Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 33
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
215 PM CST Sun Mar 6 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western and Northern Arkansas
Southern Missouri
Southeast Oklahoma
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until
800 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify across the watch area this
afternoon and spread northeastward. The cluster of most intense
storms is likely to evolve over western/central Arkansas, posing a
risk of a strong tornado or two, large hail, and damaging winds.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles south southwest of Poteau OK
to 40 miles east southeast of Poplar Bluff MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Hart
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 33
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
215 PM CST Sun Mar 6 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Western and Northern Arkansas
Southern Missouri
Southeast Oklahoma
* Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 215 PM until
800 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2.5 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will intensify across the watch area this
afternoon and spread northeastward. The cluster of most intense
storms is likely to evolve over western/central Arkansas, posing a
risk of a strong tornado or two, large hail, and damaging winds.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 60 statute miles
north and south of a line from 20 miles south southwest of Poteau OK
to 40 miles east southeast of Poplar Bluff MO. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 23035.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW3
WW 33 TORNADO AR MO OK 062015Z - 070200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20SSW RKR/POTEAU OK/ - 40ESE POF/POPLAR BLUFF MO/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /45SSW FSM - 39NW DYR/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
LAT...LON 35629475 37418980 35688980 33889475
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU3.
Watch 33 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 33
VALID 070110Z - 070240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..03/07/22
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...SHV...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 33
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-009-015-021-023-029-031-045-047-049-051-055-061-063-065-
067-071-075-083-087-089-093-097-101-105-109-111-113-115-119-121-
125-127-129-131-133-135-137-141-145-147-149-070240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BOONE CARROLL
CLAY CLEBURNE CONWAY
CRAIGHEAD FAULKNER FRANKLIN
FULTON GARLAND GREENE
HOWARD INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JOHNSON LAWRENCE
LOGAN MADISON MARION
MISSISSIPPI MONTGOMERY NEWTON
PERRY PIKE POINSETT
POLK POPE PULASKI
RANDOLPH SALINE SCOTT
SEARCY SEBASTIAN SEVIER
SHARP STONE VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
$$
MOC023-035-067-069-091-143-149-153-155-181-203-207-213-223-
070240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CARTER DOUGLAS
DUNKLIN HOWELL NEW MADRID
OREGON OZARK PEMISCOT
RIPLEY SHANNON STODDARD
TANEY WAYNE
$$
OKC079-089-070240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 33
VALID 062355Z - 070040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 210
..WENDT..03/06/22
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...SHV...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 33
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-009-015-021-023-029-031-045-047-049-051-055-061-063-065-
067-071-075-083-087-089-093-097-101-105-109-111-113-115-119-121-
125-127-129-131-133-135-137-141-145-147-149-070040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BOONE CARROLL
CLAY CLEBURNE CONWAY
CRAIGHEAD FAULKNER FRANKLIN
FULTON GARLAND GREENE
HOWARD INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JOHNSON LAWRENCE
LOGAN MADISON MARION
MISSISSIPPI MONTGOMERY NEWTON
PERRY PIKE POINSETT
POLK POPE PULASKI
RANDOLPH SALINE SCOTT
SEARCY SEBASTIAN SEVIER
SHARP STONE VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
$$
MOC023-035-067-069-091-143-149-153-155-181-203-207-213-223-
070040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CARTER DOUGLAS
DUNKLIN HOWELL NEW MADRID
OREGON OZARK PEMISCOT
RIPLEY SHANNON STODDARD
TANEY WAYNE
$$
OKC079-089-070040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 33
VALID 062315Z - 070040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WENDT..03/06/22
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...SHV...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 33
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-009-015-021-023-029-031-045-047-049-051-055-061-063-065-
067-071-075-083-087-089-093-097-101-105-109-111-113-115-119-121-
125-127-129-131-133-135-137-141-145-147-149-070040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BOONE CARROLL
CLAY CLEBURNE CONWAY
CRAIGHEAD FAULKNER FRANKLIN
FULTON GARLAND GREENE
HOWARD INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JOHNSON LAWRENCE
LOGAN MADISON MARION
MISSISSIPPI MONTGOMERY NEWTON
PERRY PIKE POINSETT
POLK POPE PULASKI
RANDOLPH SALINE SCOTT
SEARCY SEBASTIAN SEVIER
SHARP STONE VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
$$
MOC023-035-067-069-091-143-149-153-155-181-203-207-213-223-
070040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CARTER DOUGLAS
DUNKLIN HOWELL NEW MADRID
OREGON OZARK PEMISCOT
RIPLEY SHANNON STODDARD
TANEY WAYNE
$$
OKC079-089-070040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 33
VALID 062140Z - 062240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..GLEASON..03/06/22
ATTN...WFO...LZK...TSA...MEG...SHV...PAH...SGF...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 33
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-009-015-021-023-029-031-045-047-049-051-055-061-063-065-
067-071-075-083-087-089-093-097-101-105-109-111-113-115-119-121-
125-127-129-131-133-135-137-141-145-147-149-062240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER BOONE CARROLL
CLAY CLEBURNE CONWAY
CRAIGHEAD FAULKNER FRANKLIN
FULTON GARLAND GREENE
HOWARD INDEPENDENCE IZARD
JACKSON JOHNSON LAWRENCE
LOGAN MADISON MARION
MISSISSIPPI MONTGOMERY NEWTON
PERRY PIKE POINSETT
POLK POPE PULASKI
RANDOLPH SALINE SCOTT
SEARCY SEBASTIAN SEVIER
SHARP STONE VAN BUREN
WHITE WOODRUFF YELL
$$
MOC023-035-067-069-091-143-149-153-155-181-203-207-213-223-
062240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CARTER DOUGLAS
DUNKLIN HOWELL NEW MADRID
OREGON OZARK PEMISCOT
RIPLEY SHANNON STODDARD
TANEY WAYNE
$$
OKC079-089-062240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LE FLORE MCCURTAIN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.