Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 16
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
105 PM CST Wed Jan 19 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far southern Arkansas
Western to northern Louisiana
East and southeast Texas
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 105 PM
until 700 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A continued increase in thunderstorm coverage is expected
through early evening. Wind profiles should become more favorable
for a few supercells and potential clusters, posing a primary threat
of hail and wind.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles northwest of
Monroe LA to 10 miles west southwest of Galveston TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25030.
...Grams
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 16
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
105 PM CST Wed Jan 19 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Far southern Arkansas
Western to northern Louisiana
East and southeast Texas
Coastal Waters
* Effective this Wednesday afternoon and evening from 105 PM
until 700 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...A continued increase in thunderstorm coverage is expected
through early evening. Wind profiles should become more favorable
for a few supercells and potential clusters, posing a primary threat
of hail and wind.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 70
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles northwest of
Monroe LA to 10 miles west southwest of Galveston TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
25030.
...Grams
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 16 SEVERE TSTM AR LA TX CW 191905Z - 200100Z
AXIS..70 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
50NW MLU/MONROE LA/ - 10WSW GLS/GALVESTON TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 60NM E/W /15SSE ELD - 47SSE IAH/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 33029143 29279374 29279606 33029385
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 16 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 16
VALID 200035Z - 200140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 S CLL TO
30 NNW LFK TO 20 SSE GGG TO 10 S TXK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 89
..MOORE..01/20/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-139-200140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA UNION
$$
LAC003-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-027-031-043-049-053-059-061-
069-073-079-081-085-111-115-119-127-200140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE
BOSSIER CADDO CALCASIEU
CALDWELL CAMERON CLAIBORNE
DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE LINCOLN
NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RAPIDES
RED RIVER SABINE UNION
VERNON WEBSTER WINN
$$
TXC005-039-071-157-167-199-201-203-241-245-291-339-347-351-361-
365-373-403-405-407-419-455-457-473-200140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA BRAZORIA CHAMBERS
FORT BEND GALVESTON HARDIN
HARRIS HARRISON JASPER
JEFFERSON LIBERTY MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES NEWTON ORANGE
PANOLA POLK SABINE
SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO SHELBY
TRINITY TYLER WALLER
$$
GMZ335-355-430-432-450-200140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 16
VALID 192340Z - 200040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MOORE..01/19/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-139-200040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA UNION
$$
LAC003-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-027-031-043-049-053-059-061-
069-073-079-081-085-111-115-119-127-200040-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE
BOSSIER CADDO CALCASIEU
CALDWELL CAMERON CLAIBORNE
DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE LINCOLN
NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RAPIDES
RED RIVER SABINE UNION
VERNON WEBSTER WINN
$$
TXC005-039-071-157-167-199-201-203-241-245-291-339-347-351-361-
365-373-401-403-405-407-419-455-457-473-200040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA BRAZORIA CHAMBERS
FORT BEND GALVESTON HARDIN
HARRIS HARRISON JASPER
JEFFERSON LIBERTY MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES NEWTON ORANGE
PANOLA POLK RUSK
SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO
SHELBY TRINITY TYLER
WALLER
$$
GMZ335-355-430-432-450-200040-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 16
VALID 192230Z - 192340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 87
..MOORE..01/19/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-139-192340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA UNION
$$
LAC003-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-027-031-043-049-053-059-061-
069-073-079-081-085-111-115-119-127-192340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE
BOSSIER CADDO CALCASIEU
CALDWELL CAMERON CLAIBORNE
DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE LINCOLN
NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RAPIDES
RED RIVER SABINE UNION
VERNON WEBSTER WINN
$$
TXC005-039-071-157-167-199-201-203-241-245-291-339-347-351-361-
365-373-401-403-405-407-419-455-457-473-192340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA BRAZORIA CHAMBERS
FORT BEND GALVESTON HARDIN
HARRIS HARRISON JASPER
JEFFERSON LIBERTY MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES NEWTON ORANGE
PANOLA POLK RUSK
SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO
SHELBY TRINITY TYLER
WALLER
$$
GMZ335-355-430-432-450-192340-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 16
VALID 192135Z - 192240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SE CLL TO
15 SW UTS TO 30 N UTS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 87
..LYONS..01/19/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-139-192240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA UNION
$$
LAC003-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-027-031-043-049-053-059-061-
069-073-079-081-085-111-115-119-127-192240-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE
BOSSIER CADDO CALCASIEU
CALDWELL CAMERON CLAIBORNE
DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE LINCOLN
NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RAPIDES
RED RIVER SABINE UNION
VERNON WEBSTER WINN
$$
TXC005-039-071-157-167-199-201-203-241-245-291-339-347-351-361-
365-373-401-403-405-407-419-455-457-473-192240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA BRAZORIA CHAMBERS
FORT BEND GALVESTON HARDIN
HARRIS HARRISON JASPER
JEFFERSON LIBERTY MONTGOMERY
NACOGDOCHES NEWTON ORANGE
PANOLA POLK RUSK
SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SAN JACINTO
SHELBY TRINITY TYLER
WALLER
$$
GMZ335-355-430-432-450-192240-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 16
VALID 192030Z - 192140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..01/19/22
ATTN...WFO...SHV...LCH...HGX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC027-139-192140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COLUMBIA UNION
$$
LAC003-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-027-031-043-049-053-059-061-
069-073-079-081-085-111-115-119-127-192140-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
ALLEN BEAUREGARD BIENVILLE
BOSSIER CADDO CALCASIEU
CALDWELL CAMERON CLAIBORNE
DE SOTO GRANT JACKSON
JEFFERSON DAVIS LA SALLE LINCOLN
NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RAPIDES
RED RIVER SABINE UNION
VERNON WEBSTER WINN
$$
TXC005-039-071-157-167-185-199-201-203-241-245-291-339-347-351-
361-365-373-401-403-405-407-419-455-457-471-473-192140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANGELINA BRAZORIA CHAMBERS
FORT BEND GALVESTON GRIMES
HARDIN HARRIS HARRISON
JASPER JEFFERSON LIBERTY
MONTGOMERY NACOGDOCHES NEWTON
ORANGE PANOLA POLK
RUSK SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE
SAN JACINTO SHELBY TRINITY
TYLER WALKER WALLER
$$
GMZ335-355-430-432-450-192140-
CW
. ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE
GALVESTON BAY
COASTAL WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT TX OUT 20 NM
SABINE LAKE
CALCASIEU LAKE
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAMERON LA TO HIGH ISLAND TX OUT 20 NM
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (70%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.