Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 19
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1025 PM CST Wed Feb 16 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest and Central Oklahoma
Northwest and Western North Texas
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 1025
PM until 500 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...With steady low-level moistening ahead of a potent
upper-level system, strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to
develop and quickly race northeastward across the region through the
overnight. Isolated large hail and damaging winds will be possible,
and a tornado cannot be ruled out, particularly across western North
Texas and far south-central Oklahoma.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles southwest of
Abilene TX to 30 miles west northwest of Chandler OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24040.
...Guyer
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 19
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1025 PM CST Wed Feb 16 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest and Central Oklahoma
Northwest and Western North Texas
* Effective this Wednesday night and Thursday morning from 1025
PM until 500 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Scattered large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...With steady low-level moistening ahead of a potent
upper-level system, strong to severe thunderstorms will continue to
develop and quickly race northeastward across the region through the
overnight. Isolated large hail and damaging winds will be possible,
and a tornado cannot be ruled out, particularly across western North
Texas and far south-central Oklahoma.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 90
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles southwest of
Abilene TX to 30 miles west northwest of Chandler OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
24040.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 19 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 170425Z - 171100Z
AXIS..90 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
40SW ABI/ABILENE TX/ - 30WNW CQB/CHANDLER OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 80NM E/W /32SSW ABI - 35NNE OKC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.
LAT...LON 32000170 35879892 35879571 32009863
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 19 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 19
VALID 171030Z - 171100Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 WNW GYI
TO 15 ENE ADM TO 25 NE ADM TO 35 WSW MLC.
WW 19 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 171100Z.
..GLEASON..02/17/22
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC069-095-123-171100-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
JOHNSTON MARSHALL PONTOTOC
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 19
VALID 170930Z - 171040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N FTW TO
35 SW ADM TO 20 NW ADM TO 45 SE OKC TO 35 SE CQB TO 35 NNW MLC.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 139
..GLEASON..02/17/22
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-049-069-085-095-099-123-125-133-171040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER GARVIN JOHNSTON
LOVE MARSHALL MURRAY
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
$$
TXC097-171040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COOKE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 19
VALID 170835Z - 170940Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N SEP TO
40 SSE SPS TO 30 ENE SPS TO 20 SSE CHK TO 15 SSE OKC TO 10 ESE
CQB TO 20 SSW TUL.
..GLEASON..02/17/22
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-027-049-051-067-069-081-085-087-095-099-123-125-133-137-
170940-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CLEVELAND GARVIN
GRADY JEFFERSON JOHNSTON
LINCOLN LOVE MCCLAIN
MARSHALL MURRAY PONTOTOC
POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE STEPHENS
$$
TXC077-097-237-337-497-170940-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY COOKE JACK
MONTAGUE WISE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 19
VALID 170730Z - 170840Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 NE SJT TO
25 E ABI TO 50 WNW MWL TO 40 SW SPS TO 20 W SPS TO 15 W FSI TO 10
SE OKC TO 15 WSW CQB TO 35 NNE CQB.
..GLEASON..02/17/22
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC019-027-031-033-049-051-067-069-081-085-087-095-099-109-119-
123-125-133-137-141-170840-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CARTER CLEVELAND COMANCHE
COTTON GARVIN GRADY
JEFFERSON JOHNSTON LINCOLN
LOVE MCCLAIN MARSHALL
MURRAY OKLAHOMA PAYNE
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
STEPHENS TILLMAN
$$
TXC009-059-077-097-237-337-429-485-497-503-170840-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER CALLAHAN CLAY
COOKE JACK MONTAGUE
STEPHENS WICHITA WISE
YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 19
VALID 170635Z - 170740Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW SJT
TO 25 W ABI TO 35 N ABI TO 55 N ABI TO 20 NW FSI TO 30 SSE END.
..GLEASON..02/17/22
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-017-019-027-031-033-049-051-067-069-081-083-085-087-095-
099-109-119-123-125-133-137-141-170740-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CARTER
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
GARVIN GRADY JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON LINCOLN LOGAN
LOVE MCCLAIN MARSHALL
MURRAY OKLAHOMA PAYNE
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE SEMINOLE
STEPHENS TILLMAN
$$
TXC009-023-059-077-081-097-207-237-253-275-337-353-417-429-441-
447-485-487-497-503-170740-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CALLAHAN
CLAY COKE COOKE
HASKELL JACK JONES
KNOX MONTAGUE NOLAN
SHACKELFORD STEPHENS TAYLOR
THROCKMORTON WICHITA WILBARGER
WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 19
VALID 170530Z - 170640Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SPC..02/17/22
ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...FWD...LUB...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 19
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC015-017-019-027-031-033-049-051-055-057-065-067-069-075-081-
083-085-087-095-099-109-119-123-125-133-137-141-149-170640-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CADDO CANADIAN CARTER
CLEVELAND COMANCHE COTTON
GARVIN GRADY GREER
HARMON JACKSON JEFFERSON
JOHNSTON KIOWA LINCOLN
LOGAN LOVE MCCLAIN
MARSHALL MURRAY OKLAHOMA
PAYNE PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE
SEMINOLE STEPHENS TILLMAN
WASHITA
$$
TXC009-023-059-077-081-097-151-155-197-207-237-253-263-269-275-
337-353-417-429-431-433-441-447-485-487-497-503-170640-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARCHER BAYLOR CALLAHAN
CLAY COKE COOKE
FISHER FOARD HARDEMAN
HASKELL JACK JONES
KENT KING KNOX
MONTAGUE NOLAN SHACKELFORD
STEPHENS STERLING STONEWALL
TAYLOR THROCKMORTON WICHITA
WILBARGER WISE YOUNG
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (10%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Low (20%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.