Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 48
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CDT Thu Mar 17 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Southern Oklahoma
Northcentral Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and move
northeast through this evening, with a risk for large hail and
damaging thunderstorm gusts. An isolated report of very large hail
will also be possible, in addition to the potential for a tornado or
two.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles north of Fort
Sill OK to 25 miles south southeast of Mcalester OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
22035.
...Bunting
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 48
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
355 PM CDT Thu Mar 17 2022
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Central and Southern Oklahoma
Northcentral Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until
1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and move
northeast through this evening, with a risk for large hail and
damaging thunderstorm gusts. An isolated report of very large hail
will also be possible, in addition to the potential for a tornado or
two.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 15 miles north of Fort
Sill OK to 25 miles south southeast of Mcalester OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
22035.
...Bunting
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 48 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 172055Z - 180400Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
15N FSI/FORT SILL OK/ - 25SSE MLC/MCALESTER OK/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /49SW OKC - 20SSE MLC/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.
LAT...LON 36029840 35709561 33399561 33719840
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 48 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 48
VALID 180320Z - 180400Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSE MLC
TO 20 WSW MLC TO 40 WSW MKO TO 20 NNE CQB.
WW 48 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 180400Z.
..SQUITIERI..03/18/22
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 48
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC023-091-111-121-127-180400-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CHOCTAW MCINTOSH OKMULGEE
PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA
$$
TXC277-180400-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
LAMAR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 48
VALID 180140Z - 180240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW GYI
TO 20 SE OKC TO 40 ENE CSM.
..MOSIER..03/18/22
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 48
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-013-017-019-023-027-029-037-047-063-069-073-081-083-091-
095-099-103-107-109-111-117-119-121-123-125-127-133-180240-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BRYAN CANADIAN
CARTER CHOCTAW CLEVELAND
COAL CREEK GARFIELD
HUGHES JOHNSTON KINGFISHER
LINCOLN LOGAN MCINTOSH
MARSHALL MURRAY NOBLE
OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA OKMULGEE
PAWNEE PAYNE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA
SEMINOLE
$$
TXC147-181-277-180240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FANNIN GRAYSON LAMAR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 48
VALID 180045Z - 180140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 W GYI TO
20 SE CHK TO 25 W CHK.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 269
..MOSIER..03/18/22
ATTN...WFO...OUN...TSA...FWD...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 48
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
OKC005-011-013-015-017-019-023-027-029-037-047-049-051-063-069-
073-081-083-085-087-091-093-095-099-103-107-109-111-119-121-123-
125-127-133-180140-
OK
. OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATOKA BLAINE BRYAN
CADDO CANADIAN CARTER
CHOCTAW CLEVELAND COAL
CREEK GARFIELD GARVIN
GRADY HUGHES JOHNSTON
KINGFISHER LINCOLN LOGAN
LOVE MCCLAIN MCINTOSH
MAJOR MARSHALL MURRAY
NOBLE OKFUSKEE OKLAHOMA
OKMULGEE PAYNE PITTSBURG
PONTOTOC POTTAWATOMIE PUSHMATAHA
SEMINOLE
$$
TXC097-147-181-277-180140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COOKE FANNIN GRAYSON
LAMAR
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (<2%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (40%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (40%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (80%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
weather.gov 
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