Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 16
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and East Texas
* Effective this Sunday morning from 230 AM until 1100 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A corridor of strong to severe thunderstorms will continue
to progress east-northeastward toward and to the east of the
I-35/I-45 corridors through the early morning hours, with the most
intense storms remaining capable of large hail and localized strong
wind gusts. Additional severe development may occur on an initially
(pre-dawn) more isolated basis across east/east-central Texas.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west of Temple
TX to 30 miles southeast of Longview TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 15...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Guyer
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 16
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
230 AM CST Sun Feb 11 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and East Texas
* Effective this Sunday morning from 230 AM until 1100 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A corridor of strong to severe thunderstorms will continue
to progress east-northeastward toward and to the east of the
I-35/I-45 corridors through the early morning hours, with the most
intense storms remaining capable of large hail and localized strong
wind gusts. Additional severe development may occur on an initially
(pre-dawn) more isolated basis across east/east-central Texas.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles north and south of a line from 55 miles west of Temple
TX to 30 miles southeast of Longview TX. For a complete depiction of
the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 15...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
25035.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 16 SEVERE TSTM TX 110830Z - 111700Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
55W TPL/TEMPLE TX/ - 30SE GGG/LONGVIEW TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM N/S /63NW CWK - 29SE GGG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
LAT...LON 32169835 33099436 31069436 30139835
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 16 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 16
VALID 111625Z - 111740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW UTS
TO 25 NNE LFK TO 25 N SHV.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 125
..MOORE..02/11/24
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-419-111740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 16
VALID 111540Z - 111640Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 W UTS TO
20 NW LFK TO 35 SW SHV.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 125
..GLEASON..02/11/24
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-347-365-419-455-111640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA NACOGDOCHES PANOLA
SHELBY TRINITY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 16
VALID 111450Z - 111540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 ESE AUS
TO 20 WNW UTS TO 35 NNW LFK TO 30 SSW GGG TO 25 E GGG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 123
..GLEASON..02/11/24
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC005-041-051-185-203-225-347-365-401-419-455-471-111540-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA BRAZOS BURLESON
GRIMES HARRISON HOUSTON
NACOGDOCHES PANOLA RUSK
SHELBY TRINITY WALKER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 16
VALID 111325Z - 111440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE AUS
TO 35 N CLL TO 45 SSE CRS TO 35 SE CRS TO 10 SSE TYR TO 35 N TYR.
..KERR..02/11/24
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-041-051-073-183-185-203-225-289-313-347-365-395-401-
419-423-455-471-111440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BRAZOS
BURLESON CHEROKEE GREGG
GRIMES HARRISON HOUSTON
LEON MADISON NACOGDOCHES
PANOLA ROBERTSON RUSK
SHELBY SMITH TRINITY
WALKER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 16
VALID 111245Z - 111340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 NNE AUS TO
35 ESE ACT TO 25 E CRS TO 45 ESE DAL.
..KERR..02/11/24
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-041-051-073-161-183-185-203-213-225-287-289-293-313-
331-347-365-395-401-419-423-455-467-471-111340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BRAZOS
BURLESON CHEROKEE FREESTONE
GREGG GRIMES HARRISON
HENDERSON HOUSTON LEE
LEON LIMESTONE MADISON
MILAM NACOGDOCHES PANOLA
ROBERTSON RUSK SHELBY
SMITH TRINITY VAN ZANDT
WALKER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 16
VALID 111130Z - 111240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 W AUS TO
15 WSW ACT TO 15 W CRS TO 20 SSE DAL.
..KERR..02/11/24
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-027-031-041-051-073-145-161-183-185-203-213-225-257-
287-289-293-309-313-331-347-349-365-395-401-419-423-453-455-467-
471-491-111240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BLANCO BRAZOS BURLESON
CHEROKEE FALLS FREESTONE
GREGG GRIMES HARRISON
HENDERSON HOUSTON KAUFMAN
LEE LEON LIMESTONE
MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM
NACOGDOCHES NAVARRO PANOLA
ROBERTSON RUSK SHELBY
SMITH TRAVIS TRINITY
VAN ZANDT WALKER WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 16
VALID 111045Z - 111140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 W TPL TO
15 NNW ACT TO 25 S FTW.
..KERR..02/11/24
ATTN...WFO...FWD...SHV...EWX...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC001-005-027-031-041-051-053-073-099-139-145-161-183-185-203-
213-217-225-251-257-281-287-289-293-309-313-331-347-349-365-395-
401-419-423-453-455-467-471-491-111140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANDERSON ANGELINA BELL
BLANCO BRAZOS BURLESON
BURNET CHEROKEE CORYELL
ELLIS FALLS FREESTONE
GREGG GRIMES HARRISON
HENDERSON HILL HOUSTON
JOHNSON KAUFMAN LAMPASAS
LEE LEON LIMESTONE
MCLENNAN MADISON MILAM
NACOGDOCHES NAVARRO PANOLA
ROBERTSON RUSK SHELBY
SMITH TRAVIS TRINITY
VAN ZANDT WALKER WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (<5%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.