARY...A couple supercells just ahead of a broken squall line may
persist across southwest Florida before spreading over southeast
Florida into early afternoon.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 50 statute miles
north and south of a line from 85 miles west of Miami FL to 35 miles
south southeast of West Palm Beach FL. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 0 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 15 TORNADO FL CW 161505Z - 162000Z
AXIS..50 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
85W MIA/MIAMI FL/ - 35SSE PBI/WEST PALM BEACH FL/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 45NM N/S /45S RSW - 30SSE PBI/
WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400.MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 26528165 26947987 25497987 25078165
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 15 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 15
VALID 161700Z - 161840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N MTH TO
40 W PBI.
..THOMPSON..01/16/22
ATTN...WFO...MFL...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 15
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
FLC011-086-099-161840-
FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BROWARD MIAMI-DADE PALM BEACH
$$
AMZ630-650-651-161840-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
BISCAYNE BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (30%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (10%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Low (<5%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (<5%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
Mod (30%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
@NWSSPC
