Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 45
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
450 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Southwest Arkansas
Southeast Oklahoma
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 450 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage through the
afternoon and evening, with a few supercells expected. Very large
hail is expected to be the primary risk, but a few tornadoes are
also possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 10 miles northeast of Flippin AR to 30
miles south of Texarkana AR. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 42...WW 43...WW 44...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.
...Hart
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 45
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
450 PM CDT Thu Mar 14 2024
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Southwest Arkansas
Southeast Oklahoma
Northeast Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon from 450 PM until Midnight
CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage through the
afternoon and evening, with a few supercells expected. Very large
hail is expected to be the primary risk, but a few tornadoes are
also possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 10 miles northeast of Flippin AR to 30
miles south of Texarkana AR. For a complete depiction of the watch
see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 42...WW 43...WW 44...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 55 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 45 TORNADO AR OK TX 142150Z - 150500Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
10NE FLP/FLIPPIN AR/ - 30S TXK/TEXARKANA AR/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /68W ARG - 18NNW EIC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25030.
LAT...LON 36299100 33009271 33009529 36299369
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 45 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #8 ON WW 45
VALID 150435Z - 150500Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NNE PRX
TO 30 SE RKR TO 40 ENE LIT.
WW 45 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 150500Z.
..HART..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-027-039-051-053-057-059-061-073-081-085-091-095-097-
099-103-109-113-117-119-125-133-139-150500-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK COLUMBIA
DALLAS GARLAND GRANT
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD
LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER LONOKE
MILLER MONROE MONTGOMERY
NEVADA OUACHITA PIKE
POLK PRAIRIE PULASKI
SALINE SEVIER UNION
$$
OKC089-150500-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-063-067-159-343-387-449-150500-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
FRANKLIN MORRIS RED RIVER
TITUS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 45
VALID 150310Z - 150440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 N RKR TO
20 ESE RUE TO 20 S BVX TO 25 SW JBR.
..BROYLES..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-027-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-073-081-083-085-091-
095-097-099-103-105-109-113-117-119-125-127-133-139-145-147-149-
150440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK COLUMBIA
DALLAS FAULKNER GARLAND
GRANT HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING
HOWARD LAFAYETTE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONROE MONTGOMERY NEVADA
OUACHITA PERRY PIKE
POLK PRAIRIE PULASKI
SALINE SCOTT SEVIER
UNION WHITE WOODRUFF
YELL
$$
OKC089-150440-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-063-067-159-343-387-449-150440-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
FRANKLIN MORRIS RED RIVER
TITUS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 45
VALID 150235Z - 150340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BROYLES..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-023-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-063-067-073-
075-081-083-085-091-097-099-103-105-109-113-115-119-125-127-133-
137-139-141-145-149-150340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE
COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD
INDEPENDENCE JACKSON LAFAYETTE
LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN
LONOKE MILLER MONTGOMERY
NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY
PIKE POLK POPE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEVIER STONE UNION
VAN BUREN WHITE YELL
$$
OKC089-150340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-063-067-159-343-387-449-150340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
FRANKLIN MORRIS RED RIVER
TITUS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 45
VALID 150135Z - 150240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-023-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-063-067-073-
075-081-083-085-091-097-099-103-105-109-113-115-119-125-127-133-
137-139-141-145-149-150240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE
COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD
INDEPENDENCE JACKSON LAFAYETTE
LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN
LONOKE MILLER MONTGOMERY
NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY
PIKE POLK POPE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEVIER STONE UNION
VAN BUREN WHITE YELL
$$
OKC089-150240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-063-067-159-343-387-449-150240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
FRANKLIN MORRIS RED RIVER
TITUS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 45
VALID 150050Z - 150140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S FYV TO
25 SE FLP TO ARG.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 246
..SQUITIERI..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-023-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-063-067-073-
075-081-083-085-091-097-099-103-105-109-113-115-119-125-127-133-
137-139-141-145-149-150140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE
COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD
INDEPENDENCE JACKSON LAFAYETTE
LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER LOGAN
LONOKE MILLER MONTGOMERY
NEVADA OUACHITA PERRY
PIKE POLK POPE
PULASKI SALINE SCOTT
SEVIER STONE UNION
VAN BUREN WHITE YELL
$$
OKC089-150140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-063-067-159-343-387-449-150140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
FRANKLIN MORRIS RED RIVER
TITUS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 45
VALID 150015Z - 150140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..03/15/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-023-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-063-065-067-
073-075-081-083-085-091-097-099-103-105-109-113-115-119-121-125-
127-133-135-137-139-141-145-149-150140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE
COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA
PERRY PIKE POLK
POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH
SALINE SCOTT SEVIER
SHARP STONE UNION
VAN BUREN WHITE YELL
$$
OKC089-150140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-063-067-159-343-387-449-150140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
FRANKLIN MORRIS RED RIVER
TITUS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 45
VALID 142340Z - 150040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..SQUITIERI..03/14/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-023-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-063-065-067-
073-075-081-083-085-091-097-099-103-105-109-113-115-119-121-125-
127-133-135-137-139-141-145-149-150040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE
COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA
PERRY PIKE POLK
POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH
SALINE SCOTT SEVIER
SHARP STONE UNION
VAN BUREN WHITE YELL
$$
OKC089-150040-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-063-067-159-343-387-449-150040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
FRANKLIN MORRIS RED RIVER
TITUS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 45
VALID 142250Z - 142340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSE FYV
TO 10 W FLP TO 20 NNE FLP.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 241
..SQUITIERI..03/14/24
ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 45
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC013-019-023-027-029-039-045-051-053-057-059-061-063-065-067-
073-075-081-083-085-091-097-099-103-105-109-113-115-119-121-125-
127-133-135-137-139-141-145-149-142340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CALHOUN CLARK CLEBURNE
COLUMBIA CONWAY DALLAS
FAULKNER GARLAND GRANT
HEMPSTEAD HOT SPRING HOWARD
INDEPENDENCE IZARD JACKSON
LAFAYETTE LAWRENCE LITTLE RIVER
LOGAN LONOKE MILLER
MONTGOMERY NEVADA OUACHITA
PERRY PIKE POLK
POPE PULASKI RANDOLPH
SALINE SCOTT SEVIER
SHARP STONE UNION
VAN BUREN WHITE YELL
$$
OKC089-142340-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MCCURTAIN
$$
TXC037-063-067-159-343-387-449-142340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOWIE CAMP CASS
FRANKLIN MORRIS RED RIVER
TITUS
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (>95%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.